Realized P&L (30d)
-$407
Unrealized P&L
-$1.18K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved (30d)
197
Trades (30d)
266
93,952 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$297
$225.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-01 10:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 267 days
Categories
Other
84% 84% -$1,976
Politics
9% 90% -$348
Sports
5% 69% -$89
Tech
2% 74% -$285
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 663 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,299 -$968 97¢ $-1260 -$293 08-19 22:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes -899 -$146 80¢ $-724 -$578 08-07 01:53
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -450 -$231 72¢ $-324 -$93 08-06 19:19
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes -348 -$269 88¢ $-306 -$37 09-19 08:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -700 -$254 38¢ $-268 -$15 06-09 13:49
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -349 -$220 76¢ $-267 -$47 10-09 12:56
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -300 -$48 89¢ $-266 -$218 08-29 04:09
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -200 -$105 100¢ $-199 -$94 07-17 20:07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -450 -$224 44¢ $-196 +$28 08-18 03:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -339 -$47 52¢ $-178 -$131 07-12 23:22
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -159 -$70 97¢ $-154 -$85 07-21 10:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes -899 -$607 16¢ $-148 +$459 08-07 22:29
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -220 -$35 67¢ $-147 -$113 08-27 09:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -700 -$166 20¢ $-144 +$23 06-09 14:01
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -448 -$177 29¢ $-128 +$49 08-13 23:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -339 -$221 36¢ $-124 +$98 07-12 23:17
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes -149 -$76 74¢ $-111 -$35 08-13 17:58
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes -119 -$95 85¢ $-101 -$6 09-29 21:40
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -450 -$184 22¢ $-101 +$83 10-09 23:51
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes -100 -$62 95¢ $-95 -$33 08-02 01:44
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes -100 -$86 86¢ $-86 $0 08-10 12:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -150 -$96 56¢ $-84 +$11 07-28 16:07
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -350 -$109 24¢ $-82 +$27 07-28 23:08
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -220 -$63 37¢ $-81 -$18 08-15 01:53
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes -80 -$13 99¢ $-79 -$66 07-29 07:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -200 -$73 38¢ $-75 -$1 06-25 12:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -200 -$77 37¢ $-75 +$2 06-24 20:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -399 -$79 19¢ $-74 +$5 05-24 16:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -180 -$11 40¢ $-73 -$61 06-11 07:12
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -148 -$33 48¢ $-72 -$39 06-12 21:49