Flamboyant-Addiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

481

Trades

1,112

lifetime

Volume

$5.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-28 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 47% +$19

Politics

22% 0% -$821

Other

13% 34% -$229

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$432	814	814	+0	No	-$168	04-12 14:59
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	8	$227	330	176	+153	Down	-$114	03-18 03:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$169	820	820	+0	No	-$51	04-10 22:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$150	141,229	0	+141,229	Yes	-$150	04-10 22:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$136	53,582	0	+53,582	Yes	-$136	04-08 21:58
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	3	$130	2,116	2,116	+0	No	-$68	04-15 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:00 UTC	4	$98	56	50	+5	Down	+$2	04-15 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:50 UTC	5	$90	58	58	+0	Down	+$26	03-15 23:55
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$83	3,664	3,664	+0	No	-$17	04-10 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:00 UTC	6	$80	60	39	+21	Down	-$2	03-17 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:40 UTC	6	$72	71	54	+17	Down	+$34	03-17 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:45 UTC	6	$72	79	33	+46	Up	-$6	03-16 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:25 UTC	6	$69	50	50	+1	Down	+$28	03-15 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:15 UTC	3	$66	40	33	+7	Down	+$0	04-15 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:10 UTC	2	$65	36	35	+0	Down	+$3	04-15 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:20 UTC	4	$65	43	31	+12	Up	-$3	04-15 22:25
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$64	172	172	+0	No	-$36	04-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:50 UTC	3	$60	96	0	+96	Down	-$8	03-17 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:00 UTC	5	$59	36	27	+9	Down	-$5	03-16 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:05 UTC	5	$57	47	32	+15	Up	+$7	03-16 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 02:45 UTC	5	$53	66	50	+16	Up	+$46	03-16 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:05 UTC	6	$48	48	20	+28	Down	-$9	03-15 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 23:25 UTC	5	$48	83	23	+60	Up	-$2	03-16 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:10 UTC	6	$47	35	24	+11	Down	$0	03-16 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:50 UTC	4	$47	50	25	+26	Down	+$2	03-16 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:45 UTC	6	$45	42	17	+25	Up	-$11	03-15 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:40 UTC	4	$43	67	22	+45	Down	+$1	03-16 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:10 UTC	5	$43	30	22	+8	Up	+$2	03-17 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:15 UTC	5	$41	44	14	+29	Up	-$13	03-17 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:15 UTC	7	$41	93	0	+93	Up	-$2	03-16 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 23:56:02	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5058e3…
06-28 23:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x74128d…
06-28 23:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5306ec…
06-28 23:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xda2c49…
06-28 23:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x89c7d0…
06-28 23:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x20477e…
06-28 23:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47a85a…
06-28 23:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xa2caca…
06-28 23:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd63ca6…
05-07 02:55:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xcf7c05…
05-07 02:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x258b78…
05-07 02:51:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc3457d…
05-07 02:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x170d2a…
05-07 02:49:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x36b6d1…
05-07 02:48:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0e369a…
05-05 00:15:18	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1b53f5…
05-05 00:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x10303d…
05-05 00:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x017b00…
05-04 20:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6804a6…
05-04 14:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf75a14…
05-04 14:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0edbfc…
05-04 14:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x190733…
05-04 14:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdbf6c5…
05-04 14:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0baa5b…
05-04 14:02:06	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe4e7d1…
05-04 13:55:52	Will White House post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc6d1c4…
05-04 13:35:14	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x81c842…
05-04 13:35:06	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xfa5c8b…
05-04 13:34:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x71a0b6…
05-04 13:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xecf651…
05-04 13:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4984be…
05-04 13:31:44	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7d8cbb…
05-03 18:45:22	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xbcf75f…
05-03 18:43:14	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x56881b…
05-03 18:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x78bf09…
05-03 18:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x67b04b…
05-03 18:31:34	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2b94cb…
05-03 18:29:26	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc07bc4…
05-03 18:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xff2257…
05-03 18:18:24	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x13b73a…
05-03 18:14:46	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8134f6…
05-03 18:13:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x78015b…
05-03 17:52:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2e79a6…
05-03 17:44:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xac730f…
05-03 17:34:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1e1a28…
04-29 23:56:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x19a9e1…
04-29 23:56:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1e0bfa…
04-29 23:54:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5a6d45…
04-29 23:49:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8e5324…
04-29 23:43:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7a505a…
04-29 01:14:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7f5d3d…
04-29 01:13:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1ff602…
04-29 01:07:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0bed4e…
04-29 00:59:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfb905b…
04-28 13:35:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa40cd7…
04-27 20:15:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x47d549…
04-27 16:10:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfc4773…
04-24 01:04:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4ca266…
04-23 01:17:08	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x31fe89…
04-21 20:02:44	spx up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x09c6ee…
04-21 12:55:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x26dcf9…
04-21 12:55:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x143ea1…
04-21 12:55:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x2ca580…
04-21 02:02:16	spx up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe068f6…
04-20 12:35:48	spx up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x069202…
04-18 22:43:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08acb1…
04-18 16:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2d54c1…
04-18 16:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x252a07…
04-18 16:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x85e68f…
04-18 16:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x0b4ec6…
04-18 16:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1f587f…
04-18 16:31:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x90c31e…
04-18 16:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8d504a…
04-18 16:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x51e91e…
04-18 16:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x31713c…
04-18 16:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcf0fb3…
04-18 15:56:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1b9324…
04-18 15:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x367c37…
04-18 15:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xca7e7a…
04-18 15:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x761b91…
04-18 15:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4a24d5…
04-18 15:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf38f6c…
04-18 15:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa805d8…
04-18 15:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c64d7…
04-18 15:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0c74f0…
04-18 15:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc41314…
04-18 15:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6dc3b2…
04-18 15:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x81c479…
04-18 14:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x517646…
04-18 14:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x1a8682…
04-18 14:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfaf314…
04-18 14:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa261f6…
04-18 14:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4e2553…
04-18 14:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8d30d7…
04-18 14:25:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a1e72…
04-18 14:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa559d1…
04-18 03:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x57a6a9…
04-18 03:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe30b20…
04-18 02:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdcb3c1…
04-18 02:43:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5d0060…