Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$119,208

Trades

11,601

Unique wallets

1,729

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-16

First seen

2026-03-15

last 03-16 02:51

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +14,745 (anon) +4,000 (anon) +3,615 (anon) +2,729 (anon) +2,062 (anon) +1,983 (anon) +1,933 (anon) +1,897

NO holders

(anon) +2,728 (anon) +2,500 (anon) +2,268 (anon) +2,000 (anon) +1,900 (anon) +1,892 (anon) +1,851 (anon) +1,741

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +13.2¢ (top1%: 67% YES on $56.1K vs crowd: 54% YES on $106.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	153	$35.5K	$18.1K	+$17.4K
🐬 Dolphin	408	$12.1K	$21.3K	$9.2K
🐟 Fish	643	$8.2K	$7.0K	+$1.2K
🦐 Shrimp	525	$2.0K	$2.2K	$252

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	176	$37.8K	$18.3K	+$19.5K
🏆 Top 5%	151	$3.0K	$5.3K	$2.4K
✅ Top 10%	80	$424	$769	$345
Median	135	$517	$590	$72
Below median	504	$2.7K	$3.0K	$356
⚠️ Bottom 10%	291	$2.1K	$3.4K	$1.3K
🔻 Bottom 5%	289	$5.4K	$11.1K	$5.6K
💀 Bottom 1%	103	$5.8K	$6.2K	$412

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x30af…1879	Up	+14,745	$147	$147	162	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xe8c9…0c0c	Up	+4,000	$2,193	$2,193	63	03-16 02:45
(anonymous) 0x098f…2a72	Up	+3,615	$2,674	$2,674	56	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+2,729	$1,954	$1,954	15	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+2,728	$761	$761	15	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0x86da…4f72	Down	+2,500	$25	$25	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xb229…3634	Down	+2,268	$1,199	$1,199	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Up	+2,062	$1,096	$1,096	90	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x9f8b…1e40	Down	+2,000	$20	$20	3	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xc651…c39f	Up	+1,983	$1,963	$1,963	9	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x85ab…61ac	Up	+1,933	$1,914	$1,914	52	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x098f…2a72	Down	+1,900	$224	$224	82	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Up	+1,897	$1,008	$1,008	96	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Down	+1,892	$737	$737	98	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+1,875	$1,103	$1,103	54	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Down	+1,851	$748	$748	109	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+1,741	$680	$680	77	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0xb51a…20b3	Up	+1,685	$1,197	$1,197	91	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x001f…24a0	Down	+1,593	$500	$500	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x3462…2bdc	Up	+1,568	$1,552	$1,552	12	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Down	+1,549	$454	$845	117	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+1,500	$1,485	$1,485	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+1,498	$431	$829	167	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Up	+1,440	$747	$791	72	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+1,426	$406	$772	116	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0x3ba3…d07c	Up	+1,419	$1,405	$1,405	3	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x36dc…4ad3	Up	+1,334	$1,321	$1,321	18	03-16 02:51
Last-Fantasy 0xaeb5…adcc	Up	+1,333	$1,320	$1,320	2	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Up	+1,278	$926	$926	96	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+1,259	$829	$829	114	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+1,237	$391	$391	116	03-16 02:49
Sleepy-Racing 0xcdd8…3692	Down	+1,222	$1,210	$1,210	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xb142…9c87	Down	+1,222	$1,210	$1,210	1	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x8648…bd2f	Up	+1,199	$664	$664	95	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,186	$321	$321	96	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x8648…bd2f	Down	+1,166	$480	$480	95	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x73b3…cb2f	Up	+1,066	$1,055	$1,055	5	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x19a1…7698	Up	+1,065	$559	$559	76	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x08ea…9984	Up	+1,058	$668	$668	39	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xf4fe…ebac	Down	+1,043	$328	$328	68	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+1,025	$598	$598	109	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0xd6cf…587e	Down	+1,010	$1,000	$1,000	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x3b22…dd09	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	03-16 02:50
Failing-Glimpse 0x1280…6b24	Down	+1,000	$990	$990	1	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x3a20…f4d8	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xf25a…d724	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	03-16 02:50
Buzzing-Shark 0xaf56…5885	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	03-16 02:50
Grotesque-Tomography 0x674b…4f07	Up	+975	$338	$531	10	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Up	+944	$587	$587	78	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x19a1…7698	Down	+917	$386	$386	78	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0xf4fe…ebac	Up	+887	$672	$672	26	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0xd1ab…10ed	Down	+883	$201	$201	1	03-16 02:48
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+881	$276	$276	86	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x266b…205b	Down	+880	$871	$871	1	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+871	$758	$758	13	03-16 02:47
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Down	+858	$307	$307	26	03-16 02:49
(anonymous) 0x0006…8c63	Up	+806	$492	$492	7	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Up	+776	$564	$564	28	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x1414…abce	Up	+776	$372	$372	5	03-16 02:50
(anonymous) 0x030c…537b	Up	+705	$312	$312	22	03-16 02:50