Low-Intervenor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$69

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-10 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

50% 93% +$2

Crypto

35% 100% +$3

Tech

12% 100% +$1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-10).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		-50	-$46	97¢	$-49	-$3	05-06 08:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+21	$20	97¢	$21	+$1	08-10 05:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	2	$111	56	56	+0	No	+$1	02-24 09:45
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$0	03-25 04:58
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	04-09 08:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-10 05:26
will xrp reach 2pt4 in july 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	07-02 03:12
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	1	$51	53	0	+53	No	+$1	01-06 08:18
will solana reach 120 in august 2026	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	08-10 05:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-04 08:53
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$46	0	50	-50	open	—	05-06 08:01
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$46	0	46	-46	No	$0	05-09 06:19
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	02-03 02:00
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	05-06 08:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$1	08-10 05:31
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	02-24 09:45
will nvda reach 280 in march	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-10 07:55
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-04 08:52
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	01-06 08:17
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-06 08:00
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	07-02 02:21
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-06 08:03
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-25 04:59
will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-24 09:46
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-04 08:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	08-10 05:35
msft above 315 on march 31 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	03-10 07:58
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-06 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:39:01	will solana reach 120 in august 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x34792c…
08-10 05:35:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x795b9f…
08-10 05:31:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x0356e6…
08-10 05:26:27	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x57f751…
07-02 03:12:43	will xrp reach 2pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x41a6da…
07-02 03:12:17	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x013ffd…
07-02 02:21:41	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x6ad311…
06-04 08:53:25	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x0dbd34…
06-04 08:53:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x852e6f…
06-04 08:52:39	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8f0a76…
05-09 06:19:39	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x78326d…
05-06 08:04:30	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xacfcb1…
05-06 08:03:40	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc56ab3…
05-06 08:01:50	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x0776a8…
05-06 08:00:52	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x96ece2…
04-09 08:22:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x640ce0…
04-09 08:20:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4d280c…
03-25 04:59:43	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x561d2c…
03-25 04:59:01	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5689de…
03-25 04:58:23	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0xf0e989…
03-10 07:58:25	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x06036e…
03-10 07:58:09	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfd7797…
03-10 07:55:51	will nvda reach 280 in march	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6661aa…
02-24 09:46:42	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x333147…
02-24 09:45:56	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xed0a78…
02-24 09:45:04	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x81dd8e…
02-03 02:00:58	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe32cb0…
02-03 02:00:50	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xbaa3c4…
01-06 08:18:35	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0xbb6e7b…
01-06 08:17:43	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6bff14…
01-06 08:17:19	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x949965…