(anonymous) 0x7c610e…6bec73
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
+$241
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
955
lifetime
Volume
$58.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$55.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
74% — —
Sports
23% 53% -$157
Other
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +10,769 $10,542 99¢ $10.7K +$146 10-08 23:31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,209 $4,776 92¢ $4.8K +$42 10-20 05:01
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +4,688 $4,548 97¢ $4.6K +$18 10-18 06:57
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,216 $3,698 88¢ $3.7K +$33 10-19 10:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3,773 $3,697 98¢ $3.7K +$2 10-27 18:20
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,574 $3,416 96¢ $3.4K +$10 10-26 08:56
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +3,148 $2,975 96¢ $3.0K +$42 10-18 05:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +3,269 $2,905 86¢ $2.8K -$77 10-19 14:11
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,393 $2,252 95¢ $2.3K +$17 09-20 07:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,584 $2,157 82¢ $2.1K -$25 09-20 03:02
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,809 $1,770 98¢ $1.8K -$1 10-26 14:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,972 $1,763 88¢ $1.7K -$27 10-26 11:27
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,938 $1,501 78¢ $1.5K +$1 10-15 13:18
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,301 $1,284 98¢ $1.3K -$10 09-30 09:04
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,267 $1,221 96¢ $1.2K -$3 09-20 21:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,212 $1,142 94¢ $1.1K +$4 10-26 12:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,194 $1,002 86¢ $1.0K +$19 09-17 07:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +606 $576 95¢ $576 +$0 09-28 08:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +574 $548 95¢ $545 -$3 09-20 15:40
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,216 $513 12¢ $485 -$29 10-18 07:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,584 $426 18¢ $452 +$26 09-20 15:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,269 $362 14¢ $441 +$79 10-19 04:43
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,938 $441 22¢ $436 -$5 10-17 12:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +5,209 $444 8¢ $391 -$53 10-17 06:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +264 $232 90¢ $236 +$4 09-19 06:25
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +280 $230 82¢ $231 +$1 10-23 06:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +251 $231 92¢ $230 -$1 10-22 06:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,875 $197 12¢ $224 +$27 10-27 20:35
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +220 $207 96¢ $212 +$4 09-28 17:37
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +199 $185 92¢ $184 $0 10-27 02:59