Untimely-Beating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

309

Trades

470

lifetime

Volume

$592

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

43% 68% +$1

Politics

32% 74% +$9

Crypto

10% 72% +$1

Tech

7% 81% +$1

Sports

6% 68% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+2	$1	55¢	$1	$0	11-05 15:49
kim kardashian and lewis hamilton engaged in 2026 20260722161019929	Yes	—	+5	$0	5¢	$0	+$1	07-28 14:31
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes		+3	$1	4¢	$0	$0	08-02 18:54
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-03 12:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	07-23 09:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	03-29 10:03
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 09:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 07:24
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	4	$9	7	7	+0	No	-$1	02-11 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	04-26 14:19
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	-$6	07-24 08:14
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	07-19 08:46
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-28 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	08-27 11:21
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 11:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$4	3	2	+0	No	+$0	04-14 07:24
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	3	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 04:39
will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-03 15:46
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	01-23 07:39
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 09:13
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 06:21
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-16 07:14
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 10:07
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 14:31
will trump try to fire powell by march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-12 08:19
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 06:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-27 10:39
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 14:54
epl ful wes 2026 03 04 wes	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	03-04 21:14
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$4	3	2	+1	No	$0	03-16 06:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	04-05 06:45
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	4	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	04-14 07:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-22 15:20
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	3	$3	7	4	+3	open	—	08-02 18:54
will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	08-16 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:49:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xad12ba…
10-15 09:06:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa56c8f…
10-14 18:52:25	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdd3167…
10-14 18:49:45	Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa6a29c…
10-14 18:48:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb64d9b…
10-06 20:34:32	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6f55c7…
10-06 17:46:48	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf7f02d…
10-06 17:46:18	Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xef8719…
10-06 17:45:56	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x369f31…
08-27 11:21:45	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xaf9e48…
08-27 11:21:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2946e6…
08-27 11:21:19	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x36d4f1…
08-27 11:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x722eb5…
08-17 11:22:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0b16b3…
08-17 11:20:25	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x080da1…
08-17 11:20:16	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x91dd9a…
08-16 10:59:37	will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xd4ebdc…
08-10 07:32:22	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x241736…
08-02 18:58:21	will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x061e2e…
08-02 18:55:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8f5abf…
08-02 18:54:36	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5fb89b…
08-02 07:41:24	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	John/Paige	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xab89ee…
08-01 14:13:57	the polymarket classic winner 20260731043547423	John/Paige	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbcc8e2…
08-01 14:13:35	Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb9c99b…
08-01 14:13:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x851d32…
08-01 05:44:38	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x661936…
08-01 05:44:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x950593…
08-01 05:42:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x790bce…
08-01 05:42:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa4955c…
08-01 05:41:45	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0ad2bb…
07-31 10:33:51	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdafbd3…
07-31 10:33:23	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfaab86…
07-31 10:33:15	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x337d9d…
07-31 10:33:05	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x57ebe8…
07-31 10:31:23	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x54ae71…
07-30 07:41:57	will solana reach 80 in july 2026 from july 9	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa90780…
07-30 07:37:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7879dc…
07-30 07:37:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd32920…
07-30 05:39:36	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f9b4c…
07-30 05:39:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x39caea…
07-29 08:03:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa61958…
07-29 08:03:17	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x29b60a…
07-29 08:02:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x12fb97…
07-29 08:02:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x11dda0…
07-29 08:01:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x822a42…
07-28 14:32:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b0071…
07-28 14:31:32	kim kardashian and lewis hamilton engaged in 2026 20260722161019929	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x148fa8…
07-28 14:31:05	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x211af7…
07-25 11:47:09	cs2 dendel faze 2026 07 25	FaZe	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5a6026…
07-25 07:47:04	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6d4792…
07-24 08:15:37	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x80e159…
07-24 08:14:51	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7d12e1…
07-24 08:14:22	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc303b0…
07-24 07:10:07	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x761118…
07-23 09:48:42	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x599d19…
07-23 09:45:54	kim kardashian and lewis hamilton engaged in 2026 20260722161019929	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3d4946…
07-23 09:44:06	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe5c122…
07-23 09:43:37	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xab2b89…
07-23 09:42:18	will solana reach 80 in july 2026 from july 9	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x43b1d9…
07-23 09:39:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb5dbc3…
07-22 11:25:15	Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x17658b…
07-22 11:24:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x29eca6…
07-22 06:34:31	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x0ef126…
07-20 06:21:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5dd31c…
07-20 06:21:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x532851…
07-19 21:05:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x71322e…
07-19 08:46:16	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x2a9b23…
07-17 08:02:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf6be21…
07-17 08:01:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb56f38…
07-17 08:01:13	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4b11ce…
07-17 07:59:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcaf65f…
07-17 06:09:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29d55f…
07-16 08:24:56	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xda2c63…
07-16 07:23:38	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbae28f…
07-16 07:18:02	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6cdba7…
07-16 07:17:38	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf37688…
07-16 07:14:43	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x559b1d…
07-15 06:37:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe621aa…
07-15 06:36:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6100da…
07-14 20:20:41	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4540c8…
07-13 06:17:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd20252…
07-12 17:23:38	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3e097d…
07-10 14:46:14	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x980410…
07-10 14:45:41	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbb9f41…
07-10 14:43:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x24f1ba…
07-10 14:43:10	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfb8e7a…
07-10 14:42:14	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcced24…
07-08 09:13:11	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x6eee96…
07-08 09:12:50	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x628993…
07-08 09:12:41	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x60cc51…
07-08 09:11:32	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x2512bc…
07-08 06:47:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdcb0a0…
07-07 07:48:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa0db4e…
07-07 06:27:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa98dea…
07-06 07:26:49	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8b030e…
07-05 13:07:11	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x427ec8…
07-05 13:07:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x41bf87…
07-05 13:06:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd097c7…
07-03 11:11:08	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7669d1…
07-03 11:10:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3e0bbb…