Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.4%

Resolved

Trades

9,730

lifetime

Volume

$73.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-12 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-22

Politics

31% 17% $-21

Sports

7% 0% $-1

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	20	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-23 02:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	50	$1.4K	1,979	1,979	+0	open	—	04-01 14:08
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	34	$1.4K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	03-04 03:31
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	31	$1.1K	2,627	2,627	+0	open	—	03-12 03:31
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	02-28 11:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	52	$1.1K	3,470	3,470	+0	open	—	03-23 22:39
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	85	$1.1K	2,219	2,219	+0	open	—	03-26 18:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	96	$1.1K	3,097	3,097	+0	open	—	04-03 06:06
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	117	$1.0K	1,575	1,575	+0	open	—	03-17 23:31
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	8	$997	622	622	+0	open	—	03-20 02:58
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	8	$771	800	800	+0	open	—	03-28 15:28
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	115	$770	3,406	3,406	+0	Yes	$-3	04-01 17:51
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	133	$750	2,349	2,349	+0	open	—	02-25 16:13
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	219	$737	4,320	4,320	+0	open	—	03-17 15:38
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	90	$687	1,752	1,752	+0	open	—	03-13 05:39
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	59	$683	2,139	2,139	+0	open	—	03-21 03:31
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	17	$676	625	625	+0	open	—	02-28 07:09
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	121	$671	1,324	1,324	+0	open	—	03-03 18:38
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	62	$655	1,507	1,507	+0	open	—	02-25 13:41
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	12	$651	900	900	+0	open	—	02-17 13:32
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	25	$650	633	603	+30	open	—	02-27 20:40
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$632	400	400	+0	Yes	$-8	03-01 15:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$621	750	750	+0	open	—	02-17 12:26
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	21	$607	876	876	+0	open	—	02-24 02:45
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	94	$603	1,289	1,244	+45	open	—	02-23 20:22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$587	520	520	+0	open	—	02-28 04:35
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	25	$554	961	961	+0	No	$-4	04-01 15:04
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	13	$523	344	344	+0	open	—	03-09 19:32
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$509	317	317	+0	open	—	03-27 03:40
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	27	$479	692	692	+0	open	—	02-20 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:35:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x7941c4…
06-12 09:34:25	Remote IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xa1b08d…
06-12 09:34:18	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xbd5db1…
06-12 09:34:15	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x79dfe8…
06-12 09:34:01	Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x26357c…
06-12 09:33:58	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb315a3…
06-12 09:33:54	Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc10916…
06-12 09:33:51	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1b0073…
06-12 09:33:46	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa1db14…
06-12 09:33:36	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xc852ce…
06-12 09:33:33	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xf78e83…
06-12 09:32:51	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x4d0b2e…
06-12 09:32:46	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x040c19…
04-25 18:16:54	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	56	24¢	$13	0xd6a764…
04-25 18:10:06	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x78e725…
04-24 02:06:48	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0x3f8e7a…
04-21 11:53:38	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game2	Vici Gaming	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0xf795c9…
04-21 11:53:38	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game2	Vici Gaming	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x92552f…
04-21 11:04:52	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0xc04223…
04-21 11:04:46	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0xe6a025…
04-21 11:00:30	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game1	Vici Gaming	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x7266da…
04-21 10:45:10	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0x49ac47…
04-21 10:45:04	dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x26ea33…
04-08 04:17:17	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x89b780…
04-03 13:10:37	will trump say plastic egg during the white house easter egg roll	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x4b1a01…
04-03 11:39:33	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x3c20e7…
04-03 09:28:35	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	81	5¢	$4	0xa1a4e3…
04-03 07:04:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8dd84d…
04-03 06:49:41	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xbcf63d…
04-03 06:48:17	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x684bd3…
04-03 06:42:19	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2805cd…
04-03 06:35:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xeecf8b…
04-03 06:16:59	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xfd3bc5…
04-03 06:07:11	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xb7f2a3…
04-03 06:06:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb934f0…
04-03 06:06:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x590628…
04-03 06:06:03	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x267069…
04-03 05:58:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf9bdbf…
04-03 05:52:11	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x339e04…
04-03 05:46:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7fc177…
04-03 05:38:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x534d94…
04-03 05:35:45	will the philadelphia 76ers win more than 43pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1891ea…
04-03 05:29:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc2660e…
04-03 05:28:49	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xec5abf…
04-03 05:17:11	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xfe348c…
04-03 05:16:59	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner atlanta hawks	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x837257…
04-03 05:11:45	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9acef7…
04-03 05:11:05	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner boston celtics	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6e29b6…
04-03 05:08:49	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner atlanta hawks	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x034d44…
04-03 04:50:29	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x269e08…
04-03 04:48:33	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x016d85…
04-03 04:47:57	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1419c4…
04-03 04:16:55	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x83c4d7…
04-03 04:04:47	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x5b1f28…
04-03 03:35:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa53c9d…
04-03 02:56:49	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x99ca95…
04-03 02:46:47	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xea0fa9…
04-03 02:35:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$15	0x4469ec…
04-03 02:35:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x38cadf…
04-03 01:49:25	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77f1a7…
04-03 01:38:13	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfec472…
04-03 01:28:51	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6d19a2…
04-03 01:16:59	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xb58eab…
04-03 01:09:41	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf111d7…
04-03 01:09:15	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x678807…
04-03 00:57:05	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x9c56b5…
04-03 00:55:17	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x441d77…
04-02 23:51:59	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9fac99…
04-02 23:46:03	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0be885…
04-02 23:41:51	Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xe6d412…
04-02 23:34:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x553d24…
04-02 23:28:15	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb99c06…
04-02 23:07:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x1e2d26…
04-02 22:07:05	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x7d0de2…
04-02 22:07:01	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2c0316…
04-02 22:06:57	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b1d2e…
04-02 22:03:51	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner boston celtics	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x30e2da…
04-02 22:03:43	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner boston celtics	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x91580f…
04-02 21:57:01	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x842b07…
04-02 21:57:01	Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x4508ec…
04-02 21:48:59	Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x026b63…
04-02 21:36:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x760fb0…
04-02 21:35:05	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0e6916…
04-02 21:27:03	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x452093…
04-02 20:45:21	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x2d7261…
04-02 20:41:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x360772…
04-02 20:27:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xcd4650…
04-02 20:24:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xa143d0…
04-02 20:17:29	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x4254d4…
04-02 20:17:27	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5b49e4…
04-02 20:06:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	89	4¢	$4	0x6120f8…
04-02 19:56:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x4d7214…
04-02 19:48:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1ecdba…
04-02 19:34:57	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x8dcebf…
04-02 19:26:35	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xfdce76…
04-02 19:26:11	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x3d1853…
04-02 19:26:09	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2537ef…
04-02 19:26:05	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xa7b292…
04-02 19:26:03	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x54868d…
04-02 19:26:01	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x81f1b8…