Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

265

Trades

8,762

lifetime

Volume

$34.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$318

30 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-14 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

65% 12% -$903

Politics

19% 16% -$509

Tech

12% 0% -$10

Sports

3% 0% -$28

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$35

Crypto

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 3983 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	No	+115	$6	29¢	$34	+$28	11-02 16:45
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	+40	$30	76¢	$31	+$1	11-12 12:44
Will Vietnam win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	-20	-$18	98¢	$-20	-$2	11-09 19:11
Will "Heartland" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	+20	$15	98¢	$20	+$4	11-12 14:30
Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	+20	$17	92¢	$18	+$2	11-12 14:38
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	+645	$31	3¢	$17	-$14	10-30 07:04
Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$12	76¢	$15	+$4	11-12 14:32
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	+20	$16	74¢	$15	-$1	11-12 14:40
Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$8	64¢	$13	+$5	11-12 14:39
Will Spilled Milk win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+125	$31	10¢	$12	-$19	10-31 10:33
Will Joe Henley win The Voice: Season 30?	No	+20	$12	61¢	$12	+$0	11-12 12:44
Will the Buffalo Sabres record 100+ points?	No	+20	$13	58¢	$12	-$2	11-12 12:14
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	+40	$11	24¢	$9	-$2	11-12 12:44
Will the Buffalo Sabres record 100+ points?	Yes	+20	$8	42¢	$8	+$0	11-12 12:14
Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	+359	$29	2¢	$8	-$21	11-02 20:37
Will Connor Closs win The Voice: Season 30?	No	+9	$8	92¢	$8	+$0	11-12 12:50
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	+20	$6	41¢	$8	+$3	11-01 05:51
Will Joe Henley win The Voice: Season 30?	Yes	+20	$8	39¢	$8	$0	11-12 12:44
Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$13	36¢	$7	-$6	11-12 14:39
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	-165	-$44	4¢	$-7	+$37	11-01 21:52
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	+394	$13	2¢	$6	-$7	10-30 09:53
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	+20	$5	26¢	$5	$0	11-12 14:44
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	+744	$13	1¢	$5	-$8	10-30 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 15?	Yes	+20	$6	17¢	$3	-$2	11-13 16:39
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+84	$12	4¢	$3	-$9	11-02 22:41
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 15?	No	+20	$15	16¢	$3	-$12	11-12 12:49
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	No	+201	$12	1¢	$3	-$9	10-30 16:12
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+150	$8	2¢	$2	-$5	10-30 08:04
Will William Eklund record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	+116	$6	2¢	$2	-$4	10-30 06:58
Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	+20	$4	8¢	$2	-$2	11-12 14:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	206	$1.1K	5,372	5,372	+0	No	-$1	11-01 13:34
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026?	46	$917	1,997	1,997	+0	open	—	11-01 13:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	27	$795	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	11-01 13:33
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	22	$745	2,068	2,068	+0	open	—	11-01 13:15
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	15	$670	3,134	3,134	+0	open	—	11-01 08:53
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?	25	$614	1,699	1,699	+0	open	—	11-01 21:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	22	$392	1,172	1,172	+0	open	—	11-01 13:20
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	26	$391	1,167	1,167	+0	open	—	11-01 15:24
Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?	20	$357	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$83	11-01 17:34
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	8	$342	791	791	+0	open	—	11-01 13:15
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	11	$340	442	442	+0	open	—	11-01 13:34
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by November 30, 2026?	20	$332	1,163	1,163	+0	No	-$21	11-01 13:34
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	17	$323	502	667	-165	open	—	11-01 21:52
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	16	$320	579	579	+0	open	—	11-02 06:17
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	20	$307	476	476	+0	open	—	11-01 13:34
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	20	$288	825	825	+0	open	—	11-01 02:45
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	13	$264	1,376	1,376	+0	No	-$82	11-02 20:06
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	23	$240	488	488	+0	open	—	11-01 13:34
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	26	$238	700	700	+0	open	—	11-01 13:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	36	$232	1,189	1,189	+0	open	—	11-02 15:22
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	11	$218	816	816	+0	open	—	10-31 12:55
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	15	$218	418	418	+0	open	—	11-01 14:49
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	8	$212	622	622	+0	open	—	11-01 13:34
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?	39	$206	3,866	3,866	+0	No	-$16	11-01 02:46
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	166	$203	10,048	10,048	+0	No	-$2	11-01 13:34
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	277	$197	10,663	10,663	+0	No	+$21	11-01 13:34
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?	26	$194	3,773	3,773	+0	No	-$85	11-01 02:44
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	19	$190	479	479	+0	open	—	11-01 14:49
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	49	$189	8,546	8,546	+0	No	-$13	11-01 13:16
Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?	8	$187	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	10-30 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 03:03:17	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	274	0¢	$1	0x00f1ae…
11-13 22:33:01	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xe41073…
11-13 20:18:57	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x07b5f0…
11-13 19:40:52	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x710641…
11-13 19:39:45	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x2488b7…
11-13 19:36:55	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0x66c66a…
11-13 19:13:15	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0x14df6f…
11-13 18:32:24	KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Traktor	Traktor	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x131ef4…
11-13 17:33:48	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x1b37db…
11-13 16:58:37	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x6095b1…
11-13 16:56:06	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x6ba3c8…
11-13 16:56:04	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa2a3fd…
11-13 16:52:40	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	215	7¢	$15	0xd91996…
11-13 16:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa5cb6d…
11-13 11:34:25	Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 59.5	Over	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x578c93…
11-13 11:34:19	Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc3aace…
11-13 04:19:49	Spread: Giants (-1.5)	Giants	BUY	2,070	0¢	$2	0xe85f2b…
11-13 04:19:06	Commanders vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	2,070	0¢	$2	0x7165ff…
11-13 04:12:45	Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	2,070	0¢	$2	0xbc2097…
11-12 14:44:58	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 22?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x1ff0ae…
11-12 14:44:19	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xdb1800…
11-12 14:40:06	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x395a08…
11-12 14:39:31	Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xef83ce…
11-12 14:39:31	Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb55515…
11-12 14:38:07	Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8482a9…
11-12 14:38:06	Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb29ba6…
11-12 14:37:49	Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x183a0f…
11-12 14:32:19	Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x49fedd…
11-12 14:30:48	Will "Heartland" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x6ff2a1…
11-12 14:30:48	Will "Heartland" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3630d7…
11-12 14:30:48	Will "Heartland" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x1d34bc…
11-12 12:50:45	Will Connor Closs win The Voice: Season 30?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xbfac9b…
11-12 12:50:45	Will Connor Closs win The Voice: Season 30?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x5d9e9d…
11-12 12:49:57	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 15?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8c76b6…
11-12 12:44:19	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xae4fd9…
11-12 12:44:19	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2cd014…
11-12 12:44:19	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1a2a05…
11-12 12:44:04	Will Joe Henley win The Voice: Season 30?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa69736…
11-12 12:44:04	Will Joe Henley win The Voice: Season 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2c8c7b…
11-12 12:40:15	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xde10a8…
11-12 12:40:15	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa982be…
11-12 12:14:43	Will the Buffalo Sabres record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc9ec81…
11-12 12:14:43	Will the Buffalo Sabres record 100+ points?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x4158e5…
11-12 11:58:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x35e554…
11-12 11:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 13?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd1902a…
11-12 11:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on November 13?	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xacd889…
11-12 11:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xfd363a…
11-12 11:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7b36ce…
11-12 09:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on November 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd0d5d7…
11-12 05:37:42	1H Spread: Commanders (-13.5)	Commanders	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x07d32b…
11-11 21:15:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xd28197…
11-10 10:32:49	Will "Public Service Announcement" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x27f4ce…
11-10 10:24:03	Will "Empire State of Mind" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe9448c…
11-10 10:13:57	Will "Public Service Announcement" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x331ec7…
11-10 10:03:19	Will "Public Service Announcement" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfc1e54…
11-09 23:16:03	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 27, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xace277…
11-09 23:08:22	Will Stephen A. Smith win the Nevada Democratic primary?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x6a04c8…
11-09 19:11:34	Will Vietnam win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x45bd02…
11-09 19:10:31	Will Stephen A. Smith win the Nevada Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x596821…
11-08 17:12:31	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x733953…
11-08 17:04:15	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x7230ed…
11-04 12:06:22	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	SELL	65	8¢	$5	0xee4119…
11-04 12:06:19	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x21c898…
11-04 07:04:04	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x9a0324…
11-02 23:02:51	Will “Somewhere Over Laredo” by Lainey Wilson win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	94	8¢	$8	0x9b9b1d…
11-02 22:41:45	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	94	4¢	$4	0xc3ac82…
11-02 22:11:00	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcdee99…
11-02 22:10:58	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9bb3f6…
11-02 22:10:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xac9545…
11-02 22:10:55	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7517cf…
11-02 22:10:54	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6f2af9…
11-02 22:10:52	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x274239…
11-02 22:10:51	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8f83b9…
11-02 22:10:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x68af08…
11-02 22:10:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3ea452…
11-02 22:10:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x22d818…
11-02 22:07:16	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa1545f…
11-02 22:07:06	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3dc97b…
11-02 22:07:06	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x037557…
11-02 22:07:04	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2a33d6…
11-02 21:33:36	Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2ac924…
11-02 21:33:25	Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x2b2f30…
11-02 21:21:34	Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xa13048…
11-02 21:21:24	Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xbad905…
11-02 21:21:22	Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?	Yes	SELL	161	3¢	$5	0xbc8ebc…
11-02 20:37:06	Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x5b9281…
11-02 20:36:57	Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xf09437…
11-02 20:36:52	Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x8625ac…
11-02 20:36:36	Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x1906dc…
11-02 20:06:36	Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xad3afe…
11-02 20:05:03	Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	591	0¢	$1	0xfe3497…
11-02 20:04:58	Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x8fb33a…
11-02 20:04:46	Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	No	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xfde500…
11-02 19:59:21	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xbe969a…
11-02 18:33:30	Will the ECB decrease the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0x72bd8b…
11-02 16:57:39	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x19c3cf…
11-02 16:57:33	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x8f3783…
11-02 16:45:01	Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xccea83…
11-02 16:08:36	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe3a853…
11-02 16:08:28	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x28cd73…