Expensive-Technology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$585

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$6.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-12 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

39% 100% +$585

Crypto

36% — —

Tech

18% — —

Other

6% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes		+349	$50	12¢	$43	$-7	06-12 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$763	449	449	+0	open	—	06-12 17:24
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	15	$702	58,108	51,858	+6,250	open	—	01-28 02:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31	3	$673	1,012	1,012	+0	open	—	01-31 14:42
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	17	$393	24,668	3,300	+21,368	open	—	01-29 00:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$326	14,220	0	+14,220	open	—	02-01 02:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	2	$253	233	233	+0	open	—	06-12 17:26
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$224	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 14:42
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	4	$153	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-31 02:24
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	8	$148	6,456	0	+6,456	open	—	01-29 22:48
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	4	$132	13,981	0	+13,981	open	—	01-31 02:54
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	1	$130	765	0	+765	open	—	01-28 01:42
btc updown 15m 1770991200	6	$91	147	146	+2	open	—	02-13 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	06-01 15:00
bitcoin above 68k on february 13	2	$69	62	62	+0	open	—	02-13 16:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 31	5	$68	600	0	+600	open	—	01-31 14:33
btc updown 15m 1770992100	2	$62	182	180	+1	open	—	02-13 14:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$59	210	0	+210	open	—	02-01 20:48
btc updown 15m 1770139800	3	$58	70	30	+40	open	—	02-03 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$58	42	42	+0	open	—	06-01 15:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$57	139	216	-77	open	—	06-12 17:32
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	2	$56	200	0	+200	open	—	02-02 15:15
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	1	$50	349	0	+349	open	—	06-12 17:42
will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	1	$50	2,630	0	+2,630	open	—	01-28 01:03
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	5	$48	200	0	+200	open	—	02-01 19:48
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	3	$45	300	0	+300	open	—	02-01 19:55
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$40	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	01-28 01:03
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	1	$40	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 05:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$40	82	0	+82	open	—	06-12 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$40	82	0	+82	open	—	06-01 15:25
btc updown 15m 1770993000	4	$37	51	51	+1	open	—	02-13 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 20:21:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x09b3ca…
06-12 17:42:43	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	349	14¢	$50	0xf124d2…
06-12 17:36:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,072	3¢	$30	0x56f4b9…
06-12 17:32:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	216	15¢	$32	0x7d8dbf…
06-12 17:30:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xce9617…
06-12 17:26:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	233	66¢	$153	0x36034e…
06-12 17:24:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	449	92¢	$413	0xde9029…
06-12 16:39:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	449	78¢	$350	0x753621…
06-12 16:32:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xa2e1b0…
06-12 14:42:10	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	BUY	398	1¢	$5	0x5a5cba…
06-12 14:42:04	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	433	1¢	$5	0xc1d5c4…
06-12 14:38:52	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe44b08…
06-06 19:23:37	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	SELL	380	2¢	$8	0xab3909…
06-04 15:02:45	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0x333f41…
06-02 23:03:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x84ec25…
06-02 23:02:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x428dac…
06-01 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb45674…
06-01 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xdee1da…
06-01 15:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xaf9865…
06-01 15:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x17331b…
06-01 15:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0c84e5…
06-01 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x30eca2…
06-01 15:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x43b9e7…
06-01 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3fbb47…
06-01 15:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6f8e9b…
06-01 15:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x3ee3bf…
06-01 15:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x6ad6b8…
06-01 15:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0xd2655a…
06-01 15:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x6e23e2…
06-01 15:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe6d354…
06-01 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xdc3e24…
06-01 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xd39c99…
06-01 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xcdb822…
06-01 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x5f3123…
06-01 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0e2b4f…
06-01 14:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	211	2¢	$5	0xde672a…
06-01 14:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbdbeda…
05-29 00:12:00	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0xf932a2…
05-28 17:54:56	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6a0d93…
05-28 14:43:12	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xa08cb8…
05-28 12:44:56	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	74	12¢	$9	0x89c99d…
05-28 07:28:49	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x40d29b…
05-28 01:56:33	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x875a45…
05-28 00:24:46	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe231fa…
05-28 00:13:55	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x775e42…
05-27 16:52:15	Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x04bc49…
05-27 16:52:04	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x7ea04d…
05-27 16:51:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	121	14¢	$17	0xb3da9c…
05-27 16:49:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x5919a5…
05-27 16:47:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0x816512…
05-27 16:46:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x84d712…
05-15 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0e3722…
05-15 11:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x227ce1…
05-15 11:41:26	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x960244…
05-09 00:33:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x406ad6…
05-07 13:30:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x25521e…
05-07 13:30:33	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	152	13¢	$20	0x5404aa…
05-05 21:21:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	509	6¢	$30	0xc4c87c…
03-25 01:03:23	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	619	3¢	$20	0x65e166…
03-13 04:33:47	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xb27446…
03-13 04:32:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x14959b…
03-13 04:32:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x259b9d…
03-10 22:54:01	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	Yes	SELL	367	5¢	$17	0xba9aa0…
03-09 15:15:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xb72a49…
03-09 15:15:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x51a78b…
03-08 22:35:59	btc updown 5m 1773009300	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x3847ec…
03-08 22:22:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x1b1314…
03-08 22:22:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	16¢	$20	0x35e435…
03-04 05:17:51	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	Yes	BUY	382	5¢	$20	0xcead9a…
03-04 05:16:43	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x7139b1…
02-13 16:19:21	bitcoin above 70k on february 13	Yes	SELL	238	7¢	$17	0xfb095f…
02-13 16:18:55	bitcoin above 68k on february 13	Yes	SELL	62	94¢	$59	0x7f310e…
02-13 14:50:29	bitcoin above 64k on february 13	No	BUY	441	1¢	$5	0xfaf975…
02-13 14:49:37	bitcoin above 70k on february 13	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$6	0x6e802d…
02-13 14:44:43	btc updown 15m 1770993000	Down	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0x35ad0c…
02-13 14:41:37	bitcoin above 68k on february 13	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xcd11d8…
02-13 14:37:29	btc updown 15m 1770993000	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x004a9f…
02-13 14:36:17	btc updown 15m 1770993000	Down	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x6132a0…
02-13 14:32:49	btc updown 15m 1770993000	Down	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x9c798e…
02-13 14:32:29	btc updown 5m 1770993000	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xb1edde…
02-13 14:25:29	btc updown 5m 1770992700	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x563b5e…
02-13 14:22:31	btc updown 15m 1770992100	Down	SELL	180	12¢	$22	0x62f836…
02-13 14:17:47	btc updown 15m 1770992100	Down	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x736b60…
02-13 14:16:07	btc updown 5m 1770992100	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa5c672…
02-13 14:13:07	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	486	2¢	$10	0xabe995…
02-13 14:12:53	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x07ea58…
02-13 14:12:31	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x3d29ff…
02-13 14:10:01	btc updown 15m 1770991200	Up	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x5b9418…
02-13 14:07:57	btc updown 15m 1770991200	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x367358…
02-13 14:06:21	btc updown 15m 1770991200	Up	SELL	123	26¢	$32	0x1456ce…
02-13 14:04:59	btc updown 15m 1770991200	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xda0dfd…
02-13 14:02:33	btc updown 15m 1770991200	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4cc330…
02-13 14:00:55	btc updown 15m 1770991200	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xee742c…
02-13 14:00:31	btc updown 5m 1770991200	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8f69b3…
02-13 13:59:45	eth updown 15m 1770990300	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xd8bd85…
02-13 13:59:27	eth updown 15m 1770990300	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc70883…
02-13 13:58:11	btc updown 15m 1770990300	Up	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0xd54e49…
02-13 13:47:01	btc updown 15m 1770990300	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xba43d2…
02-13 13:46:35	btc updown 5m 1770990300	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x62b8f8…
02-13 13:46:27	btc updown 5m 1770990300	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x4b3200…