Growling-Doorway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-21 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$4

Politics

41% 0% $-15

Other

10% 100% +$11

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+24	$10	8¢	$2	$-8	06-21 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$114	150	150	+0	open	—	05-09 20:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$76	444	444	+0	open	—	06-04 11:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$65	53	53	+0	open	—	03-05 08:37
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$48	84	84	+0	open	—	02-28 07:00
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$36	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 07:00
btc updown 15m 1772265600	3	$33	40	20	+20	open	—	02-28 08:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$31	876	876	+0	open	—	02-28 07:27
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	2	$24	453	453	+0	open	—	06-05 16:27
btc updown 15m 1772195400	10	$23	24	24	+0	open	—	02-27 12:42
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	2	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	02-28 07:03
btc updown 15m 1772200800	4	$22	20	19	+0	open	—	02-27 14:14
btc updown 15m 1772205300	5	$22	20	19	+0	open	—	02-27 15:18
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5	2	$21	14	14	+0	Under	+$7	05-10 21:06
btc updown 5m 1771789800	3	$20	37	14	+23	open	—	02-22 19:52
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$20	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 11:23
btc updown 15m 1772199000	7	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	02-27 13:43
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$19	1,268	0	+1,268	open	—	06-06 21:26
btc updown 15m 1772193600	11	$17	25	19	+6	open	—	02-27 12:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$16	483	0	+483	open	—	03-02 10:15
btc updown 15m 1772199900	9	$16	20	10	+10	open	—	02-27 13:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$16	76	76	+0	open	—	02-28 19:58
btc updown 15m 1772204400	3	$16	20	9	+11	open	—	02-27 15:00
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$15	585	0	+585	open	—	06-21 15:01
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	2	$15	9	9	+0	Under	+$4	05-10 21:06
btc updown 5m 1772284800	5	$15	18	18	+0	open	—	02-28 13:24
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$15	124	124	+0	open	—	02-28 13:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 13:55
btc updown 15m 1772194500	5	$14	17	17	+0	open	—	02-27 12:22
btc updown 15m 1772192700	4	$14	27	20	+6	open	—	02-27 11:55
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$14	539	0	+539	open	—	05-11 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 15:01:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	585	3¢	$15	0x421f6a…
06-21 15:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6ef4e7…
06-06 21:26:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,268	1¢	$19	0x4599ff…
06-05 16:27:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	196	4¢	$8	0xd66ca5…
06-05 16:27:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	Yes	SELL	453	2¢	$9	0xe29748…
06-04 11:33:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	Yes	BUY	453	3¢	$15	0xc2d681…
06-04 11:31:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	8¢	$36	0x2b9d33…
06-04 11:30:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x8ef18f…
05-11 09:51:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xba8ca4…
05-11 09:51:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x95db6b…
05-10 21:06:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x30bf44…
05-10 21:06:10	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdbc180…
05-10 19:52:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0x96f3d2…
05-10 09:36:52	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x25e84a…
05-09 20:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x646277…
05-09 20:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc210c5…
05-09 20:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd24e19…
05-09 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13adfb…
05-09 20:21:10	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x97f820…
05-09 20:20:44	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xc41bf5…
05-09 20:18:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x724f29…
05-09 20:17:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xbde7a0…
05-09 20:17:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	289	4¢	$13	0xcce586…
05-09 20:15:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0x79dd85…
05-09 19:12:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87b49e…
05-09 19:11:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb7a852…
03-12 18:00:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	687	0¢	$2	0xf89ca9…
03-05 08:37:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	13	81¢	$10	0x7d3f81…
03-02 10:15:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0xdb82ad…
03-01 09:54:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x513e97…
02-28 20:08:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x679bf1…
02-28 19:58:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb37047…
02-28 19:58:23	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	76	12¢	$9	0x21137d…
02-28 18:22:33	btc updown 5m 1772302800	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc14619…
02-28 18:20:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	35	84¢	$29	0x286a8f…
02-28 14:22:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa98265…
02-28 14:22:05	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x524b58…
02-28 14:17:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xbe2d22…
02-28 13:58:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb69427…
02-28 13:57:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x015c6a…
02-28 13:57:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xddf607…
02-28 13:56:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x940e7a…
02-28 13:55:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x889a36…
02-28 13:55:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x2df37b…
02-28 13:55:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x9ffd7a…
02-28 13:38:41	btc updown 5m 1772285700	Up	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xa32ab5…
02-28 13:35:27	btc updown 5m 1772285700	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x588fc4…
02-28 13:33:53	btc updown 5m 1772285400	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f0358…
02-28 13:30:45	btc updown 5m 1772285400	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbeb2a2…
02-28 13:28:25	btc updown 5m 1772285100	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf824e3…
02-28 13:24:59	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xc0cf0b…
02-28 13:24:51	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x3e8f1c…
02-28 13:22:49	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x0ce38e…
02-28 13:21:17	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x9bf91a…
02-28 13:20:41	btc updown 5m 1772284800	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe1b978…
02-28 13:08:57	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0x4f912e…
02-28 09:34:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xb3114e…
02-28 09:34:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4932fb…
02-28 08:50:17	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x426e4e…
02-28 08:42:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xecba3b…
02-28 08:41:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x4493f2…
02-28 08:40:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x82f12c…
02-28 08:40:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x94ee85…
02-28 08:40:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa15580…
02-28 08:00:15	btc updown 15m 1772265600	Down	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xfa18de…
02-28 07:50:05	btc updown 15m 1772265600	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbe7b49…
02-28 07:50:01	btc updown 15m 1772265600	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0bc83d…
02-28 07:31:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x7c482d…
02-28 07:31:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x30d499…
02-28 07:29:35	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0xa62af2…
02-28 07:27:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	876	1¢	$10	0x42665d…
02-28 07:22:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xeafb0f…
02-28 07:22:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x31511f…
02-28 07:21:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x79e74e…
02-28 07:03:25	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x09f6bc…
02-28 07:03:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x04ef3e…
02-28 07:02:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	276	3¢	$8	0xb09a75…
02-28 07:00:59	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0x68e131…
02-28 07:00:55	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x24bcfd…
02-27 20:09:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0xc52d26…
02-27 18:10:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x8900f0…
02-27 18:09:05	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	276	0¢	$1	0x9d930c…
02-27 18:08:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	346	0¢	$1	0x5a774a…
02-27 18:08:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	346	0¢	$2	0xc0ea5b…
02-27 15:18:15	btc updown 15m 1772205300	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xe1ce25…
02-27 15:18:15	btc updown 15m 1772205300	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xc41cfd…
02-27 15:15:35	btc updown 15m 1772205300	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xbf8b59…
02-27 15:00:51	btc updown 15m 1772204400	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xd86af7…
02-27 14:50:15	btc updown 15m 1772205300	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x87cd29…
02-27 14:49:49	btc updown 15m 1772205300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe11acc…
02-27 14:49:13	btc updown 15m 1772204400	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8aeed5…
02-27 14:49:11	btc updown 15m 1772204400	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd31cee…
02-27 14:14:07	btc updown 15m 1772200800	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x174573…
02-27 14:02:51	btc updown 15m 1772200800	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x92ccee…
02-27 13:46:03	btc updown 15m 1772200800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8be774…
02-27 13:45:59	btc updown 15m 1772200800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa0e487…
02-27 13:45:35	btc updown 15m 1772199900	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x3677c2…
02-27 13:44:51	btc updown 15m 1772199900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc6a2fd…
02-27 13:44:47	btc updown 15m 1772199900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4951bc…
02-27 13:44:39	btc updown 15m 1772199900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc04827…