Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

459 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$6.13K

$47.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$338

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-28 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 88% -$22

Politics

28% 75% +$364

Other

24% 100% +$11

Tech

9% 100% +$4

Sports

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	+298	$294	100¢	$298	+$4	10-28 05:51
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+43	$41	95¢	$41	+$0	10-27 11:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	06-29 21:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	13	$3.4K	1,780	1,780	+0	Yes	-$1	02-20 14:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	15	$3.3K	1,846	1,478	+368	No	+$11	05-26 02:57
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	7	$2.1K	1,065	1,035	+30	No	+$2	07-27 14:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	No	+$1	07-08 09:30
Trump out as President by May 31?	12	$1.4K	719	719	+0	No	+$1	05-06 13:34
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	5	$1.4K	701	701	+0	Yes	-$13	08-20 04:53
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	4	$1.4K	684	684	+0	No	+$1	07-19 21:14
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	10	$1.4K	692	692	+0	No	+$1	02-17 13:00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$1.3K	675	675	+0	No	+$2	06-23 21:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	114	$1.3K	712	712	+0	open	—	06-29 21:03
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	36	$1.3K	631	685	-54	Yes	-$1	02-05 10:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	18	$1.3K	662	662	+0	No	+$4	04-16 13:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	17	$1.2K	619	619	+0	Yes	+$1	04-21 11:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	14	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$3	02-25 14:17
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	4	$882	596	298	+298	open	—	10-28 05:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	2	$712	364	364	+0	No	+$1	05-04 04:19
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	8	$710	357	357	+0	No	+$0	03-13 07:29
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	3	$709	360	360	+0	No	+$1	03-06 05:03
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$708	355	355	+0	No	+$0	02-28 08:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$708	358	358	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 15:43
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$705	358	358	+0	No	+$2	02-26 22:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	5	$705	355	355	+0	No	+$0	04-18 06:27
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	2	$700	375	375	+0	No	-$33	06-05 14:22
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	6	$697	351	351	+0	No	+$2	02-24 08:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$695	362	362	+0	No	+$0	08-10 08:01
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$694	352	352	+0	No	+$1	04-14 09:50
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$694	350	350	+0	No	+$1	02-22 04:55
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$693	368	368	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 07:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$692	353	353	+0	No	+$1	08-10 05:21
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	3	$692	347	347	+0	No	+$0	02-21 07:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:51:10	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	298	99¢	$294	0x5260ff…
10-28 03:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	298	99¢	$294	0x7c1417…
10-27 14:54:29	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$228	0xb1e36e…
10-27 14:46:17	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x473c83…
10-27 11:37:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	265	99¢	$263	0x0772d6…
10-27 11:26:33	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xe7e32b…
10-27 09:53:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$262	0xc37c0f…
10-27 07:14:21	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xa91707…
10-26 22:35:35	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc1447f…
10-26 19:04:51	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x0052e2…
10-26 16:33:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xea9179…
10-26 15:26:24	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3d92c6…
10-26 10:31:32	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x40a8cf…
10-26 07:07:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x5a28b6…
10-26 03:00:50	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x426467…
10-26 00:46:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb98726…
10-26 00:30:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf10108…
10-25 22:41:53	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x8b621a…
10-25 20:10:27	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd230f3…
10-25 17:48:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x1c5d7d…
10-25 13:36:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xc6e809…
10-25 11:37:54	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x81d147…
10-25 09:07:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x8f8625…
10-25 08:13:03	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xefc520…
10-25 06:43:02	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x89f5e3…
10-25 06:32:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x97e412…
10-25 04:53:45	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5514df…
10-25 02:31:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xae6e2c…
10-24 22:22:17	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5413e5…
10-24 18:54:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc0095a…
10-24 18:12:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x60cf64…
10-24 16:29:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	131	95¢	$124	0x101110…
10-24 12:35:42	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xfe0a02…
10-24 12:20:51	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbfaca9…
10-23 18:57:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdc88ca…
10-21 06:11:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2ac637…
10-21 05:36:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5a1751…
10-21 02:08:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1834f4…
10-21 00:22:18	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd8ed47…
10-20 03:20:26	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x382e70…
10-19 15:18:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x95fe50…
09-14 14:38:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x95d1db…
09-14 14:36:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	305	98¢	$300	0x10ab30…
09-13 22:22:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	338	98¢	$333	0x2b7906…
09-12 15:55:51	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	336	99¢	$333	0x6876a2…
09-09 20:13:27	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	336	99¢	$333	0x85f9ab…
08-20 04:53:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	351	95¢	$334	0xffa263…
08-18 15:53:00	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	351	99¢	$349	0x0258a9…
08-18 08:44:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	347	100¢	$346	0xadd656…
08-18 02:19:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x059585…
08-14 15:29:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	350	99¢	$347	0xb09805…
08-10 08:01:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	362	96¢	$348	0x7d748c…
08-10 06:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	362	96¢	$347	0x3d3c14…
08-10 05:21:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	353	98¢	$347	0xd59c3f…
08-07 12:09:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	353	98¢	$346	0x69495d…
07-27 14:57:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7ae9c8…
07-26 00:22:16	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	346	100¢	$345	0xf959a8…
07-22 15:35:22	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	346	100¢	$344	0x461bc9…
07-22 14:06:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	277	98¢	$271	0xd51d64…
07-22 14:05:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6ee459…
07-22 11:34:18	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x883e53…
07-22 11:13:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x39549e…
07-22 07:19:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	352	98¢	$344	0x00e1ea…
07-22 01:30:49	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	142	99¢	$141	0xd9693b…
07-22 00:25:24	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x24e448…
07-21 12:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?	No	BUY	348	99¢	$344	0xa2ff31…
07-21 11:48:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	344	99¢	$342	0xfa52ed…
07-21 05:37:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	344	99¢	$341	0xe922eb…
07-21 03:03:00	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	345	99¢	$343	0x55ac37…
07-20 18:42:12	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	345	99¢	$342	0x8ab7b6…
07-20 11:46:36	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	343	100¢	$341	0x821e1d…
07-20 01:37:30	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	343	99¢	$341	0xb910c1…
07-19 21:14:45	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	342	100¢	$341	0x76a9da…
07-18 07:48:39	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0x8e1123…
07-17 02:00:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	342	100¢	$341	0x3e4c07…
07-16 23:49:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	342	99¢	$340	0xfbd1ba…
07-13 02:51:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	127	95¢	$121	0x04fd2f…
07-12 19:44:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xcda776…
07-12 19:37:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x16d4f6…
07-12 19:37:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x1e881d…
07-12 19:35:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x71ed6e…
07-12 19:30:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x56e8a6…
07-12 19:09:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xfc5757…
07-12 18:45:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xdb8914…
07-12 18:28:19	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe32a9b…
07-12 18:14:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd423db…
07-12 18:06:47	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x260483…
07-12 18:06:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x7ff9be…
07-12 08:19:46	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	356	95¢	$339	0x3e45c0…
07-08 09:30:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	342	99¢	$340	0x7a47ee…
07-07 01:10:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	342	99¢	$339	0x266d8b…
07-06 17:11:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	341	99¢	$338	0x90075f…
07-06 14:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	276	99¢	$273	0x7626ed…
07-06 14:16:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x0e9daf…
07-06 14:15:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x440058…
07-06 11:47:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x7ba75e…
07-06 11:46:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	258	99¢	$256	0xb7b152…
07-06 08:33:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$337	0x4745d4…
07-03 07:18:07	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xdacc0e…
07-03 06:55:01	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x26b03e…