Warm-Wetbar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$174

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 62% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	No	+10	$9	100¢	$10	+$0	05-10 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	No	-9	$-9	100¢	$-9	+$0	05-10 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	No	+8	$8	99¢	$8	+$0	05-10 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 10?	No	-6	$-6	100¢	$-6	+$0	05-10 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8b3f92…
05-10 15:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x076875…
05-10 15:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3a40ad…
05-10 15:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x07570d…
05-09 18:25:47	Spread: AS Nancy-Lorraine (-2.5)	USL Dunkerque	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xec480d…
05-09 16:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 9?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdfbe56…
05-09 14:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x1ebf0a…
05-09 08:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xda7771…
05-08 14:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0c2925…
05-08 14:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x65df03…
05-08 09:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9a13cd…
05-08 08:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb319e5…
05-08 08:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe77c5a…
05-08 07:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x80a548…
05-07 16:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5e3aec…
05-07 16:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x257ee0…
05-07 14:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xee4f24…
05-07 14:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x399d2d…
05-07 13:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xc5f1ec…
05-06 18:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xdfbc8e…
05-06 15:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xb9c0f1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	13	$703	31	05-10 15:52
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	12	$689	21	05-10 10:30
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	10	$654	25	05-10 10:58
Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715	6	$590	9	05-10 12:55
Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b	3	$1.12K	3	05-10 15:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-07 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-06 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 7?	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$-0	05-07 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-07 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?	1	$9	0	10	-10	No	$-0	05-06 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-10 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-08 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	05-10 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 9?	1	$8	0	8	-8	No	$-0	05-09 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-10 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 9?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-09 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-08 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-08 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-08 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 8?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-08 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-08 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	$-8	05-07 14:06
Spread: AS Nancy-Lorraine (-2.5)	1	$7	0	9	-9	USL Dunkerque	$-1	05-09 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 10?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-10 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9?	1	$4	0	5	-5	No	$-1	05-09 14:48