Fixed-Digit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$681

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

801

Trades

1,536

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$644

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-27 16:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

46% 52% -$396

Crypto

30% 54% -$138

Sports

12% 50% +$19

Tech

7% 100% +$10

Politics

5% 0% -$176

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+264	$135	90¢	$236	+$101	06-15 18:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+151	$82	98¢	$147	+$66	06-24 08:11
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+148	$101	87¢	$129	+$28	06-27 16:22
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+66	$27	92¢	$60	+$33	06-11 17:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+264	$168	11¢	$28	-$140	06-18 10:36
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+148	$67	13¢	$19	-$48	06-18 14:30
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+16	$12	95¢	$15	+$3	06-16 06:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+66	$32	8¢	$6	-$26	06-11 12:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+151	$73	2¢	$4	-$69	06-20 05:53
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+16	$3	5¢	$1	-$3	06-27 16:22
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$1	94¢	$0	-$1	06-25 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	46	$2.0K	2,511	1,984	+527	open	—	06-18 10:36
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$1.0K	1,083	1,083	+0	Yes	-$7	06-14 14:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	17	$906	1,021	719	+302	open	—	06-24 08:11
Fed rate hike in 2026?	35	$819	814	787	+27	Yes	-$10	06-11 18:26
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	17	$411	557	262	+295	open	—	06-27 16:22
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	21	$401	393	393	+0	open	—	06-14 19:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	9	$359	574	574	+0	open	—	06-15 02:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$359	339	339	+0	Yes	+$3	06-06 13:26
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	24	$357	391	391	+0	No	-$18	06-27 16:22
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	14	$317	662	107	+555	No	-$3	06-16 03:46
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$289	432	160	+272	Yes	+$16	06-15 02:31
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	18	$276	680	679	+1	Yes	-$123	06-09 16:44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	7	$230	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 16:22
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$196	122	122	+0	No	-$4	06-05 04:44
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$183	200	200	+0	Yes	+$13	06-18 22:45
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$148	86	86	+0	open	—	06-18 00:48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	2	$124	200	0	+200	No	-$124	06-25 16:00
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$113	201	0	+201	Yes	+$88	05-16 11:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$107	357	357	+0	Yes	+$7	06-08 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	21	$105	339	0	+339	Down	-$105	05-09 04:56
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16?	1	$104	200	0	+200	Yes	+$96	05-16 11:14
Will Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC win on 2026-05-15?	1	$103	151	0	+151	No	-$103	05-15 15:13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$102	200	0	+200	No	-$102	06-25 16:00
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$102	175	0	+175	Yes	+$74	05-15 09:10
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-16?	1	$101	260	0	+260	No	-$101	05-16 06:59
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?	1	$101	128	0	+128	No	+$27	05-15 15:18
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?	1	$101	171	0	+171	Yes	+$70	05-15 08:41
FC Argeș Pitești vs. FC Rapid 1923: O/U 2.5	2	$101	165	0	+165	Over	-$101	05-15 15:03
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5	1	$100	123	0	+123	Under	-$100	05-17 05:00
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	1	$100	132	0	+132	No	+$32	05-14 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 16:22:44	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x1b0390…
06-27 16:22:43	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x67df0d…
06-27 16:22:40	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0x308483…
06-27 16:22:37	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$16	0x294e8c…
06-27 16:22:34	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x576bd4…
06-27 16:22:31	Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x3e8940…
06-27 16:22:29	Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x2c0711…
06-27 16:22:28	Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x5b03b9…
06-27 16:22:25	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	46	75¢	$35	0x572a1d…
06-27 16:22:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf6a4c5…
06-27 16:22:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x1250c5…
06-27 16:22:17	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0x6e742d…
06-27 16:22:13	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0x5e9042…
06-27 16:22:13	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0x3e0e6d…
06-27 16:22:10	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x528227…
06-27 16:22:10	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x1ab636…
06-26 09:49:59	Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x21eff8…
06-25 16:00:35	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x01e92e…
06-25 16:00:14	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xcec0cb…
06-25 15:59:38	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x52de12…
06-25 14:28:53	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe115fb…
06-25 14:27:04	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0xd327b1…
06-25 14:26:52	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	10¢	$9	0xa45e5e…
06-25 14:25:47	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x01e831…
06-25 14:24:44	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x3687f1…
06-25 13:59:38	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	39¢	$25	0xd16a27…
06-25 12:17:56	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	20¢	$31	0x716c35…
06-25 09:08:05	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x625feb…
06-25 06:34:53	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd94bb4…
06-25 06:32:29	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xab4762…
06-25 06:12:31	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x03b73d…
06-25 06:11:55	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x8f025b…
06-25 06:08:02	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x4a4b43…
06-25 02:51:08	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x1c1200…
06-24 21:32:02	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0xe972bd…
06-24 12:34:26	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x57de88…
06-24 08:11:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	128	59¢	$76	0x3f0562…
06-24 02:59:26	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xad7708…
06-22 23:07:13	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	64	48¢	$31	0x628918…
06-22 19:21:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x86b7c2…
06-22 18:35:40	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x02d393…
06-22 17:40:28	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6860e9…
06-22 17:40:14	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x000860…
06-22 17:40:10	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x313af4…
06-22 17:39:50	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	SELL	65	20¢	$13	0xb77df3…
06-22 17:24:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x362408…
06-22 17:21:26	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x6f0047…
06-22 15:41:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x4a5c45…
06-22 15:12:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0xbb273f…
06-22 14:57:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0x7ba74b…
06-22 14:57:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x7ba74b…
06-22 14:55:14	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xb3e1a0…
06-22 14:55:13	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xd31336…
06-22 14:55:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x957953…
06-22 14:55:07	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x0264b6…
06-22 14:55:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x22149c…
06-22 14:55:02	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x6fa009…
06-22 14:54:59	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xbcb5ac…
06-22 14:54:58	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xdff075…
06-22 14:54:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf18e25…
06-22 14:46:53	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xba4e9e…
06-22 14:44:41	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x38d7a6…
06-22 14:34:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x05698a…
06-22 14:18:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x5c98e4…
06-22 14:17:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	59	72¢	$42	0x9f66b2…
06-22 14:09:32	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x384c73…
06-22 14:07:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x8862c7…
06-22 13:45:38	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	49	77¢	$38	0x6eebab…
06-22 11:35:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xcce5f9…
06-22 11:26:14	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	191	70¢	$134	0xa3f8c9…
06-21 16:20:58	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	4¢	$6	0xcf58dc…
06-21 16:20:02	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x39c69e…
06-21 16:19:59	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x5865b9…
06-21 16:19:46	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xd7b83d…
06-21 16:19:11	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x377c6e…
06-21 16:19:08	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x604feb…
06-21 16:19:07	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xaae6fd…
06-21 09:36:16	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x389d6a…
06-21 09:06:04	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x541e27…
06-21 09:05:38	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x01edd2…
06-21 09:04:26	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x06d76b…
06-21 09:03:56	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x030500…
06-20 05:53:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0x09e2a1…
06-19 09:16:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xef2ec7…
06-19 08:35:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x23e961…
06-19 07:38:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	179	55¢	$98	0x5b8c20…
06-19 06:58:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x7883c2…
06-19 06:55:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xba0376…
06-19 06:55:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x8a4c0b…
06-19 06:54:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x22de10…
06-19 06:54:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	61	56¢	$34	0xcf9d47…
06-19 06:35:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xe6680f…
06-18 22:45:20	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xb1a3ed…
06-18 21:42:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	48¢	$67	0xf0145f…
06-18 20:51:07	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xc3e01f…
06-18 20:33:01	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x0f9403…
06-18 15:01:02	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	61¢	$36	0xa55d01…
06-18 14:53:22	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xc8fc9e…
06-18 14:30:46	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x676b28…
06-18 14:21:35	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0x8e27e8…