Wicked-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$590

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,443

5,296 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$26.0K

$91.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$36

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-28 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

56% 57% -$742

Politics

39% 71% -$2,266

Tech

4% 42% -$25

Crypto

0% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	+142	$12	14¢	$19	+$7	10-28 13:19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+13	$4	78¢	$10	+$6	10-25 08:59
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	No	+21	$35	22¢	$5	-$30	10-12 14:00
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	12¢	$2	-$1	10-24 12:16
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$2	99¢	$0	+$2	09-26 01:52
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+0	$3	44¢	$0	-$3	09-21 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	32	$5.0K	2,692	2,692	+0	Yes	+$26	06-27 07:01
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	25	$3.3K	1,710	1,710	+0	Yes	+$20	06-29 14:12
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	20	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$32	06-18 11:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	19	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$16	06-22 17:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	17	$1.8K	950	950	+0	No	+$6	07-02 17:03
will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	28	$1.5K	765	716	+49	No	+$12	07-31 20:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.5K	1,200	400	+800	Yes	-$681	06-13 21:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	108	$1.2K	1,291	1,016	+276	open	—	10-28 18:51
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	23	$1.2K	616	615	+0	Yes	+$18	07-15 11:58
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	18	$1.1K	616	616	+0	No	+$29	06-27 18:11
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	13	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$36	06-24 03:06
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	31	$1.1K	608	608	+0	No	+$51	08-11 13:18
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	67	$999	807	807	+0	No	-$81	09-06 18:25
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?	77	$891	661	621	+40	Yes	+$42	09-11 20:31
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	28	$891	1,224	51	+1,173	Yes	-$834	07-01 08:12
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	79	$870	877	675	+202	open	—	10-28 18:49
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	9	$869	600	600	+0	Yes	-$179	07-01 06:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$789	450	450	+0	No	+$7	06-17 17:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	5	$741	400	400	+0	No	+$21	06-10 00:48
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	68	$725	1,008	739	+269	open	—	10-28 20:25
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	14	$712	400	400	+0	Yes	+$10	06-25 13:16
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	60	$709	633	557	+75	open	—	10-28 19:28
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	17	$672	346	330	+16	Yes	+$2	07-11 21:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$672	600	100	+500	No	+$18	06-07 15:51
iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	17	$671	368	352	+16	No	+$35	08-07 06:27
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	54	$650	565	529	+36	Yes	+$130	09-23 12:13
iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	10	$645	326	326	+0	No	-$1	07-10 11:05
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?	16	$599	323	323	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 16:39
untitled market 1 20260625224941800	28	$592	300	300	+0	No	+$4	06-29 12:15
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	37	$573	418	329	+90	open	—	10-28 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:25:52	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xecae5f…
10-28 19:47:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x211272…
10-28 19:36:50	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7ba562…
10-28 19:36:02	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf413f2…
10-28 19:33:07	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd251a1…
10-28 19:28:26	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe9c2b4…
10-28 19:27:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf6439c…
10-28 19:27:16	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x2753a6…
10-28 19:27:02	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x823d24…
10-28 19:23:37	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x009c54…
10-28 19:22:28	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0xcf8558…
10-28 19:19:16	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x29ae81…
10-28 19:15:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x77c505…
10-28 19:14:16	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xad147c…
10-28 19:13:40	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x1a3c48…
10-28 19:12:41	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x4c96d9…
10-28 19:07:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x260237…
10-28 19:05:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xe05e98…
10-28 19:05:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	BUY	133	10¢	$13	0xaa0faf…
10-28 19:05:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x758eea…
10-28 18:58:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	134	5¢	$6	0x154278…
10-28 18:57:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	34	4¢	$2	0x7a909b…
10-28 18:51:43	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xa86c82…
10-28 18:49:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x517229…
10-28 18:35:01	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7f30ae…
10-28 18:32:20	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x710ee6…
10-28 18:26:14	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xca1fd2…
10-28 18:25:23	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x33760d…
10-28 18:25:04	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x1a76ba…
10-28 18:24:26	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xe44090…
10-28 18:22:53	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xe4cee0…
10-28 18:20:46	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x409a9c…
10-28 17:19:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf1ea84…
10-28 17:17:58	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	44	58¢	$26	0xd05d83…
10-28 17:17:23	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x8ce2ff…
10-28 17:17:08	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd891a9…
10-28 17:16:52	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xeb2255…
10-28 17:03:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x7e91b6…
10-28 16:54:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b198d…
10-28 16:47:07	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 29?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xbe8c4a…
10-28 15:44:31	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xf783e4…
10-28 15:41:43	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xd09131…
10-28 15:38:22	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x775ac9…
10-28 15:37:52	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0xa34296…
10-28 15:17:50	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x77799c…
10-28 15:13:38	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x004447…
10-28 15:13:34	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x2ae6f3…
10-28 14:17:29	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3b0695…
10-28 14:14:40	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3c46df…
10-28 14:14:20	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$15	0xb23396…
10-28 14:11:25	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x181453…
10-28 14:11:07	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xaec3fd…
10-28 14:11:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0x89db02…
10-28 14:02:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xecdbee…
10-28 14:02:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xcca3b1…
10-28 14:00:28	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xe1422e…
10-28 13:58:52	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	199	3¢	$6	0xbe8990…
10-28 13:53:43	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	No	SELL	135	8¢	$10	0x1705b9…
10-28 13:51:29	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xbf90b0…
10-28 13:51:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6e4ef4…
10-28 13:50:55	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xae7dec…
10-28 13:45:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x5648c2…
10-28 13:42:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xe9d827…
10-28 13:42:31	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb82ffe…
10-28 13:41:35	Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x75e0a2…
10-28 13:41:28	Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xe136f3…
10-28 13:34:05	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x862b21…
10-28 13:19:04	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x3a8703…
10-28 13:18:22	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xb43165…
10-28 13:18:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xd61b45…
10-28 13:17:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x1fd14b…
10-28 13:17:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	SELL	63	11¢	$7	0xe6c6ae…
10-28 13:15:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	169	8¢	$14	0xdddb3b…
10-28 13:08:52	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x24aa95…
10-28 13:05:13	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xa58de5…
10-28 13:00:35	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x34dad3…
10-28 12:59:40	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x37ff3f…
10-28 12:54:41	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x062e82…
10-28 12:54:07	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	33¢	$21	0x1d7bd8…
10-28 12:49:58	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2ab9ab…
10-28 12:38:29	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xfaeea9…
10-28 12:38:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5bff0a…
10-28 12:37:04	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfa91e6…
10-28 12:31:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x3948cd…
10-28 12:29:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xaf05cc…
10-28 12:27:53	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x331f54…
10-28 12:24:44	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x42d685…
10-28 12:06:20	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x241bb9…
10-28 11:35:14	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x78a77c…
10-28 10:20:02	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6e37ce…
10-28 10:18:49	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x92da51…
10-28 10:12:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xd15197…
10-28 08:01:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2fa66a…
10-28 07:12:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xd9b7b7…
10-28 05:58:19	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe65119…
10-28 04:58:16	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x2690a6…
10-28 04:52:28	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7a50d1…
10-28 04:38:01	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe57d40…
10-28 04:37:14	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5f8a06…
10-28 04:35:49	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x63ff4b…