Wicked-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$354

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

686

5,208 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.89K

$90.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$17

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-28 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

56% 57% -$742

Politics

40% 71% -$2,266

Tech

4% 42% -$25

Crypto

0% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+13	$4	76¢	$10	+$6	10-25 08:59
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	No	+21	$35	24¢	$5	-$30	10-12 14:00
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	11¢	$2	-$1	10-24 12:16
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+0	$3	47¢	$0	-$3	09-21 07:40
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$2	37¢	$0	+$2	09-26 01:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	32	$5.0K	2,692	2,692	+0	Yes	+$26	06-27 07:01
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	25	$3.3K	1,710	1,710	+0	Yes	+$20	06-29 14:12
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	20	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$32	06-18 11:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	19	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$16	06-22 17:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	17	$1.8K	950	950	+0	No	+$6	07-02 17:03
will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	28	$1.5K	765	716	+49	No	+$12	07-31 20:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.5K	1,200	400	+800	Yes	-$681	06-13 21:03
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	23	$1.2K	616	615	+0	Yes	+$18	07-15 11:58
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	107	$1.2K	1,231	1,016	+216	open	—	10-28 01:42
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	18	$1.1K	616	616	+0	No	+$29	06-27 18:11
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	13	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$36	06-24 03:06
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	31	$1.1K	608	608	+0	No	+$51	08-11 13:18
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	67	$999	807	807	+0	No	-$81	09-06 18:25
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?	77	$891	661	621	+40	Yes	+$42	09-11 20:31
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	28	$891	1,224	51	+1,173	Yes	-$834	07-01 08:12
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	9	$869	600	600	+0	Yes	-$179	07-01 06:55
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	77	$844	817	675	+142	open	—	10-28 01:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$789	450	450	+0	No	+$7	06-17 17:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	5	$741	400	400	+0	No	+$21	06-10 00:48
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	14	$712	400	400	+0	Yes	+$10	06-25 13:16
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	67	$709	988	739	+249	open	—	10-28 04:18
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	17	$672	346	330	+16	Yes	+$2	07-11 21:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$672	600	100	+500	No	+$18	06-07 15:51
iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	17	$671	368	352	+16	No	+$35	08-07 06:27
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	54	$650	565	529	+36	Yes	+$130	09-23 12:13
iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	10	$645	326	326	+0	No	-$1	07-10 11:05
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	55	$639	593	512	+80	open	—	10-28 04:15
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?	16	$599	323	323	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 16:39
untitled market 1 20260625224941800	28	$592	300	300	+0	No	+$4	06-29 12:15
nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	16	$558	296	296	+0	Yes	-$1	08-17 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:38:29	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xfaeea9…
10-28 12:38:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5bff0a…
10-28 12:37:04	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfa91e6…
10-28 12:31:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x3948cd…
10-28 12:29:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xaf05cc…
10-28 12:27:53	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x331f54…
10-28 12:24:44	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x42d685…
10-28 12:06:20	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x241bb9…
10-28 11:35:14	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x78a77c…
10-28 10:20:02	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6e37ce…
10-28 10:18:49	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x92da51…
10-28 10:12:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xd15197…
10-28 08:01:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2fa66a…
10-28 07:12:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xd9b7b7…
10-28 05:58:19	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe65119…
10-28 04:58:16	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x2690a6…
10-28 04:52:28	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7a50d1…
10-28 04:38:01	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe57d40…
10-28 04:37:14	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5f8a06…
10-28 04:35:49	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x63ff4b…
10-28 04:33:32	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	56	51¢	$29	0x69b9ea…
10-28 04:33:07	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xeeb7d2…
10-28 04:26:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 29?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x64516e…
10-28 04:26:17	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x87af9a…
10-28 04:25:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5798b3…
10-28 04:24:34	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xca0016…
10-28 04:19:40	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7bfbc5…
10-28 04:18:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0xbe7691…
10-28 04:15:23	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x2e5882…
10-28 04:12:38	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xa46c89…
10-28 04:10:01	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x025fae…
10-28 04:08:13	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x3c447f…
10-28 04:05:55	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0a7a01…
10-28 04:05:46	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x29484d…
10-28 04:03:32	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x811384…
10-28 03:28:22	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x3de05d…
10-28 01:43:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6926b1…
10-28 01:42:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xa7ac92…
10-28 01:41:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf0e934…
10-28 01:41:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x3abaca…
10-28 01:40:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd2038a…
10-28 01:32:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x23b1cd…
10-28 01:13:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x8a6360…
10-28 01:12:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe3ffd6…
10-28 01:10:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0xc8304d…
10-28 00:28:18	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xd8e43d…
10-27 22:27:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x449e74…
10-27 22:15:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3a955b…
10-27 21:04:11	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x957837…
10-27 20:35:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0x6a9917…
10-27 19:43:56	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe29f05…
10-27 19:11:15	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe2b20c…
10-27 19:10:56	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe55726…
10-27 19:09:41	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x916190…
10-27 19:09:32	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x9f8627…
10-27 19:01:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x1119d9…
10-27 19:01:15	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x7a0bb9…
10-27 18:52:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x6078fe…
10-27 18:51:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x102e05…
10-27 18:50:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf3e99a…
10-27 18:50:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3bf8ec…
10-27 18:50:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4d429f…
10-27 18:50:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x3ca97a…
10-27 18:43:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x9ff3c1…
10-27 18:43:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8d91af…
10-27 18:41:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xdf83f5…
10-27 18:41:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x8e0222…
10-27 18:38:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x587bf3…
10-27 18:38:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5588c8…
10-27 16:36:44	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x168a8a…
10-27 16:34:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xdb907a…
10-27 16:33:48	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x689549…
10-27 16:25:00	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x9e3b71…
10-27 16:24:56	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xa0a5c4…
10-27 16:23:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xec8a28…
10-27 16:20:57	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x9856bc…
10-27 16:18:00	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa8813c…
10-27 14:42:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2b46de…
10-27 14:39:23	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x6f9c49…
10-27 14:29:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0xe9f006…
10-27 12:01:18	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4d0859…
10-27 11:20:27	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x3f96aa…
10-27 10:44:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xcd2942…
10-27 10:44:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc1528d…
10-27 10:15:23	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x15754c…
10-27 10:04:20	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xd085c3…
10-27 10:04:20	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3e9b83…
10-27 08:37:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x2cc54c…
10-27 04:32:00	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xdd61e1…
10-27 04:30:44	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x6d1cd0…
10-27 04:30:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xe7e86b…
10-27 04:12:02	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xebcbc0…
10-27 04:06:57	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0bf504…
10-27 03:58:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x744ab6…
10-27 03:36:36	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xaee76a…
10-27 03:34:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xe8dca8…
10-27 03:31:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	26	44¢	$12	0x6b1771…
10-27 03:31:21	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x888041…
10-27 03:31:17	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x4758ea…
10-27 03:27:56	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x7c70f7…