Wicked-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$831

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved (90d)

228

Trades (90d)

4,746

5,382 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$49.9K

$91.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$58

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-30 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

57% 56% -$789

Politics

39% 71% -$2,265

Tech

4% 42% -$25

Crypto

0% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	+467	$23	6¢	$28	+$5	10-29 07:35
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	+541	$29	2¢	$11	-$18	10-30 03:14
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	No	+21	$35	44¢	$9	-$26	10-12 14:00
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+13	$4	56¢	$7	+$3	10-25 08:59
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	12¢	$2	-$1	10-24 12:16
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+0	$3	38¢	$0	-$3	09-21 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	32	$5.0K	2,692	2,692	+0	Yes	+$26	06-27 07:01
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	25	$3.3K	1,710	1,710	+0	Yes	+$20	06-29 14:12
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	20	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$32	06-18 11:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	19	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$16	06-22 17:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	17	$1.8K	950	950	+0	No	+$6	07-02 17:03
will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	28	$1.5K	765	716	+49	No	+$12	07-31 20:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.5K	1,200	400	+800	Yes	-$681	06-13 21:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	117	$1.3K	1,362	1,138	+225	open	—	10-30 03:37
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	23	$1.2K	616	615	+0	Yes	+$18	07-15 11:58
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	18	$1.1K	616	616	+0	No	+$29	06-27 18:11
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	13	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$36	06-24 03:06
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	31	$1.1K	608	608	+0	No	+$51	08-11 13:18
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	67	$999	807	807	+0	No	-$81	09-06 18:25
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	88	$976	962	822	+139	open	—	10-30 02:07
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?	77	$891	661	621	+40	Yes	+$42	09-11 20:31
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	28	$891	1,224	51	+1,173	Yes	-$834	07-01 08:12
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	9	$869	600	600	+0	Yes	-$179	07-01 06:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$789	450	450	+0	No	+$7	06-17 17:19
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	63	$774	633	632	+0	open	—	10-29 07:58
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	72	$742	1,168	739	+429	open	—	10-29 08:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	5	$741	400	400	+0	No	+$21	06-10 00:48
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	14	$712	400	400	+0	Yes	+$10	06-25 13:16
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	17	$672	346	330	+16	Yes	+$2	07-11 21:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$672	600	100	+500	No	+$18	06-07 15:51
iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	17	$671	368	352	+16	No	+$35	08-07 06:27
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	42	$664	458	391	+67	open	—	10-30 00:24
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	54	$650	565	529	+36	Yes	+$130	09-23 12:13
iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	10	$645	326	326	+0	No	-$1	07-10 11:05
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?	16	$599	323	323	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 16:39
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?	46	$596	471	471	+0	open	—	10-29 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:37:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x0e27b0…
10-30 03:14:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xaefb4f…
10-30 03:13:12	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd75986…
10-30 02:10:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x67468a…
10-30 02:09:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xde9421…
10-30 02:07:40	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x9dfa34…
10-30 02:07:16	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xcffa82…
10-30 02:06:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x0297e3…
10-30 01:37:46	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1e75bb…
10-30 01:33:37	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5188f6…
10-30 01:33:06	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf00e35…
10-30 01:32:51	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x7353c8…
10-30 01:25:37	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd21eca…
10-30 01:00:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xf00882…
10-30 00:56:12	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x1b5997…
10-30 00:55:04	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8c0e5d…
10-30 00:50:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x8c214d…
10-30 00:50:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x800ebc…
10-30 00:49:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x008e4d…
10-30 00:48:51	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x127b75…
10-30 00:37:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0182cc…
10-30 00:35:06	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?	No	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0xaa0f31…
10-30 00:30:01	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0xfccc46…
10-30 00:24:55	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8e459d…
10-30 00:24:34	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x17046b…
10-30 00:23:39	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd8c1dd…
10-30 00:21:36	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x1beff3…
10-30 00:18:19	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf4b27a…
10-30 00:17:33	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x4babce…
10-30 00:17:03	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe0b6e7…
10-30 00:16:39	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x97c475…
10-30 00:13:36	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x784423…
10-30 00:13:30	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcd829a…
10-30 00:00:37	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xd7cc71…
10-29 23:31:46	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x254656…
10-29 23:02:48	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xcd4db1…
10-29 23:02:22	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8deb3b…
10-29 22:56:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xdf1e04…
10-29 22:47:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xdfff00…
10-29 22:45:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xd80c55…
10-29 22:43:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0xebc007…
10-29 19:05:25	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x8cfa9d…
10-29 17:49:32	Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xd25bc3…
10-29 17:49:32	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x4bd97d…
10-29 17:26:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xb3eded…
10-29 16:19:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0x09dbd5…
10-29 16:19:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x38c8a0…
10-29 16:17:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	No	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x71793d…
10-29 14:41:20	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xcd6582…
10-29 13:06:49	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x1f2b25…
10-29 12:27:34	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0xabaa38…
10-29 12:14:29	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x938bc8…
10-29 11:03:55	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x5ec5bb…
10-29 11:00:02	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1b58f1…
10-29 10:02:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2a13f7…
10-29 09:20:13	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x64b543…
10-29 09:20:11	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x01170a…
10-29 09:03:40	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5a70d4…
10-29 09:03:38	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x29d39e…
10-29 08:44:52	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xe39575…
10-29 08:38:43	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x65b069…
10-29 08:37:58	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc0dbf9…
10-29 08:29:19	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf0c595…
10-29 08:23:10	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x16c9e0…
10-29 08:22:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x59bfaf…
10-29 08:20:46	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2e602a…
10-29 08:06:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?	No	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x8b20b0…
10-29 08:03:23	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x62eb34…
10-29 08:03:17	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0xe9243c…
10-29 08:00:13	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	No	BUY	105	8¢	$9	0x8b413f…
10-29 07:59:46	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x0372b1…
10-29 07:58:49	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xc33a06…
10-29 07:58:29	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf87d49…
10-29 07:51:13	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xef1691…
10-29 07:47:28	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5609cb…
10-29 07:46:07	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9a3fe4…
10-29 07:45:49	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6c26d9…
10-29 07:41:19	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x3a5c8e…
10-29 07:35:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xed4f81…
10-29 07:35:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6afd0c…
10-29 07:35:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x288294…
10-29 07:34:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	257	5¢	$13	0x68251b…
10-29 07:33:34	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x456c1e…
10-29 07:33:10	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xfe7cdb…
10-29 07:32:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x1f66a9…
10-29 07:29:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xa802df…
10-29 07:27:04	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x1083b8…
10-29 07:22:52	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcb55b1…
10-29 06:57:40	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xb61302…
10-29 06:57:10	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 24, 2026?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x56092d…
10-29 06:36:08	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x7658b0…
10-29 06:34:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	BUY	140	6¢	$8	0x6a4f93…
10-29 06:34:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xd031c0…
10-29 06:34:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xec04ed…
10-29 06:34:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x13fb3c…
10-29 06:33:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x64896c…
10-29 06:29:08	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x1e2295…
10-29 06:28:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 14?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x904270…
10-29 06:28:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xe49828…
10-29 06:12:25	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x40412e…