Realized P&L (24h)
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
57
6,369 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$966
$106.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$962
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-14 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$1,058
Politics
40% 68% -$2,466
Tech
4% 41% -$34
Crypto
0% 33% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +200 $164 93¢ $187 +$23 11-14 14:43
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +200 $180 89¢ $178 -$2 11-14 15:51
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026? No +60 $35 73¢ $44 +$9 11-14 16:26
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? No +60 $51 68¢ $40 -$11 11-14 02:53
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 8, 2026? No +73 $54 52¢ $38 -$16 11-14 17:14
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +38 -$61 97¢ $36 +$98 11-07 13:20
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 16, 2026? Yes +62 $48 52¢ $32 -$16 11-14 11:28
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026? Yes +31 $29 100¢ $31 +$2 11-12 11:19
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +30 $27 100¢ $29 +$3 11-11 04:36
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026? No +186 $41 15¢ $27 -$14 11-14 20:33
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +33 $26 82¢ $27 +$1 11-14 11:30
Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 16, 2026? Yes +60 $38 40¢ $24 -$14 11-14 16:42
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $32 8¢ $22 -$10 11-14 16:19
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +26 $15 78¢ $20 +$6 11-11 05:13
Google announces a full training pause in 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$1 10-16 04:15
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? Yes +48 $22 42¢ $20 -$2 11-13 23:06
NATO downs another Russian drone by November 15? No +22 $17 88¢ $19 +$2 11-14 04:37
Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by November 30, 2026? No +38 $24 45¢ $17 -$7 11-13 14:45
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $11 85¢ $17 +$6 11-13 13:26
Will Iran target Kuwait by November 30, 2026? No +20 $9 80¢ $16 +$7 11-13 02:30
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? No +25 $29 58¢ $15 -$14 11-13 10:33
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026? Yes +184 $18 8¢ $14 -$4 11-09 03:30
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? No +18 $9 76¢ $14 +$5 11-14 12:20
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $15 64¢ $13 -$2 11-14 12:48
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 22? No +16 $12 76¢ $12 $0 11-13 09:59
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $18 25¢ $10 -$7 11-13 10:25
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 51¢ $10 -$1 11-13 02:29
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by November 30, 2026? No +12 $9 87¢ $10 +$2 11-13 02:29
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 49¢ $10 +$4 11-13 05:01
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +83 $7 11¢ $9 +$2 11-13 15:52