Realized P&L (24h)
-$46
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved (24h)
9
Trades (24h)
57
6,326 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$834
$105.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$693
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-14 02:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$1,058
Politics
40% 68% -$2,476
Tech
4% 41% -$34
Crypto
0% 33% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +100 $71 94¢ $94 +$23 11-14 01:23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +100 $91 90¢ $90 -$1 11-13 20:18
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? No +60 $51 79¢ $47 -$4 11-14 02:53
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +38 -$61 98¢ $37 +$98 11-07 13:20
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 23? Yes +48 $33 74¢ $35 +$3 11-07 21:21
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +30 $27 100¢ $29 +$3 11-11 04:36
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026? Yes +31 $29 94¢ $29 +$0 11-12 11:19
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +33 $26 82¢ $27 +$0 11-13 02:37
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026? No +78 $26 34¢ $27 +$0 11-13 14:48
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026? No +30 $13 83¢ $24 +$12 11-13 19:21
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? No +38 $22 61¢ $23 +$1 11-13 20:30
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? Yes +48 $22 45¢ $22 +$0 11-13 23:06
Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by November 30, 2026? No +38 $24 55¢ $21 -$3 11-13 14:45
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +26 $15 78¢ $20 +$6 11-11 05:13
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 74¢ $15 +$3 11-13 02:29
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? Yes +195 $25 8¢ $15 -$11 11-13 12:00
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026? Yes +184 $18 8¢ $14 -$4 11-09 03:30
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? No +25 $29 55¢ $14 -$15 11-13 10:33
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $11 66¢ $13 +$2 11-13 13:26
Will Iran target Kuwait by November 30, 2026? No +20 $9 65¢ $13 +$4 11-13 02:30
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 22? No +16 $12 76¢ $12 $0 11-13 09:59
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $18 25¢ $10 -$7 11-13 10:25
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by November 30, 2026? No +12 $9 89¢ $10 +$2 11-13 02:29
SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026? Yes +180 $12 5¢ $9 -$3 11-13 01:21
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +83 $7 10¢ $8 +$1 11-13 15:52
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? Yes +20 $8 39¢ $8 +$0 11-13 11:50
Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by December 31, 2026? No +41 $7 17¢ $7 +$1 11-13 16:12
Will Iran target Kuwait by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $2 35¢ $7 +$5 11-13 01:29
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026? No +100 $6 6¢ $6 +$1 11-13 06:35
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $17 22¢ $6 -$11 11-13 00:53