Realized P&L (24h)
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
14.5%
Resolved (24h)
5
Trades (24h)
63
6,356 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$831
$105.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$797
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-14 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$1,058
Politics
40% 68% -$2,476
Tech
4% 41% -$34
Crypto
0% 33% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +100 $71 94¢ $94 +$24 11-14 01:23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +100 $91 90¢ $90 -$2 11-13 20:18
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? No +60 $51 79¢ $47 -$4 11-14 02:53
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 16, 2026? Yes +62 $48 76¢ $47 -$1 11-14 11:28
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 8, 2026? No +54 $41 78¢ $42 +$1 11-14 05:33
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +38 -$61 99¢ $37 +$98 11-07 13:20
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 23? Yes +48 $33 74¢ $35 +$3 11-07 21:21
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 6, 2026? Yes +31 $29 99¢ $31 +$2 11-12 11:19
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? No +30 $27 100¢ $29 +$3 11-11 04:36
Will Russia target Kyiv on November 10, 2026? No +40 $20 71¢ $29 +$9 11-14 11:26
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +33 $26 82¢ $27 +$1 11-14 11:30
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026? No +118 $35 22¢ $25 -$10 11-14 14:16
Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by November 30, 2026? No +38 $24 55¢ $21 -$3 11-13 14:45
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +26 $15 78¢ $20 +$6 11-11 05:13
Google announces a full training pause in 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$1 10-16 04:15
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? Yes +48 $22 42¢ $20 -$2 11-13 23:06
NATO downs another Russian drone by November 15? No +22 $17 88¢ $19 +$2 11-14 04:37
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $11 78¢ $16 +$4 11-13 13:26
Will Iran target Kuwait by November 30, 2026? No +20 $9 78¢ $16 +$6 11-13 02:30
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 30? No +25 $29 58¢ $15 -$14 11-13 10:33
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? Yes +195 $25 8¢ $15 -$11 11-13 12:00
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026? Yes +184 $18 8¢ $14 -$4 11-09 03:30
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30? No +18 $9 76¢ $14 +$5 11-14 12:20
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $15 66¢ $13 -$2 11-14 12:48
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 22? No +16 $12 76¢ $12 $0 11-13 09:59
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 57¢ $11 +$5 11-13 05:01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $18 25¢ $10 -$7 11-13 10:25
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by November 30, 2026? No +12 $9 82¢ $9 +$1 11-13 02:29
SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026? Yes +180 $12 5¢ $9 -$3 11-13 01:21
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +83 $7 11¢ $9 +$1 11-13 15:52