Vigorous-Diction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$46.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$395

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-28 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

84% — —

Other

8% 0% -$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$4

Sports

4% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$3.6K	1,809	1,809	+0	open	—	05-06 06:35
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.5K	1,771	1,771	+0	open	—	06-02 09:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.8K	912	912	+0	No	-$1	04-18 03:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.8K	911	911	+0	Yes	+$0	04-26 05:15
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	904	904	+0	open	—	05-04 01:47
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.8K	899	899	+0	open	—	05-10 05:20
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	901	901	+0	open	—	05-08 02:19
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.8K	897	897	+0	open	—	05-14 06:21
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	897	897	+0	open	—	05-12 04:03
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	894	894	+0	open	—	05-18 02:17
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	896	896	+0	open	—	05-16 06:50
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	893	893	+0	open	—	05-20 05:18
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.8K	892	892	+0	open	—	05-22 05:12
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	891	891	+0	No	-$1	05-24 06:31
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	886	886	+0	open	—	05-28 06:04
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	885	885	+0	open	—	05-31 05:35
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.8K	882	882	+0	open	—	06-09 04:56
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	882	882	+0	open	—	06-04 05:27
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	881	881	+0	open	—	06-14 05:31
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	881	881	+0	open	—	06-12 03:42
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	879	879	+0	open	—	06-17 03:01
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	877	877	+0	open	—	06-19 02:52
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.6K	786	786	+0	open	—	05-02 02:02
bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	06-26 03:03
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	06-30 05:16
ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	08-21 05:29
ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	07-10 05:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	08-26 08:44
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 25?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-25 05:13
bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	09-05 05:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 05:41:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd0ad60…
09-26 06:09:27	bitcoin above 80k on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x982eda…
09-25 04:46:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfaf13d…
09-23 05:28:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb150a6…
09-22 05:18:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8ec5eb…
09-21 06:08:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2af1da…
09-19 04:10:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x13c69a…
09-18 06:16:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa88950…
09-17 05:16:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6bf02f…
09-16 05:10:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf90841…
09-15 03:51:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2b5f09…
09-12 03:09:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x47c790…
09-11 05:52:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x78ffc3…
09-09 05:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4f04ac…
09-08 05:51:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x082e84…
09-05 05:38:15	bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x23eb01…
09-04 05:33:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6d281e…
09-02 05:35:48	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8f6b67…
09-01 06:51:10	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf9aa86…
08-31 03:37:58	ethereum above 2100 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0025f1…
08-29 03:44:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc18dd7…
08-28 05:40:21	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on August 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef68fa…
08-26 08:44:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6b1704…
08-25 05:13:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 25?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x369d65…
08-24 06:02:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x223dc5…
08-22 05:59:43	bitcoin above 70k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3d1b33…
08-21 05:29:55	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2d01e8…
08-20 05:37:12	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9ba499…
08-17 04:04:42	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x73358f…
08-16 05:35:45	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 16?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc8db0b…
08-14 05:31:01	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4a7118…
08-13 06:18:30	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x91ef1a…
08-12 05:42:46	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7e70c3…
08-11 04:00:07	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0e269d…
08-08 06:21:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x568a44…
08-07 05:30:06	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb2c59b…
08-06 06:14:09	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbd2f80…
08-05 05:45:20	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x361c66…
08-03 06:34:26	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4d7dd5…
08-02 03:38:05	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xea00bf…
08-01 06:03:08	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc28e89…
07-30 05:27:39	xrp above 1 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x77a751…
07-29 05:15:56	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 29?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa0575e…
07-28 03:30:54	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x16e88f…
07-27 04:02:46	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8c9fad…
07-25 05:53:34	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 25?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xb264da…
07-24 05:28:55	xrp above 1pt2 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdcab07…
07-23 05:32:45	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xdda030…
07-21 03:14:33	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb67db3…
07-20 05:57:34	solana above 70 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe4d18a…
07-19 03:22:42	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x300bd8…
07-16 04:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x84c0e5…
07-15 05:30:31	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6538f9…
07-14 03:26:14	xrp above 1 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x82671a…
07-13 02:32:13	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x40b035…
07-12 03:26:59	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd8c76a…
07-10 05:38:46	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1d0ced…
07-09 05:39:38	bitcoin above 58k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x60750f…
07-08 05:10:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1c03e6…
07-05 05:46:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3846fe…
07-04 04:10:32	ethereum above 1700 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x821cfd…
07-03 05:09:38	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x08b1dc…
07-01 03:52:29	solana above 60 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbdc0bb…
06-30 05:16:53	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xca80bb…
06-26 03:03:02	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x45d40e…
06-25 03:39:13	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x139ff5…
06-24 05:29:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x593be5…
06-19 02:52:04	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	877	99¢	$871	0x544313…
06-18 06:38:43	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	877	99¢	$872	0x0baa18…
06-17 03:01:24	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	879	99¢	$872	0x4994c5…
06-15 03:56:49	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	879	99¢	$873	0x4c1610…
06-14 05:31:40	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	881	99¢	$874	0xf324d2…
06-13 05:50:27	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	881	99¢	$874	0x6b4b1c…
06-12 03:42:22	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	881	99¢	$873	0xbfef1a…
06-10 06:09:18	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	881	99¢	$874	0xf3caca…
06-09 04:56:00	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	882	99¢	$876	0x12caee…
06-08 05:31:58	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	882	99¢	$877	0x6771a0…
06-04 05:27:07	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	882	99¢	$875	0x9e4be6…
06-03 05:44:13	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	882	99¢	$876	0xe7df79…
06-02 09:30:00	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	884	99¢	$878	0x46250e…
06-01 06:00:13	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	884	99¢	$879	0xdee48e…
05-31 05:35:37	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	885	99¢	$879	0x8f89e8…
05-30 03:45:37	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	885	99¢	$880	0xadc76a…
05-28 06:04:58	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	886	99¢	$879	0xaff405…
05-27 10:48:44	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	886	99¢	$880	0x18821e…
05-26 05:20:37	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	887	99¢	$881	0x0ef385…
05-25 03:22:53	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	887	99¢	$881	0xccc2fc…
05-24 06:31:52	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	891	99¢	$885	0x9b9c2a…
05-23 08:31:38	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	891	100¢	$886	0x16e324…
05-22 05:12:33	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	892	99¢	$886	0x3bca5f…
05-21 07:11:20	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	892	99¢	$887	0x8c302f…
05-20 05:18:21	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	893	99¢	$887	0x8b9e1e…
05-19 10:47:55	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	893	99¢	$888	0xce7e2e…
05-18 02:17:14	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	894	99¢	$888	0x49e957…
05-17 08:37:27	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	894	99¢	$889	0x0dbba6…
05-16 06:50:27	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	896	99¢	$888	0xf2fcbe…
05-15 06:33:00	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	896	99¢	$889	0x08eb02…
05-14 06:21:21	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	897	99¢	$892	0x59d11a…
05-13 05:57:46	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	897	100¢	$893	0x1e6056…
05-12 04:03:51	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	897	99¢	$888	0xcbb5e6…