Realized P&L
+$692
Unrealized P&L
-$299
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
362
Trades
868
lifetime
Volume
$544.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$628
Open exposure
$11.5K
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 10-29 09:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
39% 64% +$1,718
Sports
38% 69% +$1,931
Other
21% 74% +$345
Crypto
1% 44% -$3,302
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5,500 -$5,379 98¢ $-5398 -$19 10-18 05:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -5,073 -$4,936 98¢ $-4969 -$33 10-18 05:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -935 -$577 92¢ $-855 -$279 05-02 15:43
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -200 -$191 96¢ $-193 -$2 10-18 05:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -400 -$148 29¢ $-114 +$34 10-18 05:27