Lawful-Visitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

9.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$77

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-05 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

91% 100% +$4

Other

6% 0% $-3

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+20	$18	92¢	$18	$-0	07-05 03:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	-27	$-16	62¢	$-17	$-1	07-04 11:38
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+15	$13	88¢	$13	+$0	07-05 03:05
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+15	$13	84¢	$13	$-1	07-05 03:05
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	+15	$14	78¢	$12	$-2	07-05 03:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	-28	$-4	15¢	$-4	$-0	07-04 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$5.4K	2,071	7,871	-5,800	open	—	03-09 11:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	7	$143	119	119	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 00:00
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	10	$61	205	205	+0	open	—	07-05 02:26
bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	7	$54	89	61	+28	open	—	03-09 09:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$51	51	51	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 02:20
ethereum up or down march 9 5am et	5	$38	65	21	+44	open	—	03-09 09:08
will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	07-05 03:07
will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-10 02:17
nflx above 100 on march 13 2026	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-09 12:07
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$19	23	0	+23	No	+$4	05-07 10:29
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	07-05 03:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	1	$16	0	27	-27	open	—	07-04 11:38
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	07-05 03:03
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	07-05 03:05
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	07-05 03:05
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	01-15 00:16
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	01-15 00:23
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-15 00:16
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-15 00:16
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-15 00:17
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 08:58
will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 08:58
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$4	0	28	-28	open	—	07-04 11:38
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-15 00:16
will pln win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-15 00:17
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-15 00:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 03:07:43	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x4684d2…
07-05 03:05:55	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x3c87d6…
07-05 03:05:43	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x0f02f2…
07-05 03:04:26	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xacc45a…
07-05 03:03:49	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xd2e75f…
07-05 02:26:56	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	72	20¢	$14	0x6036e6…
07-05 02:25:23	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x58c1a8…
07-05 02:25:07	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x6a07b5…
07-05 01:23:34	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x122214…
07-05 01:11:40	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0x25ee78…
07-05 01:02:26	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	105	11¢	$12	0x1afdfa…
07-05 00:36:46	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xe7c3e1…
07-05 00:28:37	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xaedeed…
07-05 00:26:37	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x837bd5…
07-05 00:00:05	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xaf4d6f…
07-04 11:38:52	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	57¢	$16	0x72d73a…
07-04 11:38:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x02ce58…
05-07 10:29:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xb5d1f7…
05-07 02:20:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0x861dbd…
05-07 02:18:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xcbe11e…
05-07 02:11:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x82bba2…
05-07 00:00:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x5af658…
05-06 23:58:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x49b85b…
05-06 23:49:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x715eed…
05-06 23:48:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x98bb3b…
05-06 23:46:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xebaa60…
05-06 23:42:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x83e9cb…
05-06 23:40:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xd372ae…
03-10 02:17:43	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xcf1a92…
03-09 12:07:17	nflx above 100 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xdf991a…
03-09 11:54:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5,371	51¢	$2,749	0x6999b2…
03-09 11:41:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x5505bd…
03-09 11:41:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0xcb0739…
03-09 11:41:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,476	55¢	$812	0xb8aa81…
03-09 10:48:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,466	58¢	$850	0xe7edb5…
03-09 10:48:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	791	58¢	$459	0x010d3a…
03-09 09:29:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x51935e…
03-09 09:28:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xbe20b2…
03-09 09:25:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	215	59¢	$127	0x84284d…
03-09 09:23:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x639c04…
03-09 09:09:13	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Up	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0xd0f5f2…
03-09 09:08:55	ethereum up or down march 9 5am et	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb40c55…
03-09 09:08:55	ethereum up or down march 9 5am et	Up	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x528521…
03-09 09:06:51	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0xf3e9a9…
03-09 09:06:51	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xaf61bc…
03-09 09:04:49	ethereum up or down march 9 5am et	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x924a7d…
03-09 09:04:19	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x2aceaf…
03-09 09:03:27	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xaea4f0…
03-09 09:02:15	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xd11380…
03-09 09:02:13	ethereum up or down march 9 5am et	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x7e013a…
03-09 09:02:05	ethereum up or down march 9 5am et	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x70f37a…
03-09 09:01:37	bitcoin up or down march 9 5am et	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd8f7d8…
03-09 08:58:23	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x17d364…
03-09 08:58:17	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd3d373…
01-15 00:23:28	Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x44668d…
01-15 00:18:40	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xab283f…
01-15 00:17:56	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe20ae3…
01-15 00:17:26	will pln win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x95d871…
01-15 00:17:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa01ed4…
01-15 00:16:58	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x919d0f…
01-15 00:16:48	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0fc31a…
01-15 00:16:34	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xd41397…
01-15 00:16:22	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x545b0b…
01-15 00:16:02	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x01ce28…