Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

-$615

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

149

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-25 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

70% 26% -$366

Sports

30% 41% +$500

Crypto

0% 0% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes		+969	$316	4¢	$44	-$273	08-28 06:38
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+1,462	$350	0¢	$7	-$343	09-21 18:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$3.1K	5,003	5,003	+0	No	+$482	07-10 21:43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$1.8K	12,048	12,048	+0	open	—	08-01 00:11
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	10	$1.8K	2,684	1,530	+1,154	No	-$417	09-06 17:41
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	13	$1.6K	4,171	3,203	+969	open	—	08-28 06:38
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	7	$1.3K	3,770	2,965	+805	No	+$489	07-18 22:31
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.1K	11,650	10,181	+1,469	No	-$117	06-29 21:29
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	7	$990	983	800	+184	Yes	+$340	06-28 01:24
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	9	$907	815	724	+91	Switzerland	-$55	07-07 22:44
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$794	3,054	3,054	+0	No	-$6	07-10 21:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	13	$748	2,321	442	+1,879	Spain	-$456	07-19 21:44
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	5	$632	668	466	+201	No	+$56	07-15 20:49
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	4	$607	774	525	+249	No	+$13	06-30 18:41
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	6	$548	824	486	+339	No	-$92	07-06 20:44
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$437	4,930	4,930	+0	No	+$155	07-10 21:44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	6	$407	1,214	1,214	+0	Yes	-$73	06-20 21:53
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?	2	$398	763	763	+0	open	—	09-24 20:56
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	4	$390	420	316	+104	Yes	+$144	07-07 21:44
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	1	$350	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	09-21 18:33
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	4	$331	705	356	+350	No	-$111	07-05 23:01
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	3	$304	218	218	+0	Yes	+$50	06-17 21:16
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	2	$260	182	182	+0	Yes	+$60	06-26 19:14
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	3	$230	414	0	+414	Yes	-$230	10-16 00:25
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	4	$216	633	336	+297	No	-$68	06-19 18:04
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$212	253	253	+0	No	-$36	07-04 00:04
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	3	$206	593	120	+473	No	-$138	07-06 22:33
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$200	408	408	+0	No	-$94	07-07 17:38
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$200	339	0	+339	Paraguay	-$200	06-29 23:16
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$200	294	294	+0	Yes	+$0	06-29 21:49
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	3	$195	288	192	+96	No	+$1	06-29 18:31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$193	680	680	+0	Yes	-$7	06-17 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 12:10:12	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x2976a6…
10-25 12:09:53	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x379a71…
10-25 12:02:47	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	235	20¢	$47	0x23c99a…
10-16 00:25:30	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x4e11e4…
10-16 00:23:45	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0xbf8100…
10-16 00:20:18	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xc0a632…
10-15 22:49:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	685	1¢	$10	0x114fd8…
10-15 22:49:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1,129	2¢	$27	0x4c41ca…
10-15 22:49:06	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	671	6¢	$40	0xd003f9…
10-15 22:48:48	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	211	30¢	$63	0x3a0326…
10-09 08:16:51	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0x1d7873…
10-09 08:16:22	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	164	45¢	$74	0xdbade3…
10-09 08:16:01	Colts vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd2563d…
10-09 08:15:25	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	190	39¢	$74	0xea978c…
10-09 08:15:01	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x4b108b…
10-09 08:14:49	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xe70089…
10-06 23:08:20	Will Jared Goff finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?	Yes	BUY	235	15¢	$35	0x7fc962…
10-05 19:47:40	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0x1b5152…
10-01 19:36:57	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	224	41¢	$92	0xbd0696…
10-01 19:35:17	Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x66ae2f…
10-01 19:34:18	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	118	65¢	$77	0x2afe37…
10-01 19:33:30	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	179	43¢	$77	0x5a6d7c…
09-27 19:20:50	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	179	37¢	$66	0x7c44df…
09-27 18:16:03	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x384fbf…
09-24 23:01:50	Rams vs. Broncos	Rams	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x89c4aa…
09-24 23:01:12	Bengals vs. Steelers	Bengals	BUY	75	63¢	$47	0xecdd22…
09-24 23:00:38	Texans vs. Colts	Texans	BUY	137	54¢	$74	0xb76b0b…
09-24 23:00:20	Vikings vs. Buccaneers	Vikings	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0x3dee94…
09-24 22:59:50	Patriots vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	123	60¢	$74	0xe52b4d…
09-24 22:58:00	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x88661b…
09-24 20:56:54	Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?	Yes	SELL	763	26¢	$198	0xd47934…
09-21 18:33:07	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,462	24¢	$350	0xe13524…
09-17 10:09:58	Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?	Yes	BUY	763	26¢	$200	0x997ae6…
09-15 20:19:22	Will Jared Goff finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?	Yes	BUY	449	13¢	$60	0x86a5f2…
09-06 17:41:28	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	1,154	26¢	$300	0x77ce47…
09-06 17:41:09	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	544	74¢	$403	0xbf6e60…
09-06 16:48:01	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x843bcf…
09-06 16:34:21	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xc6a502…
09-06 16:32:00	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x5e9202…
09-06 16:31:39	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0xe2aa5a…
09-06 16:31:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	445	28¢	$124	0xbc71f2…
09-06 16:29:21	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	493	29¢	$143	0x01ab4f…
08-28 06:38:07	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	533	14¢	$74	0x7dbf22…
08-13 15:09:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	211	35¢	$74	0x3a0ecb…
08-13 15:06:52	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	685	2¢	$17	0xa98474…
08-13 15:04:00	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	561	8¢	$47	0xcab0f1…
08-13 15:03:52	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	336	14¢	$47	0xe9dd7b…
08-13 15:03:06	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	336	14¢	$47	0xc01690…
08-13 15:02:55	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	568	8¢	$47	0x840fea…
08-07 00:01:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	215	22¢	$47	0xc19266…
08-07 00:01:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	221	20¢	$44	0x4c6e49…
08-06 11:17:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	600	16¢	$96	0xe32cdb…
08-06 04:30:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	600	16¢	$97	0x080a61…
08-06 04:28:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	400	18¢	$72	0x208c9f…
08-01 14:20:35	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 6 2026 20260731024630660	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xaf4470…
08-01 14:19:57	will uefa end its fifa boycott by september 7 2026 20260731024630663	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xc41636…
08-01 14:19:42	will uefa end its fifa boycott by september 7 2026 20260731024630663	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x00e3a9…
08-01 14:15:38	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 3 2026 20260731024630659	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x348751…
08-01 14:13:02	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 3 2026 20260731024630659	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xabfcbd…
08-01 13:16:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	1,601	25¢	$401	0x5d5473…
08-01 00:13:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	582	30¢	$174	0xe1dd65…
08-01 00:12:44	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	586	30¢	$174	0x2aa799…
08-01 00:11:38	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12,048	7¢	$793	0xc1fd91…
08-01 00:10:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	167	28¢	$47	0x11e484…
08-01 00:10:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	296	25¢	$74	0x271b8b…
08-01 00:10:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	721	24¢	$174	0xd86681…
08-01 00:10:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	851	20¢	$174	0xc841e3…
07-31 19:55:35	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12,048	8¢	$1,000	0x77d752…
07-29 18:09:20	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x29cb37…
07-26 21:58:51	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	498	40¢	$200	0xd833b9…
07-19 21:44:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	648	7¢	$47	0x8b511b…
07-19 21:27:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	302	24¢	$74	0xb6e6cb…
07-19 21:22:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	310	30¢	$94	0x6a9bb4…
07-19 21:19:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	249	30¢	$74	0xe54414…
07-19 21:16:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	165	28¢	$47	0xcb0394…
07-19 21:13:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	168	28¢	$47	0x4eeb96…
07-19 21:11:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	65	26¢	$17	0x2af9b5…
07-19 20:54:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	76	35¢	$27	0xc52cf7…
07-19 20:54:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x55cff9…
07-19 19:27:03	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	82	33¢	$27	0x786885…
07-19 19:26:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	112	24¢	$27	0xc5d10c…
07-19 19:26:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	119	39¢	$47	0xc08b4b…
07-19 19:25:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	132	39¢	$52	0xeace90…
07-19 19:06:04	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	226	33¢	$74	0xc32608…
07-19 18:55:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	285	26¢	$74	0x1bb342…
07-19 00:10:27	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,056	4¢	$74	0x432179…
07-18 22:31:01	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	805	31¢	$250	0x6df883…
07-18 22:30:55	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,965	31¢	$914	0xd8faed…
07-18 22:11:19	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0xc37586…
07-18 22:10:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	BUY	2,700	1¢	$27	0xcf3549…
07-18 22:09:30	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,741	3¢	$47	0x044763…
07-18 22:09:19	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	606	3¢	$17	0xd5853e…
07-18 21:12:52	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	188	25¢	$47	0x08b84b…
07-17 08:37:43	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	181	26¢	$47	0x7daa57…
07-17 08:37:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	176	42¢	$74	0x2fea8b…
07-17 08:37:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	176	42¢	$74	0x61c359…
07-17 08:37:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	176	42¢	$74	0x3d7f23…
07-15 20:49:10	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	201	74¢	$150	0xc8df5c…
07-15 20:49:01	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	466	74¢	$344	0xf0eb57…
07-15 20:35:37	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0xf46475…