Adolescent-Serum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-10 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$23

Crypto

33% 50% $-133

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$2.7K	1,463	1,463	+0	open	—	04-29 15:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	2	$2.4K	1,316	1,306	+11	open	—	04-24 06:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.0K	1,189	1,189	+0	open	—	04-23 00:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.7K	875	875	+0	open	—	05-02 15:53
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	2	$1.3K	712	705	+7	open	—	04-19 20:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	1	$1000	1,028	0	+1,028	open	—	04-29 21:31
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	1	$821	871	0	+871	open	—	04-16 11:43
btc updown 5m 1776107400	2	$672	338	338	+0	open	—	04-13 19:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$657	693	0	+693	open	—	04-15 01:07
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	1	$623	658	0	+658	open	—	04-13 21:38
btc updown 5m 1775850900	2	$610	324	321	+3	open	—	04-10 20:01
btc updown 5m 1775850600	2	$574	293	292	+1	open	—	04-10 19:56
btc updown 5m 1776114900	1	$563	627	0	+627	open	—	04-13 21:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$555	336	336	+0	open	—	04-13 19:57
James Comey arrested by April 29?	1	$500	1,845	0	+1,845	open	—	04-29 15:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$500	602	0	+602	open	—	05-05 21:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$437	286	286	+0	open	—	04-19 20:24
btc updown 5m 1775850300	3	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	04-10 19:52
btc updown 5m 1775849700	2	$320	200	200	+0	open	—	04-10 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776108600	2	$208	110	109	+1	open	—	04-13 19:35
btc updown 5m 1776108300	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	04-13 19:30
btc updown 5m 1775851200	1	$200	344	0	+344	open	—	04-10 20:01
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	06-06 07:28
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$200	280	0	+280	open	—	05-01 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$200	421	0	+421	open	—	04-29 16:09
btc updown 5m 1775850000	5	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 19:45
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$121	335	0	+335	open	—	04-10 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$120	207	0	+207	Up	$-120	05-06 15:40
houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	1	$119	128	0	+128	open	—	04-13 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$110	228	0	+228	Up	$-110	05-06 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 18:22:24	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0x66c9fc…
06-10 18:20:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x50e0a9…
06-10 18:13:24	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x570eeb…
06-10 18:11:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0x3b5a45…
06-06 08:40:12	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xfda565…
06-06 07:28:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x0d37df…
06-04 21:09:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x131ea1…
05-06 20:09:39	LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LNG Esports	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x5f2d67…
05-06 16:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc43fd6…
05-06 15:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	207	58¢	$120	0x6db1a5…
05-06 13:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7eaf41…
05-06 13:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xefec0b…
05-06 13:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xdb14db…
05-06 11:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x1091e7…
05-05 21:27:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0xf50fc5…
05-05 21:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb85031…
05-02 15:53:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	875	98¢	$854	0x63e45d…
05-01 08:40:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	875	97¢	$850	0x1535cb…
05-01 07:58:54	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbfe27a…
05-01 07:55:30	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x0ad136…
05-01 07:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8deb12…
05-01 00:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x77e974…
05-01 00:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x7f43e6…
05-01 00:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeeaded…
05-01 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1e42a7…
05-01 00:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x8883a4…
04-30 23:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4e1ba7…
04-30 23:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3b570d…
04-29 21:31:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0x52e9ce…
04-29 16:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6699d2…
04-29 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	310	32¢	$100	0x5aee06…
04-29 15:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc7fc94…
04-29 15:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x78db68…
04-29 15:27:52	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	1,845	27¢	$500	0x01991b…
04-29 15:25:28	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	1,463	98¢	$1,428	0xbe48f8…
04-24 08:23:46	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	1,463	88¢	$1,291	0x8d1a01…
04-24 06:56:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	SELL	1,306	99¢	$1,292	0xdf4171…
04-23 01:25:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	1,316	84¢	$1,106	0xc7c08a…
04-23 00:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,189	93¢	$1,106	0x32db61…
04-19 20:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,189	78¢	$927	0x5996d5…
04-19 20:24:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	286	83¢	$237	0xf93f26…
04-19 20:24:30	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	SELL	705	98¢	$691	0xa3650a…
04-18 21:12:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	712	80¢	$568	0x492e90…
04-18 08:59:00	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	No	BUY	1,063	9¢	$100	0xba7c01…
04-18 06:57:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x8175fd…
04-16 11:43:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	871	94¢	$821	0x89b363…
04-15 01:07:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	693	95¢	$657	0x9d2092…
04-13 21:38:51	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	658	95¢	$623	0x5f5375…
04-13 21:18:59	btc updown 5m 1776114900	Down	BUY	627	90¢	$563	0xe9ea74…
04-13 20:28:51	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	No	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0x4d71ed…
04-13 19:57:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	336	99¢	$333	0x4d4b09…
04-13 19:35:27	btc updown 5m 1776108600	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x59181c…
04-13 19:32:01	btc updown 5m 1776108600	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe95998…
04-13 19:30:19	btc updown 5m 1776108300	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x06b2f1…
04-13 19:28:55	btc updown 5m 1776108300	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6b42a3…
04-13 19:16:23	btc updown 5m 1776107400	Up	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0xb97753…
04-13 19:14:57	btc updown 5m 1776107400	Up	BUY	338	99¢	$335	0x4eb674…
04-11 14:58:33	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	BUY	1,350	0¢	$1	0x39a19c…
04-10 20:07:59	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	335	36¢	$121	0x954ad9…
04-10 20:01:45	btc updown 5m 1775851200	Down	BUY	344	58¢	$200	0xfb332a…
04-10 20:01:11	btc updown 5m 1775850900	Up	SELL	321	100¢	$321	0xa33cf4…
04-10 19:57:59	btc updown 5m 1775850900	Up	BUY	324	89¢	$289	0x99ccc2…
04-10 19:56:01	btc updown 5m 1775850600	Up	SELL	292	99¢	$289	0x6530ae…
04-10 19:53:33	btc updown 5m 1775850600	Up	BUY	293	97¢	$284	0xb81832…
04-10 19:52:13	btc updown 5m 1775850300	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xadefd1…
04-10 19:48:55	btc updown 5m 1775850300	Up	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0xe96a67…
04-10 19:48:53	btc updown 5m 1775850300	Up	BUY	171	92¢	$157	0x3c1591…
04-10 19:45:55	btc updown 5m 1775850000	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5c0124…
04-10 19:42:55	btc updown 5m 1775850000	Down	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0x9a697f…
04-10 19:42:55	btc updown 5m 1775850000	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x47b617…
04-10 19:42:55	btc updown 5m 1775850000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d0b52…
04-10 19:42:55	btc updown 5m 1775850000	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x1f57ce…
04-10 19:40:43	btc updown 5m 1775849700	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xae5dfe…
04-10 19:36:41	btc updown 5m 1775849700	Down	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x7a9e4f…
04-10 19:34:19	btc updown 5m 1775849400	Down	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x591686…
04-06 00:06:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	336	66¢	$221	0xaa085a…