Creepy-Vegetation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,559

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$133

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 67% $-101

Politics

39% 100% +$10

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		+203	$120	66¢	$133	+$13	07-21 21:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	37	$1.3K	698	698	+0	open	—	05-14 17:25
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	18	$703	378	378	+0	open	—	01-25 01:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$654	233	467	-234	open	—	01-21 13:28
will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	22	$594	399	380	+19	open	—	02-23 11:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$588	382	382	+0	open	—	02-10 12:41
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	15	$443	382	382	+0	open	—	05-17 12:11
will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the march meeting	21	$424	237	237	+0	open	—	03-27 08:59
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	10	$380	303	175	+128	open	—	03-28 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$379	221	221	+0	open	—	04-24 15:06
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$359	334	334	+0	open	—	03-09 10:28
iran strike on israel by january 31	9	$344	247	182	+65	open	—	01-26 17:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$331	417	214	+203	open	—	07-21 21:43
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	8	$310	173	173	+0	open	—	01-15 03:56
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	34	$301	473	236	+236	open	—	03-26 15:18
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	14	$286	169	169	+0	open	—	04-28 07:26
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	12	$270	172	172	+0	open	—	06-22 09:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$270	179	179	+0	open	—	04-13 08:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$266	257	257	+0	open	—	04-08 00:10
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	8	$262	144	144	+0	open	—	02-11 15:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$261	163	163	+0	open	—	04-01 07:11
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	13	$256	201	201	+0	open	—	02-02 11:44
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$255	180	180	+0	open	—	02-08 10:11
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	7	$245	139	139	+0	open	—	04-12 19:21
will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	13	$231	202	202	+0	open	—	03-03 23:10
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$230	131	131	+0	open	—	03-30 11:46
Iran leadership change by May 31?	4	$230	125	125	+0	open	—	05-17 12:10
Iran leadership change by April 30?	9	$226	129	129	+0	open	—	04-27 19:10
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	12	$225	164	164	+0	open	—	03-10 20:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$222	133	133	+0	open	—	02-28 09:15
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	12	$213	135	135	+0	open	—	03-13 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:43:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xb8e7f5…
07-21 21:36:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xedfbb3…
07-21 21:36:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x4686b5…
07-21 21:35:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x39e6ee…
07-21 21:31:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x8e488a…
07-21 21:13:25	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x1ff846…
07-21 06:52:31	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	1,035	0¢	$1	0xa96fd7…
07-21 06:13:13	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x09a6f5…
07-21 06:10:46	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbfa201…
07-21 06:10:43	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfbafef…
07-21 06:10:43	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xdd04a6…
07-21 03:50:27	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x9aa929…
07-20 22:31:10	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	345	1¢	$5	0x12e596…
07-18 22:26:54	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9c0183…
07-18 22:26:36	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	SELL	40	44¢	$17	0x2257a2…
07-15 21:45:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	50¢	$41	0xa8427e…
07-15 18:34:23	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xbd99d8…
07-15 18:04:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	50¢	$45	0x434db0…
07-14 22:52:55	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x9fd734…
07-13 22:47:56	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x095221…
07-13 22:47:32	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xc01f5e…
07-12 19:05:56	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x18db06…
07-11 22:22:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe3cb18…
07-11 22:19:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x0052d7…
07-11 22:11:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x15ee2b…
07-10 16:36:16	will john healey be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533224	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x729f86…
07-09 23:28:43	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xf4638c…
07-08 08:09:02	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0xe9693d…
07-07 15:52:07	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0xdd1e19…
07-07 14:05:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xfda16d…
07-07 14:04:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x11426a…
07-07 14:00:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x950c2d…
07-07 13:47:28	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa2df3b…
07-06 10:49:58	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x13132d…
07-06 09:48:49	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x5207d6…
07-05 21:07:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xd875a3…
07-05 17:26:14	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x302736…
07-05 16:09:59	will jonathan reynolds be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533215	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2443c2…
07-05 14:51:13	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x78218a…
07-05 13:06:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0xdb36c8…
07-04 17:36:35	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x5aa349…
07-04 17:34:52	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xaeb35b…
07-04 17:34:28	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x352d75…
07-04 06:34:38	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8adc5d…
07-03 16:29:01	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5fde9b…
07-03 16:19:37	will jonathan reynolds be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533215	No	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0x78d473…
07-01 16:32:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1121ca…
07-01 11:51:05	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x64d849…
07-01 11:50:22	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd42e86…
06-30 12:40:47	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x90829b…
06-29 15:04:55	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x09e94a…
06-27 18:11:46	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcd9ca7…
06-27 16:58:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	58	64¢	$37	0xb332a4…
06-27 12:41:13	will heidi alexander be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533214	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xda2616…
06-27 09:36:05	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf14b3a…
06-27 08:25:01	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x6b5d0d…
06-26 12:39:28	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2bcb11…
06-26 04:58:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0xcafba6…
06-25 19:16:31	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4c1de5…
06-25 16:49:08	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x4b2299…
06-25 09:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf352b4…
06-25 09:18:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x460d85…
06-25 06:15:59	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x217e7c…
06-25 02:40:44	will john healey be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533224	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x4e1599…
06-25 02:21:14	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x16ea42…
06-24 20:44:22	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x8ce348…
06-24 20:11:28	will bridget phillipson be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533208	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x32e46d…
06-24 20:09:34	will heidi alexander be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533214	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x96e1a0…
06-24 20:06:20	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x44d519…
06-24 20:02:16	will louise haigh be in the burnham cabinet 20260624183158959	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc230a2…
06-24 17:58:08	will jonathan reynolds be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533215	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1cce5b…
06-24 17:18:43	will jonathan reynolds be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533215	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x70c530…
06-24 16:30:07	will jonathan reynolds be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533215	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb83137…
06-24 16:17:20	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x89d125…
06-24 15:28:17	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x2695bf…
06-24 15:24:13	will heidi alexander be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533214	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x83720e…
06-24 15:21:37	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xa5749a…
06-24 12:18:44	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x92a633…
06-24 11:29:49	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69ec8c…
06-24 11:02:16	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x8ba576…
06-24 10:58:53	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc67ed1…
06-24 10:07:11	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x2329d3…
06-24 10:00:10	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5db9bf…
06-24 09:41:38	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xa77130…
06-24 09:00:05	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x66567a…
06-24 08:59:52	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc37620…
06-24 08:30:02	will angela rayner be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533198	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x953882…
06-24 08:17:02	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x819fb8…
06-24 08:15:47	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5e8ee3…
06-24 08:10:26	will lisa nandy be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533211	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8ec8f8…
06-24 06:12:59	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x6391bb…
06-24 06:10:20	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x73fcc7…
06-24 06:07:52	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	162	95¢	$154	0x1d1cd8…
06-23 16:38:35	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	No	SELL	131	1¢	$1	0x6a77fb…
06-23 15:54:31	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x57ac2b…
06-23 05:17:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x79c724…
06-23 04:09:02	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xce333d…
06-23 00:29:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x2c1ffb…
06-23 00:16:23	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x82d4bf…
06-23 00:11:34	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xef996c…