Realized P&L (90d)
+$275
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved (90d)
79
Trades (90d)
401
2,621 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.51K
$45.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$268
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
57% 54% -$111
Politics
41% 63% -$85
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$47
Sports
1% 59% +$14
Crypto
0% 40% -$23
Tech
0% 50% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +60 $41 78¢ $46 +$6 11-04 02:52
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No +81 $50 57¢ $46 -$5 10-17 14:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $35 78¢ $39 +$4 10-31 08:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +45 $38 68¢ $31 -$8 11-03 11:28
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +35 $28 78¢ $27 $0 11-05 00:52
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +30 $19 82¢ $25 +$5 11-04 16:50
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +25 $21 88¢ $22 +$2 11-03 22:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +31 $20 68¢ $21 +$1 10-25 14:56
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +48 $10 16¢ $8 -$2 11-04 08:36
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $21 4¢ $1 -$20 11-04 02:54
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-28 07:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-15 08:50