Creepy-Vegetation 0x7f9622…6da226 Create alert
bot 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$250
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved (90d)
84
Trades (90d)
420
2,642 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.64K
$45.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$534
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 05:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
57% 54% -$116
Politics
41% 63% -$84
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$47
Sports
1% 59% +$14
Crypto
0% 40% -$23
Tech
0% 50% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? No +192 $155 94¢ $182 +$26 11-06 23:31
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No +81 $50 55¢ $45 -$6 10-17 14:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $35 76¢ $38 +$3 10-31 08:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +43 $30 80¢ $34 +$4 11-06 00:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +66 $53 48¢ $31 -$22 11-06 00:42
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +39 $24 75¢ $29 +$5 11-05 09:35
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +62 $20 43¢ $27 +$7 11-06 01:34
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +35 $28 76¢ $26 -$1 11-05 00:52
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +25 $21 89¢ $22 +$2 11-03 22:50
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +25 $22 88¢ $22 +$0 11-06 00:43
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +31 $20 70¢ $22 +$2 10-25 14:56
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +44 $15 44¢ $19 +$4 11-06 00:49
Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? No +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 11-02 07:31
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 11-07 05:29
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +269 $7 3¢ $7 +$0 11-06 01:30
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +194 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 11-06 01:33
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +167 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-06 01:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-15 08:50
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $21 1¢ $0 -$21 11-04 02:54