Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
605
Trades
2,619
lifetime
Volume
$45.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$262
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
57% 54% -$111
Politics
41% 64% -$62
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$47
Sports
1% 59% +$14
Crypto
0% 40% -$23
Tech
0% 50% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +60 $41 78¢ $46 +$6 11-04 02:52
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No — +81 $50 55¢ $44 -$6 10-17 14:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $35 78¢ $39 +$4 10-31 08:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +45 $38 68¢ $31 -$8 11-03 11:28
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +30 $19 77¢ $23 +$4 11-04 16:50
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +25 $21 89¢ $22 +$2 11-03 22:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +31 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 10-25 14:56
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +25 $20 78¢ $19 $0 10-20 20:52
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +48 $10 27¢ $13 +$3 11-04 08:36
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $21 4¢ $1 -$20 11-04 02:54
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-28 07:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 10-15 08:50