Confused-Prophet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-09 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

81% 96% +$0

Sports

15% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 22:14
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 01:15
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	-0	open	—	06-05 04:48
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 10:15
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:24
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-19 11:18
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:21
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 05:55
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:50
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:05
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:10
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 anytime td rhamondre stevenson	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 21:30
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
cbb frest utahst 2026 02 10 spread home 20pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-11 06:08
den fcf agf 2026 02 15 fcf	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-15 15:11
tur tra kar 2026 02 27 total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-27 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9f5ce…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x738698…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00ac96…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78b2b0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70b902…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae5b4…
06-07 11:28:00	crint hon2 mys 2026 06 07	Hong Kong, China	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36084e…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x506641…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe809f6…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6d892…
06-06 12:06:00	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b0c6b…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41aab5…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330dd0…
06-05 21:09:40	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc92392…
06-05 15:45:21	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe17dc9…
06-05 04:48:12	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x18b7cc…
06-05 01:53:15	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e8b74…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70ebd8…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xecf6da…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6be602…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19c9f6…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf0847…
06-03 13:43:32	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten	Helioevaara/Patten	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbf0bc…
06-03 11:31:47	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e12ff…
06-03 00:47:04	Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	QoR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2652f2…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c0361…
06-02 15:28:21	LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner	NightBirds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6368e1…
06-02 15:24:35	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eb65a…
06-02 13:49:23	Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x128606…
06-01 23:52:42	Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab7d37…
06-01 14:41:36	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a0b86…
06-01 07:19:26	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b2971…
05-31 21:52:19	Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x238527…
05-31 17:33:03	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ff092…
05-31 15:36:44	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09761c…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ec6a9…
05-30 20:09:57	Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x312019…
05-30 20:08:14	Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2ae89…
05-30 19:10:20	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x909fc3…
05-30 17:58:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x398da9…
05-30 14:25:12	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e2a35…
05-30 13:13:45	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53921e…
05-30 12:16:35	UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jake Matthews	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47824a…
05-30 12:10:50	Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)	Jovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6218ad…
05-30 10:49:10	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbff910…
05-30 04:47:58	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x388420…
05-29 21:20:45	Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)	Paul	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c2bb9…
05-29 21:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf839c…
05-29 21:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cb4ed…
05-29 21:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a7cd…
05-29 19:47:52	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb22532…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x919f50…
05-29 19:12:25	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0eaa79…
05-29 19:08:06	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9262fb…
05-29 17:27:43	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e59ce…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6f3bf…
05-29 10:23:50	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kristina Kroitor vs Sevil Yuldasheva	Kristina Kroitor	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccf08b…
05-28 20:08:38	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2112a…
05-28 16:59:47	Martin Landaluce vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe120d0…
05-28 16:52:19	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31fdf6…
05-28 16:30:58	Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	Asterisk	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0d13ad…
05-28 16:13:30	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dbd2d…
05-28 13:50:51	Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby	Mariano Navone	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd73dc1…
05-28 12:44:15	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Botswana	Botswana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38e6b7…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41b6a8…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd77cd5…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4d883…
05-26 19:48:32	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1af8b…
05-26 16:59:37	Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Trabzonspor	Bahcesehir Koleji	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44eafa…
05-26 14:03:26	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2da1f2…
05-26 13:18:01	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a37c2…
05-25 20:56:30	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e56ce…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0eda66…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3724b1…
05-25 04:48:27	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd87c59…
05-24 23:46:00	Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)	Dallas Wings	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fe5b9…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcda7ca…
05-24 21:55:54	Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)	Dallas Wings	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf9abe…
05-24 20:34:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24aa5d…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0efe7d…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44695c…
05-24 17:21:56	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xda7531…
05-24 16:03:04	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc3721a…
05-24 16:03:04	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4226d4…
05-24 15:57:40	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd818ec…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99431d…
05-24 13:19:18	Set Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Dzumhur (+2.5)	Dzumhur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bc4ed…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c65b0…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa96b08…
05-23 15:49:27	atp faurel clarke 2026 05 20 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff5bf9…
05-23 14:29:04	ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Noa Vukadin	Noa Vukadin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29a726…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x220bdc…
05-22 11:51:16	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbff059…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3119a7…
05-22 04:09:40	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x058512…
05-21 20:07:52	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f08db…
05-21 17:50:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c4511…
05-21 14:24:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9dadbe…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40400b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Intent-Bone 0xd073…9309	787	$26.8K	869	06-06 11:32
Snarling-Screwdriver 0x845b…1737	716	$24.5K	785	06-06 11:32
Incredible-Timber 0xa0bc…4738	715	$7.41K	759	06-06 11:32
Puny-Roommate 0xcd9c…11c7	714	$3.71K	748	06-06 11:32
Urban-Chamber 0x6693…327c	711	$7.37K	752	06-07 21:09
Idle-Amazon 0xcf08…9ac1	711	$3.69K	743	06-07 21:09
Negligible-Bet 0xacf8…d90a	699	$3.62K	729	06-06 11:32
Pink-Control 0x9672…cea5	698	$71.0K	803	06-07 21:09