Confused-Prophet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

3,054

Trades

3,137

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$13

Sports

15% 99% -$5

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	3	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	03-08 22:14
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Under	$0	03-22 01:15
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$0	02-11 10:15
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	3	$20	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$0	02-11 11:24
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	FUSION X	+$0	02-19 11:18
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:30
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$0	02-10 14:45
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:21
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$0	02-10 14:50
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	Ramboot Club	+$0	03-03 20:26
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	Stricker	+$0	02-26 05:55
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	-0	Mali	$0	06-05 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x647630…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e4a3e…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0d7ff…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x529e9e…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa60326…
10-22 20:41:06	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bf954…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d1c8c…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25a3e6…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e98e8…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcae06e…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c9cf1…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x599cc7…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2d4f3…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdbc11…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x393a1c…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x466682…
10-12 09:04:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab917f…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3bdfd…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x38c8af…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacf9a3…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bc427…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8d3e1f…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdcff0…
10-08 19:36:26	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24b47d…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0aeb6c…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5b933d…
10-07 06:30:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x635a91…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfa07c…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2838b5…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64abf0…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8eb52e…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47726b…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa36f7…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb7367c…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5cae98…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x225a81…
10-02 18:11:15	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15986b…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3421c8…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe306be…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ebcdd…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa05578…
10-01 12:04:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf3b1b…
10-01 06:03:14	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb76b7…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98c9f4…
10-01 00:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8df69…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff99f0…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7c9c7…
09-30 08:51:35	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3109da…
09-30 01:58:20	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66453f…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7569fa…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cb80b…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7612…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf12929…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c6d7a…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcd0b2…
09-28 03:36:12	atp tsitsip nishiok 2026 09 27	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb2598…
09-27 20:32:17	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d611c…
09-27 20:12:32	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9c922…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2359d5…
09-27 13:30:42	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a8959…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x918174…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61cd49…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x762187…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x229e6c…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6697fc…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x451661…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04f351…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5027e6…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d2813…
09-23 16:27:36	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108066…
09-23 04:45:13	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x888051…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26b71c…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a3afe…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x681428…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2854ee…
09-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf17126…
09-20 14:55:04	Will FC Zlín win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb18749…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc4418…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x751ff3…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a2481…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c59db…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x108131…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf927bc…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2daf09…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x277246…
09-17 00:30:52	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd08617…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd4696…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e305a…
09-15 17:50:18	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b1af…
09-15 14:12:25	W75 Le Neubourg: Demi Tran vs Sachia Vickery	Demi Tran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf96b18…
09-15 13:42:09	European T20 Premier League: Amsterdam Flames vs Dublin Guardians	Amsterdam Flames	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf71e89…
09-15 12:21:01	Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Brute	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb58377…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc51a5…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4c180…
09-13 08:24:25	atp ianin ichikaw 2026 09 13	Taisei Ichikawa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x599321…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36d29d…
09-12 14:19:52	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10063d…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d3a8f…
09-11 19:25:49	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce7b7b…
09-11 10:52:40	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54ddae…