Confused-Prophet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,430

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-30 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

81% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	06-30 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 22:14
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 01:15
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:50
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	-0	open	—	06-05 04:48
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:24
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:21
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-19 11:18
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:45
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 05:55
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 10:15
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:05
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:10
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 anytime td rhamondre stevenson	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 21:30
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
tur tra kar 2026 02 27 total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-27 17:51
den fcf agf 2026 02 15 fcf	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-15 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e3490…
06-29 22:39:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81ea60…
06-29 20:20:32	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb3d36…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90dc70…
06-29 18:55:22	cs2 pre masq 2026 06 29 map handicap away 1pt5	Prestige	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7337fd…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dec0d…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x624293…
06-28 21:19:05	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8d884…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69b04d…
06-28 19:35:50	mar1 ocs com 2026 06 28 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18caad…
06-28 17:05:40	f1 austrian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 06 28	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ae018…
06-28 15:21:17	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28 game2	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf984cc…
06-28 12:40:19	kbo kt sam 2026 06 28	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a8ad9…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7a941…
06-27 22:56:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e652d…
06-27 20:38:35	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x422309…
06-27 19:07:47	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 go the distance	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e76f2…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcaad83…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fd5ab…
06-27 13:21:19	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ea1b3…
06-27 02:30:01	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37d6c2…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ea58f…
06-26 21:02:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals michael olise gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5999e…
06-26 21:02:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadaa66…
06-26 16:06:55	codmw riyf tor 2026 06 26	Toronto KOI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac062d…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe72977…
06-25 22:21:14	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3581ed…
06-25 22:03:44	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals leroy sane gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f7a9b…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x920e51…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0159a…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97a445…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5efdfc…
06-24 23:24:10	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x625293…
06-24 21:03:43	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4bd9f…
06-24 20:59:41	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaeb28c…
06-24 12:34:50	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4e52c…
06-24 01:00:56	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad5ed…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc0c71…
06-23 19:46:35	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x537989…
06-23 19:03:47	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18846f…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc65cdb…
06-23 13:34:14	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x355abd…
06-22 19:05:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3023f…
06-22 17:40:34	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79c6f0…
06-22 00:15:13	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc8e22…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53b4b3…
06-20 22:09:07	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6465f8…
06-20 22:00:13	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11c483…
06-20 20:06:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa31d69…
06-20 18:49:22	crint eng2 ind5 2026 06 20	India A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b0ee3…
06-20 14:41:56	wta sabalen pegula 2026 06 20 set handicap home 1pt5	Pegula	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1962ad…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6f4f0…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72fc5d…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb64dc…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9e8bd…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x146f22…
06-18 20:58:08	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x756930…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9abce2…
06-18 11:40:56	wta pliskov mcnally 2026 06 18 first set winner Pliskova vs McNally	Pliskova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x876b56…
06-17 22:06:01	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09ead5…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5f172…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7da8a0…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac7765…
06-17 19:04:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8db8f2…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcaad3…
06-17 16:10:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114f56…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabf66b…
06-17 16:07:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94a57b…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90b01f…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41737d…
06-15 18:08:07	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2567e3…
06-15 18:03:34	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x40e4d9…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x324997…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec8bd6…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd12d4f…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c7623…
06-14 19:06:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe18bfc…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9093be…
06-13 09:23:22	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05e14b…
06-13 01:55:04	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x208cc7…
06-12 21:55:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18ed55…
06-12 20:26:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdeda23…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8471a…
06-12 20:17:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b4149…
06-12 13:30:07	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x449d78…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a2db0…
06-12 10:42:03	cs2 ruby1 g2a 2026 06 12 game2 round handicap ruby1 6pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabd423…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac914b…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bcdb6…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68eb4c…
06-10 20:16:58	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67c42a…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe23714…
06-10 12:09:03	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48d433…
06-10 08:26:04	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10 game3	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c4d2d…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9f5ce…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x738698…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00ac96…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78b2b0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70b902…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…