Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

121

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-12 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

79% 39% -$134

Crypto

20% 60% +$212

Politics

1% 21% -$17

Sports

0% 67% -$37

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes		-40	-$8	5¢	$-2	+$6	05-03 06:21
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes		-29	-$13	2¢	$-1	+$12	05-05 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	4	$950	1,041	0	+1,041	Yes	+$91	04-29 03:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	2	$862	970	0	+970	Yes	+$108	04-27 12:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$622	869	462	+408	No	+$218	06-02 19:36
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$439	550	11	+539	Yes	+$112	06-12 13:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	3	$275	276	276	-0	Yes	-$5	05-03 04:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	7	$265	280	280	+0	Yes	-$13	04-06 04:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	7	$197	178	178	+0	Yes	-$1	04-06 02:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$195	132	131	+1	Yes	-$4	03-29 08:42
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	1	$183	0	481	-481	Yes	-$298	05-15 23:09
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	2	$110	75	75	+0	No	+$20	03-26 13:04
will bitcoin reach 72k march 23 29	2	$85	45	45	+0	Yes	+$5	03-25 14:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$83	176	176	+0	No	+$3	03-29 08:42
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	2	$79	56	56	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 05:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	3	$79	147	10	+137	No	-$68	04-06 04:02
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?	2	$68	47	47	+0	No	+$8	04-16 21:57
will gold gc settle over 4800 on the final trading day of march 2026	2	$57	37	37	+0	No	+$5	03-24 19:17
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	5	$52	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 21:55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	2	$39	82	82	+0	Yes	-$1	04-15 16:28
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	3	$31	32	32	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 14:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	2	$29	50	50	+0	No	+$3	03-25 08:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	2	$26	50	49	+1	Yes	-$4	03-25 08:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	2	$25	21	21	+0	Yes	+$5	04-29 05:15
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	5	$24	17,012	0	+17,012	Yes	-$24	03-20 04:10
will ethereum reach 2200 march 23 29	3	$23	22	22	+0	No	-$11	03-26 22:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	-$23	05-03 06:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6	4	$22	74	74	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 09:09
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 06:21
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	5	$18	15	15	+0	No	+$2	03-25 08:34
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in April?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	-$1	04-02 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 13:42:27	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xdfa8c7…
06-02 19:36:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	1¢	$4	0x0c158b…
06-02 19:35:46	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x6487f0…
05-22 04:21:17	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	550	79¢	$433	0x193e64…
05-22 04:01:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	462	91¢	$420	0x53e809…
05-17 14:18:56	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x5b2586…
05-15 23:17:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	462	43¢	$198	0xbb0ec8…
05-15 23:09:13	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	481	38¢	$183	0xa9bca7…
05-15 00:56:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xd195bd…
05-14 08:16:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	Yes	SELL	91	5¢	$4	0x18a4c2…
05-08 00:30:25	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa295a8…
05-08 00:27:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	67	17¢	$11	0x949992…
05-05 02:03:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0xe19b9e…
05-05 02:02:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	43¢	$13	0xa63d4f…
05-04 23:55:18	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x649ad0…
05-03 06:30:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xbb2efc…
05-03 06:21:30	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x93a7e5…
05-03 06:21:16	Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xcd39a1…
05-03 06:21:04	Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x24d528…
05-03 04:13:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x0b32a0…
05-03 04:12:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	276	49¢	$135	0x6417ee…
05-02 16:48:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbf7829…
05-02 16:48:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xdee812…
04-30 12:20:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x1532cd…
04-30 05:27:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xc732e2…
04-30 05:22:54	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	71¢	$39	0x542922…
04-29 16:36:40	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x3f1200…
04-29 12:40:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x661723…
04-29 12:28:00	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0xe68b72…
04-29 05:15:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0x53cf10…
04-29 03:58:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x42d25d…
04-29 03:00:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$47	0x55d220…
04-28 14:03:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x5bc9ec…
04-28 13:54:26	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0x7f2d4a…
04-28 13:04:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0x3aae8a…
04-28 13:03:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	665	90¢	$600	0x4d1c7f…
04-27 12:55:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	952	89¢	$847	0x66ba44…
04-27 12:41:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x0c4654…
04-27 00:14:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x3a603f…
04-27 00:01:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe74880…
04-26 23:57:20	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf891db…
04-26 23:55:26	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5acb6f…
04-26 23:48:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb2b317…
04-26 23:28:16	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf3e875…
04-26 23:28:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1ff817…
04-26 23:18:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x3e9c75…
04-22 20:01:22	will mrbeasts video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x14581a…
04-22 20:00:56	will mrbeasts video get 80 million or more views on day 5	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xec2740…
04-20 18:33:40	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0x647865…
04-18 23:50:54	Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$1	0x217372…
04-17 03:42:24	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x15753f…
04-17 03:38:06	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x45934f…
04-16 23:00:00	Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb988cb…
04-16 22:05:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcceae8…
04-16 21:57:12	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?	No	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0x0aebea…
04-16 21:53:02	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x8d3030…
04-16 21:49:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x15de74…
04-16 21:43:24	wti closes above 96 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x94e3cb…
04-16 00:20:24	will googl reach 340 by april 13 2026	No	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x2390f2…
04-15 16:56:06	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x695766…
04-15 16:55:36	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?	Yes	BUY	416	0¢	$1	0x1deb29…
04-15 16:48:24	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2605e5…
04-15 16:47:26	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe95860…
04-15 16:43:24	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0d860d…
04-15 16:29:36	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 17 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x98e3f1…
04-15 16:28:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	82	23¢	$19	0x8e49d9…
04-13 04:07:23	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 20corhigher	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x27a5d9…
04-13 04:06:47	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x95f95b…
04-12 04:44:09	Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xeeff32…
04-11 15:13:49	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x723002…
04-11 14:35:45	Will Apple dip to $240 in April?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0b71c6…
04-11 14:02:33	will googl reach 340 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7fa3f7…
04-11 05:03:31	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.10% (LOW) in April?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xd3bf55…
04-11 05:03:27	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.45% (HIGH) in April?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x48e9a4…
04-11 04:55:59	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 20corhigher	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x02a03a…
04-11 04:55:07	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 20corhigher	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd3880d…
04-11 04:49:17	highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 17corbelow	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4cc108…
04-09 15:30:29	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.45% (HIGH) in April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x58977b…
04-09 15:30:23	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.10% (LOW) in April?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x174e7c…
04-09 14:58:55	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x294ee9…
04-09 14:58:07	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x05eaa9…
04-09 14:56:23	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x967abb…
04-09 14:56:21	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x4f496e…
04-09 06:55:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0xe47165…
04-09 06:35:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8843e1…
04-09 05:45:43	Will SOFR hit 3.60% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf4c80a…
04-06 20:48:05	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0xd351f9…
04-06 20:42:33	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x3f027a…
04-06 04:02:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	Yes	BUY	137	50¢	$68	0x336aa8…
04-06 04:02:05	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	SELL	150	46¢	$68	0xe16166…
04-06 03:53:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x6ef3bc…
04-06 03:53:37	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	108	5¢	$6	0x19762b…
04-06 03:53:33	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0x6e8352…
04-06 03:53:33	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	109	5¢	$5	0x1923bd…
04-06 03:41:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x8baa09…
04-06 03:41:35	will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x2dc531…
04-06 03:41:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2 629	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x7320d4…
04-06 03:41:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	Yes	SELL	198	2¢	$3	0xb5fdb9…
04-06 03:41:05	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	BUY	113	52¢	$59	0xf3c993…
04-06 03:40:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	SELL	130	45¢	$58	0xdf5a59…