Diligent-Roar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

Trades

876

lifetime

Volume

$97.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

$4.42K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-20 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

12% 25% $-10

Sports

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-3,800	$-3,727	98¢	$-3726	+$1	06-16 03:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-760	$-684	90¢	$-680	+$4	06-09 00:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-290	$-12	4¢	$-10	+$1	06-25 10:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$21.1K	40,596	83,296	-42,700	open	—	05-22 09:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	56	$11.9K	6,361	5,695	+666	open	—	05-27 05:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	68	$9.4K	3,326	6,238	-2,912	open	—	06-16 13:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	59	$6.6K	1,452	5,251	-3,800	open	—	06-16 03:11
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	17	$5.4K	3,100	2,600	+500	open	—	06-12 08:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	19	$4.2K	2,088	2,848	-760	open	—	06-09 00:38
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	3	$4.1K	3,000	1,114	+1,886	open	—	06-12 15:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	16	$3.0K	2,024	2,024	+0	open	—	07-20 13:01
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	60	$2.5K	1,863	1,863	+0	open	—	07-07 15:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	3	$2.5K	2,200	300	+1,900	open	—	05-29 06:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	7	$2.4K	1,500	1,000	+500	open	—	05-26 18:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	30	$2.4K	1,230	1,230	+0	open	—	04-18 23:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	48	$2.3K	1,280	1,100	+180	open	—	04-17 14:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	15	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 07:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	23	$1.8K	2,644	2,424	+220	open	—	05-24 11:07
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-11 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-29 23:30
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	15	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	03-24 20:02
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$985	500	500	+0	open	—	05-26 07:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$968	800	400	+400	open	—	06-30 22:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	6	$959	500	500	+0	open	—	06-01 17:06
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-04 18:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$478	240	240	+0	open	—	04-18 13:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	7	$431	222	222	+0	open	—	04-25 07:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$407	370	370	+0	open	—	04-17 18:31
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	2	$332	400	0	+400	open	—	06-16 01:21
dota2 og grind 2026 06 23	4	$301	239	239	+0	open	—	06-23 10:17
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	03-24 17:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	12	$281	150	150	+0	open	—	04-15 12:06
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	1	$256	285	0	+285	open	—	06-15 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 13:01:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	587	75¢	$440	0xbcc011…
07-20 12:57:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xec719c…
07-20 12:39:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xcc3754…
07-20 12:10:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x934a90…
07-20 12:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x026982…
07-20 12:05:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x038bf5…
07-20 12:04:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	75¢	$188	0x6c8296…
07-20 12:03:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0xfde01e…
07-20 12:03:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0x8e7317…
07-20 12:03:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	825	75¢	$619	0xc4ec45…
07-20 12:02:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xfb5cc7…
07-20 12:02:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xe715e2…
07-20 12:02:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x47aed4…
07-20 11:31:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,000	75¢	$1,500	0xd4619c…
07-20 09:48:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x511430…
07-20 09:39:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x374ada…
07-11 21:57:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xbf963d…
07-11 21:19:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xc7c70f…
07-11 21:19:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x832f12…
07-11 20:40:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x6698ac…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd773f7…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	29	84¢	$25	0xc127ab…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xab9ab6…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	299	84¢	$251	0x7a27a4…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x4984c5…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	191	84¢	$160	0x202b93…
07-07 00:42:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x90f121…
07-07 00:42:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8f0c89…
07-07 00:42:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	114	56¢	$64	0xd18010…
07-07 00:42:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc6f7c6…
07-07 00:42:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	105	56¢	$59	0x04908c…
07-07 00:41:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x5bf692…
07-06 22:26:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	70	81¢	$57	0xc1ae70…
07-06 22:25:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x5c9814…
07-06 22:09:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	228	90¢	$205	0x922e11…
07-06 21:07:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	228	46¢	$105	0xc99dac…
07-06 21:05:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xd53ea1…
07-06 21:04:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x9ccef8…
07-06 21:03:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	150	80¢	$120	0x58ba19…
07-06 21:02:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	65	70¢	$45	0x3f8f78…
07-06 21:02:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x28d758…
07-06 21:02:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x9e8a80…
07-06 21:02:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x50ccce…
07-06 21:02:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x20c9e9…
07-06 20:59:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	225	60¢	$135	0x601a88…
07-05 21:41:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xba5b2c…
07-05 21:39:02	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	110	65¢	$72	0xd8f990…
07-04 18:33:13	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xeae26e…
07-03 01:36:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	225	78¢	$176	0x154696…
07-02 18:35:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x7e4673…
07-02 18:22:41	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x9fa701…
07-01 16:26:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc816a7…
06-30 22:19:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xcd4ef7…
06-30 22:19:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	196	83¢	$163	0x415a52…
06-30 11:32:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x5a2449…
06-30 11:19:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x92e373…
06-30 10:23:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	400	82¢	$328	0x087bf0…
06-30 03:04:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	400	77¢	$308	0xb4eac4…
06-30 02:41:59	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x198d2a…
06-30 02:41:04	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x75361f…
06-30 01:42:26	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2b7ffd…
06-30 01:35:26	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x84ebd5…
06-30 01:35:26	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0x1c081e…
06-28 18:20:59	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0x4afb29…
06-28 01:05:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	75	66¢	$50	0x55adc6…
06-28 00:12:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x0475d6…
06-28 00:12:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x4fbc68…
06-28 00:08:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xeb0abb…
06-27 23:57:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xd96241…
06-27 23:36:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xbb40a1…
06-27 11:01:46	btc updown 5m 1782558000	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x56499b…
06-25 23:29:23	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	80	54¢	$43	0x1099f1…
06-25 10:24:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	4¢	$12	0x22a0c6…
06-23 10:17:46	dota2 og grind 2026 06 23	OG	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0xf00262…
06-23 10:17:40	dota2 og grind 2026 06 23	OG	SELL	160	63¢	$101	0x7a8447…
06-23 10:17:26	dota2 og grind 2026 06 23	OG	SELL	63	63¢	$40	0x730415…
06-23 10:15:04	dota2 og grind 2026 06 23	OG	BUY	239	63¢	$150	0xe7dc1b…
06-22 15:29:19	btc updown 5m 1782141900	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xb06b49…
06-22 15:26:46	btc updown 5m 1782141900	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x83c359…
06-22 08:50:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	49	66¢	$33	0x425190…
06-22 08:41:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1209ae…
06-22 08:40:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0x57a3ac…
06-22 07:52:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xee7259…
06-22 07:44:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	109	66¢	$72	0x06405e…
06-21 15:56:28	btc updown 15m 1782056700	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x4bb9f7…
06-21 15:49:58	btc updown 5m 1782057000	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8e96a0…
06-20 14:34:50	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc011f5…
06-20 14:34:50	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa6a950…
06-20 14:34:50	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93db46…
06-20 14:34:49	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x34c465…
06-20 14:34:49	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x341029…
06-20 14:34:49	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b4835…
06-20 14:33:25	btc updown 5m 1781965800	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xff3f85…
06-20 02:44:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	85	64¢	$55	0x2f7b01…
06-20 02:39:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x53809f…
06-20 02:24:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe08b40…
06-20 02:12:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfbea7e…
06-20 02:12:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1f46ec…
06-20 02:00:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8ecdd5…
06-20 01:43:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x37c00a…