Aggravating-Hawk-Chuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

143

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-09 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

57% 86% +$53

Crypto

41% 96% +$5

Politics

2% 0% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?	20	$1.8K	893	900	-7	No	-$1	04-28 02:27
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$1.5K	1,510	0	+1,510	No	+$3	04-10 10:04
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	Yes	+$1	04-13 04:49
bitcoin above 68k on april 11	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Yes	+$1	04-11 02:04
bitcoin above 78k on april 12	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	No	+$1	04-12 02:09
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	2	$990	500	500	+0	No	-$9	04-17 13:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 25corhigher	1	$815	816	0	+816	No	+$1	04-18 05:49
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$800	801	0	+801	Yes	+$1	04-19 02:13
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$800	801	0	+801	Yes	+$1	04-16 03:21
bitcoin above 66k on april 15	1	$600	601	0	+601	Yes	+$1	04-14 10:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	10	$513	528	0	+528	No	+$15	04-17 15:00
bitcoin above 82k on april 16	1	$500	502	0	+502	No	+$2	04-15 11:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$500	501	0	+501	Yes	+$1	04-20 01:59
bitcoin above 68k on april 14	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	04-14 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	15	$481	247	250	-3	Yes	-$4	04-27 06:42
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$440	220	220	+0	No	+$0	04-30 08:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 20c	6	$403	407	0	+407	No	+$4	04-20 12:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$400	201	201	+0	No	+$0	05-11 18:04
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	04-15 11:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 15c	3	$328	331	0	+331	No	+$3	04-21 07:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 27c	2	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	04-22 04:23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$273	137	137	+0	No	+$1	05-14 08:34
ethereum above 2500 on april 15	1	$265	266	0	+266	No	+$1	04-15 12:08
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	+$0	05-14 08:34
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	05-11 18:04
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$249	251	0	+251	No	+$1	05-03 03:41
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$240	121	121	+0	No	+$0	05-14 08:34
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 22corhigher	3	$215	216	0	+216	No	+$0	04-20 13:33
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	7	$212	215	0	+215	No	+$3	04-22 05:13
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 16c	1	$209	210	0	+210	No	+$1	04-23 04:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on June 10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7a4d70…
05-20 14:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2a6bb2…
05-14 08:34:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xbc1c4d…
05-14 08:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x1f3e98…
05-14 08:34:24	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x56267c…
05-14 08:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x4f5d40…
05-12 09:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x55c86c…
05-12 08:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 13?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfeda4a…
05-12 08:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 13?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x55e82a…
05-12 08:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x947e64…
05-11 18:05:42	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xd35657…
05-11 18:04:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0xa745ba…
05-11 18:04:07	Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x0140ee…
05-11 17:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xae3a4c…
05-11 17:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0x9b1741…
05-11 09:18:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf491b6…
05-11 09:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 12?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x9f37af…
05-11 09:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x880b98…
05-11 09:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 12?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xbbf5fa…
05-10 15:40:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x50fb17…
05-10 15:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xaaa3f6…
05-10 15:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xd24060…
05-10 15:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3bf95f…
05-10 08:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x68548d…
05-10 02:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa81b91…
05-10 02:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xfe54c8…
05-10 02:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x69336c…
05-09 10:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7e4fa5…
05-09 04:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x85bfc4…
05-09 04:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x782367…
05-09 04:12:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x56cc6d…
05-09 04:08:16	Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x6943e4…
05-08 18:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x2e4320…
05-08 14:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6cc4a1…
05-08 05:40:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xfae2e8…
05-08 03:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 8?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$75	0xc20d7e…
05-08 03:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x692017…
05-08 03:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x24c12b…
05-08 03:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd23a24…
05-08 03:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x428860…
05-08 02:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7f5495…
05-08 02:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x7b61a9…
05-06 08:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf67df6…
05-06 03:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x96c319…
05-06 03:01:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf19201…
05-06 02:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x456a25…
05-06 02:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7c5a42…
05-06 02:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xe42c07…
05-06 02:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 7?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xd61493…
05-06 02:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xdb5c91…
05-05 15:52:24	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x5050db…
05-05 15:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8dd5cc…
05-05 10:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 6?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x71aa2e…
05-05 01:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb8e1e7…
05-04 11:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x46af82…
05-04 03:56:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xacce43…
05-04 03:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on May 5?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x84c282…
05-03 16:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on May 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98dd4f…
05-03 09:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2fa098…
05-03 07:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8902ea…
05-03 07:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbeb31a…
05-03 03:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xe490db…
05-03 03:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31cc81…
05-02 18:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x03a4d8…
05-02 18:22:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x1bdc6e…
05-02 15:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 3?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x38c7a1…
05-02 08:55:16	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xc9d21b…
05-02 08:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x1d7618…
05-02 08:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xc63a2a…
05-02 05:05:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4d1208…
05-02 04:06:20	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x508537…
05-02 04:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2d180c…
05-01 19:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x55f147…
05-01 19:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfd71d0…
05-01 16:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 2?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa9aa6a…
05-01 01:44:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x127a07…
04-30 13:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x08d3d6…
04-30 13:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x782546…
04-30 13:01:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x321522…
04-30 08:12:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7a3685…
04-30 08:10:58	Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x027703…
04-30 08:09:34	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x4695e5…
04-30 08:08:54	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9cdf3c…
04-30 08:08:36	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5d6e21…
04-30 08:08:20	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3afd52…
04-30 08:07:54	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x37ddb2…
04-30 08:07:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9d0e9a…
04-30 08:06:54	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe56d29…
04-30 08:06:12	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0438e8…
04-30 08:05:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0bf7d7…
04-30 08:05:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd99e25…
04-30 08:05:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfea3c6…
04-30 08:04:40	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6a9098…
04-29 07:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 1?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xcc3a03…
04-29 06:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xacbba4…
04-29 06:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 30?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x09bff6…
04-29 02:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb37bb4…
04-28 16:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9db7fd…
04-28 07:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xac3d42…
04-28 07:49:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xcdb10e…