Youthful-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$383

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$56

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-22 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

73% 86% -$9

Sports

13% 100% +$4

Politics

9% 100% +$9

Tech

6% 0% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$10	94¢	$20	+$10	05-09 09:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+16	$10	88¢	$14	+$4	05-09 09:47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$11	+$1	05-09 09:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$10	84¢	$11	+$1	05-09 09:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	1	$51	60	0	+60	No	+$9	03-07 19:02
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$47	105	105	+0	Down	+$7	02-28 22:23
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	3	$45	768	0	+768	Down	-$45	03-03 09:18
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	02-22 20:46
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	2	$42	53	3	+50	Yes	+$12	03-03 09:18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$22	104	0	+104	Yes	-$22	05-22 07:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 07:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	2	$21	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-22 07:47
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	+$8	02-19 02:56
spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	1	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	02-12 09:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-09 09:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-09 09:47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-09 09:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-09 09:51
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	02-10 17:18
will trump say moon this week april 12	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 07:52:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	104	21¢	$22	0x1a19f0…
05-22 07:47:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0xdfdb06…
05-22 07:46:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x9d4216…
05-09 09:52:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd3b4ef…
05-09 09:51:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4a5a5a…
05-09 09:51:17	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x988460…
05-09 09:49:31	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbb1321…
05-09 09:49:01	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x919b06…
05-09 09:47:26	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa69af8…
04-06 09:25:41	will trump say moon this week april 12	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9c02cc…
03-07 19:02:43	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x3d039c…
03-03 09:18:25	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xdec877…
03-03 09:18:05	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xb1f141…
03-03 06:30:45	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	471	7¢	$33	0x81df1b…
03-03 06:30:03	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x125594…
03-03 06:27:31	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xc8c250…
02-28 22:23:03	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	105	26¢	$27	0x1085ba…
02-28 11:23:59	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xf217b3…
02-22 20:46:50	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd01c08…
02-19 02:56:28	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe08753…
02-12 09:57:35	spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3193ac…
02-12 09:56:43	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xbed4e2…
02-10 17:18:15	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa8b1fb…