Grumpy-Runway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,263

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

77% 96% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:40:25	cs2 yaw gh 2026 06 30 game1	Game Hunters	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x154d47…
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3e4c7…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2907c…
06-29 23:57:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58d87b…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47f095…
06-29 13:52:43	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0905e…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d8323…
06-28 16:47:28	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 28	Esport BERG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02ee1b…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd32fae…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17f1b5…
06-28 02:03:17	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ad531…
06-26 18:36:46	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f26e2…
06-26 17:35:08	cs2 atrix clutch1 2026 06 26 map handicap home 1pt5	Clutchain Female	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6b339…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb13f10…
06-26 01:10:32	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x967f40…
06-26 00:56:19	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x545682…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ac823…
06-25 02:03:04	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x73b6eb…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecead2…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd64b12…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b2758…
06-24 00:54:25	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x157416…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e6489…
06-23 19:09:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ec466…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda83cc…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa74e5d…
06-23 14:53:31	atp tsitsip buse 2026 06 22 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbba5ba…
06-22 00:06:47	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24091c…
06-20 22:00:13	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf1c91…
06-20 20:06:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53feee…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6f4f0…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72fc5d…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8b0d2…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc7c08…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x764102…
06-18 13:15:17	kbo kiw sam 2026 06 18	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfba859…
06-17 22:03:38	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc8030…
06-17 21:12:43	mlb sd stl 2026 06 17 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ac6b1…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4bcb1…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc945db…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x362154…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb831af…
06-17 16:07:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc03cc6…
06-17 16:07:02	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecad22…
06-17 13:01:40	kbo lg kia 2026 06 17	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x756089…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6258fc…
06-17 00:01:56	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8854a9…
06-16 20:11:23	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb224ec…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9f7f7…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9541c9…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x096c51…
06-15 18:09:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0c31f…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc37ddc…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e8307…
06-14 19:58:55	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x799499…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0798cd…
06-14 19:22:33	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa093a7…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2de86…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x915511…
06-13 21:05:24	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3680c…
06-13 11:58:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1acc7b…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23e8ff…
06-12 21:38:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd3fb2…
06-12 21:07:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x795a8b…
06-12 20:34:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4e4dd…
06-12 20:26:45	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20a036…
06-12 20:18:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35d07c…
06-12 20:17:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68fceb…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22dbeb…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc035f7…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57f281…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc498a6…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x758a32…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63b066…
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x477389…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745b31…
06-09 00:21:18	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6ea6…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x348531…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd7fe0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc56309…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16428…
06-07 17:03:42	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7925c…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf1f10…
06-07 02:19:31	mlb cle tex 2026 06 06 spread away 1pt5	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x113dbc…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd72e76…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e8e6d…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49f7d0…
06-06 12:05:58	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6e88b…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf64872…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2af367…
06-05 18:19:13	will meta dip to 590 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37d41e…
06-05 15:45:18	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec16b2…
06-05 01:48:04	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c653…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b8115…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe9d383…
06-04 03:20:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points karl anthony towns 16pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd8855…
06-03 20:21:51	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d3c16…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66de1a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:30
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 17:26
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 12:27
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
highest temperature in austin on march 29 2026 90 91f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 07:11
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 20:58
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 15:08
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:13