Grumpy-Runway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

1,920

Trades

1,991

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$1

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 02:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Bensac Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-24 02:47
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fa5ec…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79c842…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55a84c…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73e738…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdaded7…
10-21 17:05:02	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ff934…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05cf19…
10-20 18:36:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefdba2…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffabcb…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x60e642…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74dc43…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc88957…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec2c81…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc3543…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6322d0…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd60050…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5222df…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1007a3…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x985c64…
10-12 09:28:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa38414…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ef67c…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eb098…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf99ada…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc31741…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2172d5…
10-10 11:09:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb726…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2e4bdc…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x997714…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x372a59…
10-06 22:24:14	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6f3c1…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0654f1…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d6c97…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x298a77…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc29f63…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc899c3…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7948e2…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x03946c…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae6b4e…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a7b81…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18cd4d…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc40be…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74b9b9…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00b54e…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4dac9b…
10-01 22:30:35	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0d072…
10-01 20:54:36	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39a1ce…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20ffe9…
10-01 20:36:08	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26485e…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd12ee7…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b277d…
10-01 11:30:42	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd040a9…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x854e19…
10-01 04:48:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x598e7c…
09-30 23:54:42	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95903a…
09-30 01:58:20	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66453f…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7569fa…
09-29 15:35:50	atp tobon torres 2026 09 28	Juan Bautista Torres	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20ab1d…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x341a3a…
09-29 13:18:53	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfe4fce…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x530695…
09-29 06:38:08	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29132f…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x176758…
09-28 17:23:20	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4478…
09-27 20:14:14	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9b83f0…
09-27 20:13:41	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa63196…
09-27 20:13:41	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08a8c7…
09-27 20:12:00	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61e069…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x968dfc…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55ec4e…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81c529…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa586d1…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f72e6…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a756…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee55f5…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6cf667…
09-25 10:12:41	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bcf1b…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d5197…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafea11…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75d0a7…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54650c…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x10d89e…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe17747…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dac76…
09-20 22:25:44	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f736d…
09-20 21:48:08	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8af94…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x910271…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb8178…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd385d…
09-20 01:32:42	East Carolina vs. Old Dominion	East Carolina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b3e3d…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee7d89…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5d637…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d1337…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7cbb6…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb37bf3…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8db13…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3423cc…
09-17 12:54:39	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf00c31…
09-17 00:30:45	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8d226…
09-16 10:16:52	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf415c3…
09-15 18:32:06	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x059bce…