Grumpy-Runway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,190

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

77% 96% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x477389…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745b31…
06-09 00:21:18	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6ea6…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x348531…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd7fe0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc56309…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16428…
06-07 17:03:42	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7925c…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf1f10…
06-07 02:19:31	mlb cle tex 2026 06 06 spread away 1pt5	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x113dbc…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd72e76…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e8e6d…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49f7d0…
06-06 12:05:58	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6e88b…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf64872…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2af367…
06-05 18:19:13	will meta dip to 590 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37d41e…
06-05 15:45:18	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec16b2…
06-05 01:48:04	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c653…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b8115…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe9d383…
06-04 03:20:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points karl anthony towns 16pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd8855…
06-03 20:21:51	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d3c16…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66de1a…
06-03 11:31:44	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a7892…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05b292…
06-03 04:48:44	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe7e7b…
06-03 04:48:44	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c05b8…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd01d49…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd8ae5…
06-01 20:43:48	Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)	Austria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3da9db…
06-01 17:59:28	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41e84b…
06-01 17:58:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4b630…
06-01 01:16:34	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd91ea1…
05-31 21:54:23	New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c55f2…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3bfbc…
05-31 18:58:24	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1444b0…
05-31 18:55:34	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x393766…
05-31 18:49:28	Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)	Bencic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15463b…
05-31 15:17:50	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e7dbb…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87bcf7…
05-30 23:30:44	Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c3ee6…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5111d3…
05-30 19:09:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x832ae8…
05-30 18:37:32	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner	BOMBA Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3211e3…
05-30 16:24:49	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a92ae…
05-30 16:02:29	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd44f23…
05-30 15:56:35	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87edc0…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c9982…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfaa86e…
05-30 04:47:55	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x87f7dd…
05-30 04:47:55	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b3e5e…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ed6bd…
05-29 23:44:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68e1c…
05-29 21:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x588332…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdbf76…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330d29…
05-29 21:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x522969…
05-29 20:28:26	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef7fa1…
05-29 20:26:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9cc69…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfad8b…
05-29 17:27:50	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9541ba…
05-29 13:33:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec5d18…
05-28 20:16:26	LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner	mCon esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b76a8…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3e57c…
05-28 16:30:53	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6d542…
05-28 16:30:39	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0fd2cd…
05-28 16:30:37	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd8cd0…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23ab1b…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf62878…
05-27 21:57:30	Valorant: Pigeons vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winner	Evil Geniuses Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x870224…
05-27 18:03:23	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x352913…
05-27 14:43:44	Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32392a…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e9bca…
05-26 20:01:34	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x471509…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2be034…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc018eb…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56a9ee…
05-25 04:48:31	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00f9d5…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x933722…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b6efa…
05-24 22:36:35	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cdf73…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x885f8f…
05-24 18:36:45	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14cf0b…
05-24 16:02:52	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x704bcf…
05-24 15:30:05	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4727d9…
05-24 14:01:12	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab438f…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01ab9f…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bda31…
05-23 17:47:05	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f93ac…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d3a6e…
05-23 12:56:33	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7226…
05-23 09:50:14	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ab12a…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b47c…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed4104…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x495c5f…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc89421…
05-21 04:00:51	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x989a75…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:30
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
highest temperature in austin on march 29 2026 90 91f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 07:11
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 23:50
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 15:08
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 13:14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 08:59
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Timberwolves	+$0	05-09 03:58
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:13
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01