(anonymous) 0x80fea6…93d375
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Realized P&L
-$227
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
479
Trades
1,016
lifetime
Volume
$38.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$460
24 positions
First seen
2026-07-05
last 10-26 19:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
59% 86% +$54
Politics
21% 82% -$12
Crypto
16% 95% +$16
Tech
2% 92% -$8
Sports
2% 77% -$276
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +55 $50 86¢ $47 -$3 10-06 05:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +45 $40 92¢ $41 +$1 10-21 18:05
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 91¢ $30 +$0 10-25 16:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 15:42
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 16:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 15:41
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 15:41
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 16:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 16:20
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 16:20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-25 16:20
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +33 $30 88¢ $29 -$1 10-25 16:19
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +33 $30 82¢ $28 -$2 10-25 15:41
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +21 $19 99¢ $21 +$1 10-22 03:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +20 $18 84¢ $17 -$1 10-22 05:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +77 $10 8¢ $7 -$3 08-19 22:33
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Yes +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$0 10-05 13:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 10-07 16:35
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 10-17 14:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +0 -$2 97¢ $0 +$2 10-21 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 10-23 16:40
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-16 22:15
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-10 15:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-11 17:30