Realized P&L (90d)
-$99
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
26.3%
Resolved (90d)
13
Trades (90d)
10
990 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$205
$44.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$232
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-04 20:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
72% 29% -$797
Politics
25% 28% +$134
Sports
3% 15% -$498
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +294 $106 18¢ $54 -$52 07-09 01:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -60 -$28 80¢ $-48 -$20 05-28 05:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +294 $56 15¢ $43 -$13 07-09 01:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -100 -$29 42¢ $-42 -$13 06-01 12:45
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +200 $25 12¢ $24 -$1 09-06 03:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +375 $30 6¢ $21 -$9 07-11 05:39