Far-Off-Membership — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

292 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$644

$3.53K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:06
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x69f1e0…
11-01 17:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62a1e2…
10-31 15:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec8764…
10-30 14:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f7fc6…
10-29 17:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf28678…
10-29 09:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6cada…
10-28 07:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab4bec…
10-27 09:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xe05bec…
10-26 09:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69f9e4…
10-24 11:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf552e0…
10-22 10:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b4695…
10-20 07:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c4ff4…
10-19 09:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e7c47…
10-18 10:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6baad4…
10-17 15:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x626e8c…
10-16 10:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x624cec…
10-15 09:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9236d6…
10-14 09:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec4aa3…
10-13 09:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x073bbf…
10-12 09:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79b5b…
10-11 09:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85af3c…
10-08 12:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74fa77…
10-07 15:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe747b4…
10-06 15:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x898361…
10-05 06:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d1071…
10-03 08:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bd8c8…
10-02 13:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f2382…
10-01 08:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cc6bb…
09-30 02:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90d889…
09-28 09:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa22adc…
09-27 08:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fd418…
09-25 16:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb64d0e…
09-24 08:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61a8fc…
09-23 08:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b60d8…
09-22 08:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef100c…
09-21 09:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe8d00…
09-20 05:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3fd4b…
09-19 08:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5fad4…
09-18 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x458299…
09-17 04:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68ca56…
09-16 08:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf15410…
09-15 10:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6abfa7…
09-14 09:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6c8dc…
09-13 02:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc32aed…
09-11 07:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4967a1…
09-10 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb28d14…
09-09 12:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3cf759…
09-08 15:48:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x919749…
09-08 06:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x661dce…
09-07 08:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25c4cd…
09-06 16:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2705b4…
09-06 10:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x380b2b…
09-05 01:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9bfeb…
09-04 00:59:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x769b97…
09-02 07:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a302d…
08-30 09:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x815246…
08-29 09:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce3660…
08-28 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc25c9d…
08-27 09:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe54dfd…
08-26 08:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c589b…
08-25 09:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86af80…
08-24 14:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d9ec8…
08-23 15:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17149d…
08-22 09:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4ff5b…
08-21 07:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71d58b…
08-20 09:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830265…
08-18 08:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd76d65…
08-17 08:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x818a5f…
08-16 14:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6856f9…
08-15 10:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7727ac…
08-14 06:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bcbbd…
08-13 08:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb46833…
08-12 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89de5b…
08-11 07:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf2742…
08-10 08:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1548cd…
08-09 06:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56020c…
08-08 07:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3ccb6…
08-07 07:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb6a78…
08-06 06:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d52a3…
08-05 08:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83a06e…
08-04 08:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x296807…
08-03 07:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x397dd1…
08-02 06:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88c23e…
08-01 07:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2014e5…
07-31 13:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce987e…
07-30 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45709b…
07-29 07:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x301fdb…
07-28 07:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9afc4…
07-27 08:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7566b6…
07-26 07:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbea371…
07-25 08:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2f39f…
07-24 13:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x703599…
07-23 08:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ea100…
07-22 02:09:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x083a8a…
07-21 09:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3a93b…
07-21 00:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e03d4…
07-20 08:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x878169…
07-18 23:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa99ed8…
07-18 00:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16639a…
07-17 07:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4140ca…