Slim-Modernity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,444

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-22 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 45% $-11

Politics

10% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	38	$194	1,863	1,863	+0	open	—	04-24 22:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$163	1,495	396	+1,099	open	—	03-30 23:24
btc updown 5m 1773095400	12	$156	149	149	+0	open	—	03-09 22:35
btc updown 5m 1773101100	2	$156	128	127	+1	open	—	03-10 00:11
btc updown 5m 1774796700	14	$136	259	259	+0	open	—	03-29 15:10
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	11	$127	176	176	+0	open	—	04-17 10:06
btc updown 5m 1773093300	5	$90	95	95	+1	open	—	03-09 22:00
btc updown 5m 1776412800	8	$88	244	171	+73	open	—	04-17 08:05
btc updown 5m 1773092400	2	$76	67	66	+0	open	—	03-09 21:46
btc updown 5m 1773100500	3	$75	130	129	+1	open	—	03-09 23:59
btc updown 5m 1774797300	6	$72	130	129	+1	open	—	03-29 15:19
btc updown 5m 1774792800	6	$70	878	0	+878	open	—	03-29 14:03
btc updown 5m 1774800900	7	$67	745	0	+745	open	—	03-29 16:18
btc updown 5m 1774796400	5	$62	372	207	+165	open	—	03-29 15:04
btc updown 5m 1776540000	10	$61	968	0	+968	open	—	04-18 19:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$61	962	962	+0	open	—	03-29 16:05
btc updown 5m 1773099300	2	$61	83	82	+1	open	—	03-09 23:36
btc updown 5m 1774791900	5	$60	283	0	+283	open	—	03-29 13:48
btc updown 5m 1776540300	12	$59	285	86	+199	open	—	04-18 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776104700	9	$57	134	40	+94	open	—	04-13 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776540900	12	$57	71	66	+5	open	—	04-18 19:39
btc updown 5m 1774798500	9	$57	58	58	+0	open	—	03-29 15:39
btc updown 5m 1774797900	11	$54	1,183	0	+1,183	open	—	03-29 15:29
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	17	$54	766	704	+62	open	—	04-17 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774798200	12	$51	438	0	+438	open	—	03-29 15:34
btc updown 5m 1776104400	8	$51	261	71	+190	open	—	04-13 18:24
btc updown 5m 1773103200	3	$50	265	0	+265	open	—	03-10 00:44
btc updown 5m 1773101700	4	$50	1,485	0	+1,485	open	—	03-10 00:18
btc updown 5m 1774795800	2	$50	42	41	+1	open	—	03-29 14:54
btc updown 5m 1774800600	8	$49	58	35	+23	open	—	03-29 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:48:31	btc updown 5m 1784745900	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcf06b9…
07-22 18:48:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x1cf606…
07-19 21:57:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8db422…
07-19 21:56:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc38679…
07-19 21:56:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x61d32a…
07-17 18:04:33	btc updown 5m 1784311200	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x862854…
07-17 17:57:21	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 17	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xb18f52…
07-16 20:08:26	btc updown 5m 1784232300	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0dc9c7…
07-16 20:08:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xc4bb29…
07-16 20:07:58	bitcoin up or down on july 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1ad595…
07-16 19:58:14	btc updown 5m 1784231700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x36fdfa…
07-16 15:00:38	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x31d073…
07-16 14:58:46	btc updown 5m 1784213700	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc68410…
07-16 14:55:41	btc updown 5m 1784213700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb79a4d…
07-16 14:54:25	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xb076ea…
07-16 14:52:16	btc updown 5m 1784213400	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x22dbd3…
07-16 14:51:46	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc3494a…
07-16 14:50:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd4cc4b…
07-16 14:47:40	btc updown 5m 1784213100	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x315eca…
07-16 00:27:23	btc updown 5m 1784161500	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe1beb0…
07-16 00:27:14	btc updown 5m 1784161500	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe37cc9…
07-16 00:27:05	btc updown 5m 1784161500	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x252837…
07-16 00:26:55	btc updown 5m 1784161500	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x74c565…
07-16 00:26:52	btc updown 5m 1784161500	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc89eff…
07-16 00:23:04	btc updown 5m 1784161200	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x881176…
07-16 00:23:04	btc updown 5m 1784161200	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x79f371…
07-16 00:23:04	btc updown 5m 1784161200	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x074099…
07-16 00:21:43	btc updown 5m 1784161200	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x1ec541…
07-16 00:20:50	btc updown 5m 1784161200	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x703248…
07-15 08:45:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6931b5…
07-15 08:39:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x7e860a…
07-15 08:39:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xde24d3…
07-15 08:38:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x5ec1ba…
07-15 08:36:07	btc updown 5m 1784104500	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9099d5…
07-15 08:35:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x78fe52…
07-13 21:35:49	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a49b1…
07-12 21:01:32	btc updown 5m 1783890000	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4063bf…
07-12 20:59:22	btc updown 5m 1783889700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf6c3d3…
07-12 20:57:59	btc updown 5m 1783889700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe4e8f7…
07-12 20:55:40	btc updown 5m 1783889700	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb6966e…
07-12 20:55:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x056300…
07-12 20:53:05	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x439cca…
07-12 20:52:58	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd43161…
07-12 20:52:41	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x245e8f…
07-12 20:51:55	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x1336e1…
07-12 20:51:31	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5f74b8…
07-12 20:51:22	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5be689…
07-12 20:50:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x267618…
07-12 20:50:29	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x73e942…
07-12 20:50:20	btc updown 5m 1783889400	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3cf6f7…
07-12 20:49:02	btc updown 5m 1783889100	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xee6783…
07-12 20:47:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd575b9…
07-12 20:47:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2b33e0…
07-09 15:55:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x94468f…
06-26 16:52:10	btc updown 5m 1782492600	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd69733…
06-26 16:50:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8cc7d4…
06-26 16:50:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x365493…
06-11 17:51:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1ca2ec…
05-25 21:43:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x933e9c…
05-21 13:08:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0xfb7666…
05-20 20:28:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x110bd5…
05-20 20:28:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x27dd23…
05-20 16:27:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2893da…
05-20 16:24:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xfbdd26…
05-20 16:24:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xff90ef…
05-20 16:23:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xaeda70…
05-16 18:51:08	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xebc022…
05-16 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf68b10…
05-16 18:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x923b45…
05-15 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd3dd97…
05-15 01:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xde1d42…
05-15 01:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4fe8a4…
05-15 01:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0x678127…
05-15 01:32:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xe7fc3d…
05-15 01:32:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf7cab1…
05-14 21:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xb2430c…
05-14 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x20f0bc…
05-14 21:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x1ed612…
05-14 21:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x62736b…
05-14 21:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x24f725…
05-14 21:38:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x05504b…
05-14 21:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xdf9fcb…
05-14 21:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ad642…
05-14 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x895ad8…
05-14 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3a45e4…
05-14 21:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc386f8…
05-14 21:34:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x644325…
05-14 21:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x678036…
05-13 22:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9e06b0…
05-13 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbe2b27…
05-13 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8e1617…
05-13 22:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x353785…
05-13 22:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x2ff52f…
05-13 22:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x967f10…
05-13 21:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa75706…
05-13 21:56:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0xbecb87…
05-13 17:02:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x57f04b…
05-13 16:43:53	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x9b6827…
05-13 16:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x099254…
05-13 16:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x758b09…