Unlawful-Precedence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$908

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$21

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 11-01 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

56% 40% +$0

Other

43% 40% -$16

Crypto

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	+17	$15	88¢	$15	$0	08-27 05:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+48	$8	10¢	$5	-$4	05-29 17:35
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,500	$22	0¢	$2	-$20	06-22 16:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	7	$158	9,000	7,500	+1,500	open	—	06-22 16:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$97	105	57	+48	open	—	08-04 17:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	10-30 21:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	4	$44	25	25	+0	No	+$0	10-28 20:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$40	250	250	+0	open	—	07-22 13:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 11:02
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	2	$30	23	23	+0	No	+$0	08-01 13:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$30	44	44	+0	No	+$0	08-24 20:56
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	2	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	08-13 00:53
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-23 12:54
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	2	$30	54	54	+0	open	—	09-25 00:01
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	09-01 03:03
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	09-27 07:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	11-01 21:44
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	08-09 12:08
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	08-27 01:09
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	2	$29	31	31	+0	No	+$0	08-18 13:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$28	18	18	+0	Yes	-$2	07-27 14:29
Will T1 win MSI 2026?	2	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	06-22 12:52
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	2	$19	26	26	+0	resolved	+$2	08-13 08:19
Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	10-21 19:39
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	10-14 14:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$15	56	0	+56	No	-$15	07-27 14:29
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	08-27 05:56
atp kym bueno 2026 06 22	1	$11	19	0	+19	Jerome Kym	+$8	06-22 13:27
atp struff landalu 2026 06 22	1	$9	26	0	+26	Jan-Lennard Struff	-$9	06-22 13:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	11-01 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	-$5	05-05 08:33
wta sierra zhen 2026 06 22	1	$5	17	0	+17	Qinwen Zheng	-$5	06-22 13:27
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	3	$2	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	08-09 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 21:54:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x1ce414…
11-01 21:44:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x8b3081…
10-30 21:37:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3e079f…
10-30 21:02:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xd9842e…
10-28 20:58:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x40c4c7…
10-28 20:49:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x192cdd…
10-26 11:50:26	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xb93829…
10-26 11:40:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x88ca92…
10-24 08:44:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc57486…
10-24 08:38:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x255987…
10-21 19:58:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x868fb2…
10-21 19:39:47	Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0x8d484c…
10-14 15:55:49	Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xca3780…
10-14 14:47:52	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x046b75…
10-10 11:08:19	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x3b22db…
10-10 11:02:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x4b5d58…
09-27 08:54:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x043878…
09-27 07:28:48	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x088df4…
09-25 00:45:24	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x6ec2e4…
09-25 00:01:45	Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	54	27¢	$15	0x008100…
09-01 12:41:09	Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xf907c3…
09-01 03:03:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xbb202d…
08-27 05:56:06	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x2e2529…
08-27 01:09:36	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x1cfccd…
08-25 01:07:09	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe5b161…
08-24 20:56:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	44	34¢	$15	0x465799…
08-24 00:52:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xf2d144…
08-23 23:45:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x252414…
08-18 19:12:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x16ccd1…
08-18 13:10:10	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	SELL	31	46¢	$15	0x4a965c…
08-13 09:00:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xcb06ad…
08-13 08:19:58	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0x54e807…
08-13 04:19:18	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0x86b4f9…
08-13 00:53:43	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x91fcee…
08-09 15:15:48	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x14d219…
08-09 14:50:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x2fffe9…
08-09 12:17:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x6a4a7a…
08-09 12:16:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x988604…
08-09 12:08:00	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xa80265…
08-04 17:42:15	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x33cc9a…
08-04 17:01:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x5ad613…
08-02 16:39:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x799b4c…
08-02 16:39:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xde0549…
08-01 17:42:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0970e4…
08-01 13:38:15	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0x517fd6…
07-27 14:29:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0xa8490b…
07-27 14:29:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x30fa32…
07-27 14:29:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xf8049f…
07-23 14:03:40	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x55d5db…
07-23 12:54:55	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x098988…
07-22 14:07:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xf26d57…
07-22 13:43:42	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0xf4a98a…
07-21 05:24:10	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0522a0…
07-21 05:12:43	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x21f431…
07-21 04:47:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x9d9620…
07-20 13:39:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x88f52e…
07-20 13:38:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4af927…
07-20 13:38:45	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x84421e…
06-22 16:51:34	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x795e80…
06-22 13:27:31	atp struff landalu 2026 06 22	Martin Landaluce	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0x6c6bac…
06-22 13:27:31	wta sierra zhen 2026 06 22	Solana Sierra	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x344c6d…
06-22 13:27:31	atp kym bueno 2026 06 22	Jerome Kym	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x09b240…
06-22 12:52:55	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9c76f9…
06-22 12:52:53	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc067a1…
06-22 09:30:47	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7,500	1¢	$68	0xa52f66…
06-22 05:48:50	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x7c885d…
06-22 05:48:50	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x0d3e9d…
06-22 05:48:43	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x30d1e2…
06-22 05:48:41	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x516b88…
06-22 05:48:37	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x960a4c…
05-29 17:35:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x3ad577…
05-29 15:36:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x67c6fa…
05-29 15:33:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xe7ffaa…
05-05 08:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf81b25…