Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

127 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13

$183 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-08-02

last 11-06 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

75% 58% +$12

Politics

22% 55% -$2

Tech

2% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	+2	$1	92¢	$2	+$1	11-03 19:33
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	11-04 05:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	11-03 03:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	49¢	$1	+$0	11-06 22:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+1	$1	58¢	$1	$0	11-06 12:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$2	5¢	$0	-$2	08-18 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
laptop airdrop by september 9	2	$4	11	+11	Yes	-$1	09-08 07:42
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-14 07:22
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-16 03:33
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 17:24
will ewy dip to 180 by september 7 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-10 22:54
Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-23 20:08
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-20 22:46
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-25 12:46
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Up	-$2	09-11 07:04
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-11 05:12
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 15:41
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-10 14:47
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 20:54
will xagusd dip to 65 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-23 00:04
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	09-16 11:35
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-13 23:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	08-18 17:14
will hood dip to 82 50 by august 3 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-04 01:27
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-03 07:37
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 21:11
wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-19 05:48
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-07 03:02
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-14 05:29
spx up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	08-13 01:21
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 23:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 11:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-05 01:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-03 17:27
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-22 03:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-04 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:46:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x898258…
11-06 12:42:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xab37b1…
11-06 01:23:06	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3702e8…
11-05 13:20:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf5173f…
11-05 02:54:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x460a2a…
11-04 05:30:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe212a6…
11-03 19:33:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x05a9cd…
11-03 11:26:34	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x62914c…
11-03 03:23:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa7ec15…
11-02 19:22:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x611dda…
11-02 11:22:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xecfe56…
11-02 03:22:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x33cc27…
11-01 19:18:12	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa8e458…
10-28 03:57:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd8e7da…
10-27 19:47:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd51866…
10-27 11:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb18092…
10-27 03:37:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd29803…
10-25 02:07:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6d9f0e…
10-23 17:18:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5c3d0b…
10-23 08:11:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x94c52d…
10-23 00:10:56	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xadf991…
10-22 16:09:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa94ece…
10-20 20:01:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4c3401…
10-18 23:57:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x33003b…
10-18 13:10:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x27d433…
10-18 01:03:54	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x38d2d3…
10-17 16:44:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc5cffe…
10-17 08:40:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b8178…
10-16 05:02:19	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x57c740…
10-16 04:36:36	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x58632e…
10-15 16:41:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x387b94…
10-15 08:32:11	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd968a1…
10-15 00:00:13	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ed535…
10-14 13:18:08	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd96cf9…
10-14 04:52:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa59534…
10-13 20:48:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeb4c83…
10-13 07:08:29	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a2c50…
10-12 23:06:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd82279…
10-12 15:05:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6fc0aa…
10-12 07:05:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfc863c…
10-11 23:05:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5f475f…
10-11 14:36:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x321111…
10-11 01:05:01	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xef9997…
10-10 06:24:55	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x16aaf7…
10-09 15:27:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x52a53a…
10-09 05:15:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3fe009…
10-08 21:13:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x55e8e5…
10-08 13:09:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3ca46a…
10-08 04:01:50	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6bb1b6…
10-07 19:45:34	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc3f173…
10-07 07:35:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcc70b3…
10-06 23:35:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6aba6b…
10-06 15:02:18	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x700c81…
10-06 06:47:48	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9a3431…
10-05 22:47:40	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4e4c9c…
10-05 14:41:25	will meta reach 770 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf3cb49…
10-05 00:59:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x31c1d4…
10-05 00:51:46	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe06352…
10-02 06:12:57	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0d0697…
10-01 16:56:56	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe4a743…
10-01 08:42:50	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc5a47a…
09-30 23:02:02	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8936fa…
09-30 13:38:26	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x707eff…
09-30 05:03:27	will wti reach 95 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x80c87a…
09-27 19:48:15	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt25 in september	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4e570a…
09-27 05:45:21	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x75a008…
09-26 07:46:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb3523a…
09-25 21:54:57	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x823b16…
09-25 13:53:53	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x402503…
09-25 05:01:08	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0127bd…
09-24 20:21:08	will xauusd reach 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x21e0e9…
09-24 12:13:54	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x15c037…
09-24 04:09:08	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0457f5…
09-23 20:08:59	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x313617…
09-23 00:04:25	will xagusd dip to 65 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xeb0694…
09-20 22:46:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x71d146…
09-19 07:10:31	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28678f…
09-17 20:54:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x26e3c3…
09-17 11:44:33	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x4a8bbe…
09-16 11:35:39	Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4ef1f6…
09-16 03:33:46	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9ba4f3…
09-14 07:22:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x5a23bf…
09-13 23:22:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0f06c0…
09-11 07:04:37	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc43414…
09-10 22:54:10	will ewy dip to 180 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9af9df…
09-10 14:47:24	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xef3185…
09-10 03:09:49	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x78946a…
09-08 17:24:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x682da8…
09-08 07:42:28	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd719ef…
09-08 07:40:52	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6207a6…
09-07 07:58:07	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6e1b48…
09-03 07:37:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6afe17…
08-27 21:30:03	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x16ed8a…
08-25 12:46:15	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf2f1c3…
08-25 03:54:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xeaa127…
08-23 03:11:09	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260830	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd24124…
08-22 03:44:06	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xfd5077…
08-21 07:20:39	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd3b833…
08-20 23:13:36	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x46afe5…
08-19 20:20:28	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8adb6f…