Muddy-Hobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$108

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$87

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Sports

21% 100% +$11

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	-274	$-60	20¢	$-56	+$4	05-06 09:26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	+31	$15	48¢	$15	$-0	05-06 03:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	+165	$10	5¢	$8	$-2	05-06 09:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	-267	$-5	2¢	$-7	$-1	05-06 00:53
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-45	$-1	2¢	$-1	+$0	05-05 05:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	-6	$-0	4¢	$-0	+$0	05-06 07:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	$-0	42¢	$-0	+$0	05-06 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:05:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x02ca45…
05-06 09:26:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	27¢	$54	0x855115…
05-06 09:19:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0xf9ce7d…
05-06 07:19:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x5f6583…
05-06 03:59:40	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x9485f1…
05-06 01:08:54	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	70	15¢	$11	0xe61d65…
05-06 00:53:54	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	267	2¢	$5	0x971c29…
05-05 05:40:50	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xed749b…
05-05 04:49:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	8¢	$6	0x08d8d2…
05-05 00:35:10	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x75319e…
05-05 00:19:58	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x54343f…
05-04 23:04:20	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5f52ba…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$2.08K	13	05-06 02:23
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	3	$9.16K	4	05-06 09:34
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	3	$5.68K	187	05-06 10:11
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	3	$3.99K	31	05-06 12:40
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	3	$1.53K	30	05-06 02:14
Clear-Cut-Gravel 0xb242…eb89	3	$1.37K	6	05-06 12:02
Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b…b4d9	3	$1.25K	5	05-06 10:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$60	0	274	-274	open	—	05-06 09:26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	1	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	05-06 03:59
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$11	0	70	-70	Thunder	+$11	05-06 01:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$10	165	0	+165	open	—	05-06 09:19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$6	3	3	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$0	05-05 00:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	0	267	-267	open	—	05-06 00:53
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	0	45	-45	open	—	05-05 05:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	05-06 07:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	1	-1	open	—	05-06 12:05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	1	$0	0	1	-1	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	05-05 00:35