Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$315
Hit rate
94.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
537
lifetime
Volume
$7.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$786
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 11-09 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
90% 30% +$2,373
Other
10% 0% -$2
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +17,073 $269 1¢ $179 -$89 11-08 20:34
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +6,052 $225 3¢ $179 -$46 11-08 20:34
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? Yes +270 $160 45¢ $121 -$39 11-09 16:49
Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +2,001 $72 2¢ $43 -$29 11-08 14:58
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +4,000 $22 1¢ $26 +$4 10-29 17:35
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? Yes +463 $30 5¢ $23 -$7 11-04 03:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +500 $29 4¢ $22 -$6 11-07 14:29
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +121 $16 15¢ $18 +$2 11-09 16:47
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +330 $26 4¢ $15 -$11 10-30 01:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes +400 -$237 4¢ $14 +$251 11-08 20:16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $11 14¢ $14 +$2 10-29 14:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +7,554 $68 0¢ $11 -$57 11-04 05:49
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +162 $20 7¢ $11 -$9 11-04 21:06
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +106 $15 10¢ $11 -$5 11-03 04:18
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $15 20¢ $10 -$5 11-08 20:12
Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +73 $10 13¢ $9 -$1 11-04 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,075 $17 1¢ $8 -$9 11-07 16:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +200 $12 4¢ $8 -$4 11-03 00:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +1,484 $38 0¢ $7 -$31 11-03 04:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +77 $10 10¢ $7 -$3 11-05 22:38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +7,027 $172 0¢ $7 -$165 11-04 07:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +351 $9 2¢ $6 -$3 11-07 16:10
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? Yes +637 $50 1¢ $6 -$44 11-04 04:03
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +287 $12 2¢ $6 -$6 10-21 21:28
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +38 $5 16¢ $6 +$1 11-04 21:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +2,600 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 11-03 00:50
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +97 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 08-21 17:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +1,700 $5 0¢ $3 -$2 11-03 00:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +2,000 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 11-03 00:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +2,000 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 11-03 00:51