Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$637

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 09-08 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

44% 44% +$13

Sports

18% 33% -$99

Politics

15% 50% +$66

Crypto

13% 20% -$7

Tech

10% 40% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$202	105	105	+0	Yes	+$8	06-24 21:19
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$101	524	0	+524	No	-$101	07-15 07:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$67	154	154	+0	open	—	09-08 12:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 15:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	09-08 12:33
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	-$2	05-24 20:24
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$18	14	14	+0	No	-$2	05-24 20:24
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	-$3	05-24 20:24
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$12	28	28	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 10:08
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	2	$12	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	05-22 14:21
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 20:24
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	2	$10	24	24	+0	No	$0	06-01 10:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 14:22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$7	05-08 11:03
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	13	13	+0	No	$0	06-24 20:42
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	4	$9	31	31	+0	open	—	06-01 10:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	1	$9	39	0	+39	Yes	-$9	06-01 10:13
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$8	19	19	+0	Yes	-$2	06-01 10:08
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	-$2	06-01 10:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	31	31	+0	No	-$2	05-22 15:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	2	$7	29	29	+0	open	—	09-08 12:33
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$7	33	33	+0	No	-$3	06-01 10:08
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	2	$6	23	23	+0	open	—	09-08 12:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	71	0	+71	Yes	+$66	05-08 09:51
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	06-24 20:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	07-24 23:35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	1	$4	461	0	+461	No	-$4	06-01 10:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$4	210	0	+210	No	-$4	06-01 10:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	1	$4	22	0	+22	No	-$4	06-01 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$4	26	0	+26	Yes	+$22	06-01 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 12:33:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	154	12¢	$18	0xb4e2cf…
09-08 12:33:46	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x11dca2…
09-08 12:33:39	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xf02e3f…
09-08 12:33:25	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x7a8c18…
07-24 23:35:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x39b8fb…
07-15 07:35:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	246	20¢	$48	0x7b5658…
07-15 07:35:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	246	20¢	$48	0x4b1419…
06-24 21:19:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x6238c6…
06-24 20:52:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	105	92¢	$97	0x2bec56…
06-24 20:44:26	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0c56c6…
06-24 20:42:28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x7828c3…
06-24 20:42:04	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x30c69f…
06-24 20:41:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x411918…
06-05 09:35:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	154	32¢	$49	0x722e47…
06-05 09:34:34	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x5102d0…
06-05 09:34:01	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5673cb…
06-01 10:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$4	0x79f419…
06-01 10:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x06a645…
06-01 10:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	1¢	$4	0xb48483…
06-01 10:13:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x1141a9…
06-01 10:12:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x9791c0…
06-01 10:08:57	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xcd0f64…
06-01 10:08:50	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xdae213…
06-01 10:08:43	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xab8d9a…
06-01 10:08:26	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x4949ad…
06-01 10:08:17	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	27¢	$7	0x1a84c5…
06-01 10:08:12	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x5948ab…
05-24 20:24:26	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x7bca58…
05-24 20:24:20	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xc59a07…
05-24 20:24:13	Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x30c853…
05-24 20:24:06	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x9d300a…
05-24 20:22:02	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2afd41…
05-24 20:21:20	Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x166109…
05-24 20:21:10	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf16b63…
05-24 20:20:52	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x70fb41…
05-22 15:22:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xa91d76…
05-22 15:21:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x0fc73e…
05-22 14:22:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x10bc2c…
05-22 14:21:32	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x613587…
05-19 20:21:43	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xcbf01b…
05-17 15:37:47	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb0e56b…
05-12 00:39:16	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0f6a3c…
05-08 14:46:06	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4a992b…
05-08 11:03:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x572481…
05-08 10:53:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5fccf6…
05-08 09:53:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xff2a93…
05-08 09:51:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xefc58c…
05-08 09:50:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0eadc3…
05-08 08:39:04	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5cd1df…
05-08 08:32:27	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xaeb277…
05-08 08:31:47	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x49e676…
05-08 08:31:06	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5e9972…
05-08 08:30:44	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7acd25…
05-08 08:27:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6c0111…