Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$115
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$55
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-24 20:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$66
Tech
20%
Crypto
18%
Sports
4%
Other
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +154 $49 26¢ $39 $-10 06-05 09:35
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-4 22¢ $-7 $-3 06-01 10:08
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +23 $5 15¢ $4 $-1 06-05 09:34
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +29 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 06-05 09:34
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-3 22¢ $-2 +$1 06-01 10:08
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -24 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-01 10:08
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -33 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-01 10:08