Firsthand-Sender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

354

Trades

948

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-09 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

97% 31% -$24

Crypto

2% 45% -$7

Politics

1% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+39	$12	26¢	$10	-$2	10-09 06:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	6	$230	239	125	+114	No	-$118	03-30 12:36
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 21c	2	$208	108	108	+0	No	+$8	03-30 06:08
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 17c	2	$207	106	106	+0	No	+$4	03-29 06:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 26c	13	$171	94	94	+0	No	+$11	03-24 06:10
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	8	$104	77	77	+0	Yes	-$10	03-25 07:26
highest temperature in beijing on march 23 2026 17c	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	03-23 05:57
highest temperature in beijing on march 23 2026 18c	2	$99	104	0	+104	Yes	+$5	03-23 07:15
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 27c	10	$92	60	60	+0	No	-$3	03-27 03:27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	3	$67	200	96	+104	Yes	+$56	04-26 02:31
highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 24c	7	$56	32	35	-3	No	+$1	03-26 07:25
highest temperature in chengdu on march 30 2026 16c	4	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	03-30 08:39
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 26 2026 26c	5	$42	45	0	+45	No	+$3	03-26 03:08
highest temperature in beijing on march 25 2026 26c	4	$38	47	0	+47	No	+$9	03-25 03:12
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	4	$31	15	20	-5	No	+$4	03-25 06:37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$28	100	0	+100	No	-$28	04-24 07:50
bitboy convicted	5	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$14	04-01 03:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$23	100	0	+100	No	-$23	04-24 07:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	3	$22	105	101	+4	No	-$20	04-25 22:20
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	4	$21	49	10	+39	open	—	10-09 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?	6	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$12	04-29 06:05
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 26c	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	$0	03-24 04:45
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	3	$17	20	20	+0	No	-$13	03-27 05:08
highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 26c	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	03-26 06:54
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 16c	3	$13	27	27	+0	No	+$1	03-19 11:00
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	05-14 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?	4	$13	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 23:12
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 30 2026 27c	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	03-30 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	6	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-01 06:04
highest temperature in chongqing on march 21 2026 21corhigher	2	$11	12	12	+0	No	-$3	03-21 08:05
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	2	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	03-21 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 06:07:01	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe5fd8c…
09-17 06:19:52	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x07e821…
09-17 02:54:07	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xdd558a…
07-06 13:48:23	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xde4562…
07-01 01:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x77ab75…
07-01 01:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xd13a69…
07-01 01:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x965045…
07-01 01:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x2371d2…
07-01 01:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x71bac8…
07-01 01:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x18b8ae…
05-19 00:01:04	Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xda2b2f…
05-18 23:51:16	Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x197841…
05-17 07:05:17	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x094310…
05-14 06:35:10	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4d4e56…
05-09 06:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9e76b9…
05-09 06:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xadcb62…
05-09 06:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2835a1…
05-09 06:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x043533…
05-09 06:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x85d670…
05-09 05:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb99325…
05-09 05:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa15126…
05-09 04:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb5cc4a…
05-09 04:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x1e8b1d…
05-09 04:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xafaed5…
05-09 01:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x60abab…
05-09 01:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0b627f…
05-09 01:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x1ea04b…
05-09 01:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x5fa4b2…
05-09 01:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf399ef…
05-09 01:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa443cd…
05-09 01:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1c1965…
05-09 01:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x6b5509…
05-09 00:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5f3a38…
05-08 23:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xbb69c7…
05-08 23:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x3dfd02…
05-08 21:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xf2c225…
05-08 21:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xade02a…
05-08 19:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x20f654…
05-08 16:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x07966d…
05-08 13:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x5ca4ee…
05-08 13:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x1d826d…
05-08 13:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xec77e3…
05-08 13:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x815d09…
05-08 12:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x5f3075…
05-08 12:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x535f44…
05-08 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xf0658a…
05-08 07:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3a9adf…
05-08 06:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x11854f…
05-08 06:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xe8a953…
05-08 06:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x25d30d…
05-08 06:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xea608a…
05-08 05:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0xae13fa…
05-08 05:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x80e873…
05-08 05:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x106596…
05-08 04:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9659ac…
05-08 04:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x2ab165…
05-08 02:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x85cf3c…
05-08 01:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9cbbdc…
05-08 00:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xbea707…
05-07 23:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x2559a0…
05-07 23:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8e7f9a…
05-07 23:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xb22906…
05-07 22:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb1b3d4…
05-07 17:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xcb0171…
05-07 16:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8a9427…
05-07 16:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9ffe33…
05-07 15:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x42c55d…
05-07 14:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x2d904a…
05-07 13:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xcc84ae…
05-07 13:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x94ad9f…
05-07 13:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x24da38…
05-07 13:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3db933…
05-07 13:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xca0b89…
05-07 12:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xa255e8…
05-07 12:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7b0c85…
05-07 12:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x10cebb…
05-07 12:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xb1c828…
05-07 12:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x22145b…
05-07 11:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x194834…
05-07 10:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc09837…
05-07 10:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7b275d…
05-07 09:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x657f7b…
05-07 09:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4659a4…
05-07 09:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0f8cab…
05-07 08:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb41e7a…
05-07 08:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x81974c…
05-07 08:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8a6df1…
05-06 00:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x6dd404…
05-06 00:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x4392c5…
05-05 13:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3c7d54…
05-05 12:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x664ee4…
05-05 11:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x338608…
05-05 10:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa2db1f…
05-05 09:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xdeadb6…
05-02 00:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x2bcd1d…
05-02 00:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x77169d…
05-01 19:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x86f49a…
05-01 19:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xd0b6be…
05-01 17:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xba957f…
05-01 14:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6f5e74…