Live-Custody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-21 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

49% 0% $-3

Other

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$1.7K	900	900	+0	No	$-1	03-26 17:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	9	$970	513	513	+0	open	—	03-29 16:34
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	6	$655	338	338	+0	open	—	03-21 17:51
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	4	$426	227	227	+0	open	—	04-09 19:25
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$369	189	189	+0	open	—	03-12 06:49
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$363	186	186	+0	open	—	03-11 14:19
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$362	195	195	+0	open	—	03-12 23:22
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$355	187	187	+0	No	$-2	03-16 16:24
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$349	179	179	+0	open	—	03-13 19:05
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$340	176	176	+0	open	—	03-18 11:16
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$325	168	168	+0	open	—	03-24 09:58
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$324	166	166	+0	open	—	03-24 17:45
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$322	170	170	+0	open	—	03-29 07:51
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$322	172	172	+0	open	—	03-18 04:24
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$322	170	170	+0	open	—	03-18 17:59
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	21	$317	166	166	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 02:04
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$316	161	161	+0	open	—	03-25 03:54
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$313	164	164	+0	open	—	03-19 17:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$311	160	160	+0	open	—	03-19 02:40
will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$310	158	158	+0	open	—	03-20 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$308	158	158	+0	open	—	04-24 18:49
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$307	160	160	+0	open	—	03-27 16:54
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$304	157	157	+0	open	—	03-25 23:07
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$233	120	120	+0	open	—	04-14 04:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$226	119	119	+0	open	—	06-16 16:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	4	$223	115	115	+0	open	—	04-13 00:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$202	112	112	+0	open	—	05-28 19:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$135	72	72	+0	open	—	06-05 16:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$134	70	70	+0	open	—	06-20 21:28
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$132	71	71	+0	open	—	06-10 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 19:24:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	48	98¢	$46	0x0bc50f…
06-21 12:23:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x439c57…
06-20 21:28:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$67	0x2a0dcc…
06-20 13:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0xbdb5be…
06-17 12:41:49	will algeria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149747	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xd7ae80…
06-17 07:39:19	will algeria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149747	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6b0062…
06-16 16:50:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x002384…
06-16 08:44:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x6492c1…
06-15 16:52:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xef8a3c…
06-15 11:46:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x1921dd…
06-15 00:01:42	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0x9e4d8d…
06-14 18:57:09	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0xe07042…
06-14 18:26:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x3b5665…
06-14 14:25:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x905bab…
06-13 01:26:31	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x7612d4…
06-12 20:17:48	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf5b00b…
06-11 02:46:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x80e12a…
06-10 22:38:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6d7ca4…
06-10 22:07:03	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	71	92¢	$65	0xe715c3…
06-10 15:03:09	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x11d797…
06-10 09:09:30	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x333895…
06-10 01:07:09	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x6c0c5b…
06-07 05:33:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x13c94f…
06-07 00:27:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xae3fa5…
06-06 08:39:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x7d90fe…
06-06 04:48:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x915758…
06-06 04:38:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xab28c5…
06-05 16:37:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	72	94¢	$68	0xb5f485…
06-05 10:33:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x3d2d7c…
05-28 19:43:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0xcfa2a0…
05-28 12:37:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xe5b18e…
05-15 17:02:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	90¢	$62	0x4cf957…
05-15 08:29:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0x1b1da5…
04-27 17:25:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xf88898…
04-27 11:20:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x8c8f1b…
04-24 18:49:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	158	98¢	$155	0x700375…
04-24 10:38:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	158	97¢	$153	0x8e9599…
04-19 05:11:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$58	0x3da18d…
04-18 19:39:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	63	92¢	$59	0x6db988…
04-14 04:25:29	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$61	0xf26018…
04-13 19:53:23	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$61	0x869ad8…
04-13 00:03:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x803c23…
04-12 16:03:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x4048f2…
04-12 15:32:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xb0a0ea…
04-12 07:28:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x9a7c9d…
04-11 05:26:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x7aaeb0…
04-10 22:59:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x5c638e…
04-09 19:25:57	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xf32a52…
04-09 05:17:23	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0x35dfbf…
04-09 02:43:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x41ecb4…
04-08 21:11:47	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x6c4dd7…
04-08 06:09:09	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x37e702…
04-08 04:22:51	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x548319…
04-01 04:59:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xd359da…
03-31 21:13:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xdfc710…
03-30 02:04:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	166	95¢	$158	0xff3c30…
03-29 21:09:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x42520d…
03-29 20:56:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35829d…
03-29 20:54:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc6e57…
03-29 20:54:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd18a6c…
03-29 20:53:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa26cd5…
03-29 20:49:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x80ca5a…
03-29 20:41:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb1df00…
03-29 20:40:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd55d5a…
03-29 20:40:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe47f2e…
03-29 20:39:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x846798…
03-29 20:38:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5718d9…
03-29 20:37:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f7a8d…
03-29 20:25:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcb6f1e…
03-29 20:25:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5d5cc3…
03-29 20:09:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x747b4f…
03-29 20:07:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x113945…
03-29 20:07:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x978929…
03-29 20:05:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x427860…
03-29 19:57:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x81d884…
03-29 19:52:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa8e16f…
03-29 16:34:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	170	96¢	$164	0xf1e7f6…
03-29 08:39:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	84	94¢	$80	0xf6708b…
03-29 08:31:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x68f3b4…
03-29 08:28:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	67	94¢	$64	0x8de047…
03-29 07:51:12	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	170	94¢	$160	0x42daaf…
03-29 00:23:50	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0xe2b2cd…
03-29 00:21:42	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x7f5c4d…
03-28 23:05:48	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	82	96¢	$79	0x9f8bbc…
03-28 21:15:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	172	94¢	$161	0xe967ed…
03-28 13:34:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	172	94¢	$161	0x2b932f…
03-27 16:54:37	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	160	96¢	$153	0xb8d72e…
03-27 12:36:55	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	160	96¢	$154	0xb2820a…
03-27 03:29:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	172	95¢	$163	0x23191c…
03-26 18:55:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x95d831…
03-26 18:51:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa3cc94…
03-26 17:01:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	165	97¢	$160	0xe3e83f…
03-26 08:51:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	165	97¢	$160	0x8287aa…
03-25 23:07:41	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	157	96¢	$151	0xf93419…
03-25 18:29:41	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	157	97¢	$153	0x658471…
03-25 03:54:43	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	161	98¢	$158	0xdc4c4e…
03-24 20:29:51	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x8d6181…
03-24 20:22:01	Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xbc986c…
03-24 17:45:55	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$162	0x51cf54…
03-24 12:09:49	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$162	0xe25336…