Realized P&L
-$1.99K
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved
4,927
Trades
22,609
lifetime
Volume
$199.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$11.9K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 09-17 02:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
49% 82% -$1,083
Crypto
41% 53% -$554
Sports
7% 49% -$315
Politics
3% 53% -$20
Tech
1% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8,593 $7,793 98¢ $8.4K +$650 05-12 16:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,978 $1,856 98¢ $1.9K +$82 05-13 00:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +265 $248 96¢ $254 +$6 05-11 11:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +280 $172 79¢ $221 +$49 05-10 19:35
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +227 $164 88¢ $200 +$36 05-08 06:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $180 98¢ $196 +$16 05-09 19:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +211 $141 86¢ $180 +$39 05-10 20:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +8,593 $804 2¢ $150 -$653 05-12 19:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +280 $110 21¢ $59 -$51 05-10 19:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 05-08 18:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,978 $125 2¢ $41 -$84 05-11 02:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +211 $71 14¢ $30 -$41 05-10 01:14
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes +227 $129 12¢ $27 -$102 05-08 17:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +35 $40 75¢ $26 -$14 04-30 23:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +265 $20 4¢ $11 -$9 05-11 17:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +35 $14 25¢ $9 -$5 04-30 20:52
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $12 16¢ $8 -$4 05-08 18:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -200 -$40 4¢ $-8 +$32 05-09 07:59
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +8 $10 100¢ $8 -$2 05-05 06:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $26 2¢ $4 -$22 05-09 19:52
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +8 $9 0¢ $0 -$9 05-05 01:57