Optimal-Weasel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved

Trades

20,738

lifetime

Volume

$162.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-30 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

44% 25% $-25

Sports

7% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 609 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	121	$6.3K	12,060	3,298	+8,762	open	—	05-13 12:49
wta montgom tomljan 2026 06 13	23	$2.8K	3,926	0	+3,926	open	—	06-13 12:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	30	$1.6K	2,051	1,051	+1,000	open	—	05-06 18:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	31	$1.5K	2,637	351	+2,286	open	—	05-08 12:40
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	34	$1.3K	1,252	1,252	+0	open	—	04-29 06:48
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	28	$1.2K	937	937	+0	open	—	04-29 08:29
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 15:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	20	$1.2K	1,629	785	+844	open	—	05-08 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	27	$880	1,786	172	+1,614	No	$-1	05-08 10:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	13	$752	1,443	355	+1,088	open	—	05-07 15:16
sol updown 15m 1782498600	246	$702	1,323	0	+1,323	open	—	06-26 18:42
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	11	$588	600	598	+2	No	$-21	05-06 18:30
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	25	$553	714	229	+485	open	—	05-08 17:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	37	$547	699	659	+40	open	—	04-28 19:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	7	$501	600	200	+400	open	—	05-08 17:05
wta ruzic marcink 2026 06 22	3	$500	909	0	+909	open	—	06-22 11:31
mlb sd tex 2026 06 21	1	$500	781	0	+781	open	—	06-21 19:02
mlb laa ari 2026 06 16	5	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-16 18:46
wta volynet maneiro 2026 06 17	1	$500	847	0	+847	open	—	06-16 18:46
mlb bal laa 2026 06 23	1	$500	833	0	+833	open	—	06-23 07:02
mlb tor bos 2026 06 18	1	$500	962	0	+962	open	—	06-18 01:01
mlb nym cin 2026 06 17	5	$500	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	06-17 10:21
mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	1	$500	725	0	+725	open	—	06-20 08:25
wta pliskov mcnally 2026 06 18	29	$500	961	0	+961	open	—	06-18 05:07
mlb nym phi 2026 06 18	23	$500	961	0	+961	open	—	06-18 12:52
mlb tex mia 2026 06 23	15	$464	799	0	+799	open	—	06-23 13:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	19	$458	631	430	+201	open	—	04-27 13:52
sol updown 15m 1782826200	10	$456	489	0	+489	open	—	06-30 13:44
mlb laa ari 2026 06 15	1	$400	741	0	+741	open	—	06-14 21:36
sol updown 15m 1782822600	8	$373	391	0	+391	open	—	06-30 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:58:20	sol updown 15m 1782827100	Up	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xa87f5e…
06-30 13:44:37	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf7dccd…
06-30 13:44:37	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x53b612…
06-30 13:44:31	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x5b3ec3…
06-30 13:44:29	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xf602cc…
06-30 13:44:17	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x7127c2…
06-30 13:44:17	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x26cb45…
06-30 13:44:13	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8d400b…
06-30 13:44:13	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x27a263…
06-30 13:44:04	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xbf5eb4…
06-30 13:44:04	eth updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x0f24ba…
06-30 13:44:01	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x8347dc…
06-30 13:44:01	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x5a5159…
06-30 13:43:47	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x9d2c4c…
06-30 13:43:47	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0x6d172d…
06-30 13:43:34	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xdc4060…
06-30 13:43:34	sol updown 15m 1782826200	Down	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0xb5b948…
06-30 13:14:26	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa4454c…
06-30 13:13:05	sol updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x4c2a4b…
06-30 13:13:04	sol updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xaeb18b…
06-30 12:43:50	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xa99e29…
06-30 12:43:49	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x3a648b…
06-30 12:43:37	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x819721…
06-30 12:43:35	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x479888…
06-30 12:43:16	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xefa77d…
06-30 12:43:16	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xc557b7…
06-30 12:43:04	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0xb57b3f…
06-30 12:43:04	sol updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x412b52…
06-30 07:44:13	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0xe7ff15…
06-30 07:29:49	sol updown 15m 1782803700	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x16386a…
06-30 07:29:31	sol updown 15m 1782803700	Down	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0xf3028e…
06-30 05:29:26	btc updown 15m 1782796500	Down	BUY	47	98¢	$47	0xba7f02…
06-30 04:27:05	sol updown 15m 1782792900	Down	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x4dd7dc…
06-30 04:14:20	sol updown 15m 1782792000	Down	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xb19671…
06-30 04:14:04	sol updown 15m 1782792000	Down	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xdb0dd0…
06-30 03:29:20	sol updown 15m 1782789300	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x9d9334…
06-30 03:28:34	sol updown 15m 1782789300	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x708652…
06-30 01:14:17	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9c2807…
06-30 01:14:05	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x342942…
06-30 01:13:25	eth updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcf0272…
06-30 01:13:10	eth updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x1678e9…
06-30 00:59:32	sol updown 15m 1782780300	Up	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x840c57…
06-30 00:59:23	xrp updown 15m 1782780300	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x8c0123…
06-30 00:59:20	sol updown 15m 1782780300	Up	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x7a7988…
06-30 00:59:10	xrp updown 15m 1782780300	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xff9f5b…
06-30 00:59:05	sol updown 15m 1782780300	Up	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x255c12…
06-30 00:58:53	sol updown 15m 1782780300	Up	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xc88c67…
06-30 00:14:22	eth updown 15m 1782777600	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4c0fd8…
06-30 00:14:10	eth updown 15m 1782777600	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf155ca…
06-30 00:13:49	xrp updown 15m 1782777600	Down	BUY	49	98¢	$49	0x2a43d2…
06-30 00:13:37	xrp updown 15m 1782777600	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xd89cb0…
06-29 23:59:37	sol updown 15m 1782776700	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xdcdcd0…
06-29 23:14:10	sol updown 15m 1782774000	Up	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xca63ab…
06-29 23:13:58	sol updown 15m 1782774000	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x27fb67…
06-29 22:59:32	sol updown 15m 1782773100	Down	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x03e6e2…
06-29 22:59:20	sol updown 15m 1782773100	Down	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x4b0305…
06-29 22:58:04	eth updown 15m 1782773100	Down	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x4009c9…
06-29 22:44:19	sol updown 15m 1782772200	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x9d7ab0…
06-29 22:14:41	sol updown 15m 1782770400	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x8db27c…
06-29 22:14:28	sol updown 15m 1782770400	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xacf59b…
06-29 22:14:04	sol updown 15m 1782770400	Up	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x52ca33…
06-29 21:59:29	eth updown 15m 1782769500	Down	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x8259b9…
06-29 21:58:47	sol updown 15m 1782769500	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x6b4b4b…
06-29 21:58:35	sol updown 15m 1782769500	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xeedaca…
06-29 21:58:11	sol updown 15m 1782769500	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x05b543…
06-29 21:43:05	sol updown 15m 1782768600	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x65f6b0…
06-29 21:14:32	eth updown 15m 1782766800	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf1a0a0…
06-29 21:14:20	eth updown 15m 1782766800	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x30fdac…
06-29 21:13:43	eth updown 15m 1782766800	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x47b858…
06-29 20:43:53	sol updown 15m 1782765000	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf35c22…
06-29 19:14:31	sol updown 15m 1782759600	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xd5dcaa…
06-29 19:14:19	sol updown 15m 1782759600	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xe15516…
06-29 17:44:32	xrp updown 15m 1782754200	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$48	0x2db932…
06-29 14:44:35	sol updown 15m 1782743400	Down	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x1f6e97…
06-29 14:44:23	sol updown 15m 1782743400	Down	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x7a1b0a…
06-29 14:44:22	xrp updown 15m 1782743400	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x18b9ec…
06-29 13:59:19	eth updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7cf4e6…
06-29 13:59:07	xrp updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x744ceb…
06-29 13:58:49	xrp updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x3ceac1…
06-29 13:58:34	sol updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x21857b…
06-29 13:43:04	sol updown 15m 1782739800	Down	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x99e810…
06-29 12:59:20	sol updown 15m 1782737100	Up	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x70a35f…
06-29 12:12:17	eth updown 15m 1782734400	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x7d7e01…
06-29 11:59:05	eth updown 15m 1782733500	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x3cedbe…
06-29 11:29:26	sol updown 15m 1782731700	Up	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x8875c2…
06-29 10:29:26	sol updown 15m 1782728100	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xad71cb…
06-29 09:58:35	sol updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x0c4313…
06-29 09:58:10	sol updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x0672b7…
06-29 09:43:49	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x27805e…
06-29 09:42:26	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xab80ef…
06-29 09:42:22	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xfc02b4…
06-29 09:40:02	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4121cf…
06-29 09:39:46	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xebdd04…
06-29 09:39:37	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa5a742…
06-29 09:39:28	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x70c953…
06-29 09:38:47	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xad4c2a…
06-29 09:38:44	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x71127c…
06-29 09:38:41	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x186980…
06-29 09:38:01	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xbdce1c…
06-29 09:38:01	sol updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x6d8237…