Competent-Anteater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-21 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$1

Crypto

38% — —

Other

8% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		-200	$-10	3¢	$-6	+$4	06-21 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.3K	1,801	741	+1,060	open	—	05-31 14:44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-30 05:00
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 15:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$889	694	940	-246	open	—	06-01 14:37
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$635	822	0	+822	open	—	05-13 15:52
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	5	$469	0	1,357	-1,357	open	—	05-30 08:43
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$228	381	0	+381	open	—	05-13 15:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	3	$178	152	152	+0	open	—	05-20 15:27
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	1	$100	455	0	+455	open	—	05-05 12:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	1	$50	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	05-31 13:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$45	55	0	+55	open	—	05-31 14:01
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$33	38	36	+3	open	—	05-02 14:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-05 10:13
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	05-02 15:01
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	1	$14	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	05-30 05:13
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	3	$10	1,028	0	+1,028	open	—	05-09 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$10	0	200	-200	open	—	06-21 11:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	60	0	+60	open	—	05-03 07:08
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	2	$6	599	0	+599	open	—	05-05 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$6	87	0	+87	open	—	05-02 17:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	5	$6	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-11 18:47
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-26 16:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$2	3	5	-2	open	—	06-21 11:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 16:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$2	105	0	+105	open	—	05-02 16:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	1	$1	71	0	+71	open	—	04-26 16:27
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$1	333	0	+333	Yes	$-1	05-02 17:43
Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	05-03 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 11:31:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xee811c…
06-21 11:31:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb8b9a6…
06-21 11:31:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xdb5f51…
06-01 14:37:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	840	35¢	$296	0x4ffe77…
05-31 14:44:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	741	99¢	$733	0xe3cf86…
05-31 14:01:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x0e0833…
05-31 13:57:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$50	0x2f4887…
05-30 08:44:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	433	84¢	$363	0x880449…
05-30 08:43:45	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,149	33¢	$375	0x338aa4…
05-30 08:20:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xf652ba…
05-30 08:20:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x8664c7…
05-30 08:18:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	217	82¢	$178	0x41ba90…
05-30 08:18:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x43c5a5…
05-30 05:13:49	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$14	0x4d2694…
05-30 05:01:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,030	96¢	$989	0x5f4815…
05-30 05:00:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x55068e…
05-30 05:00:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x9eb772…
05-29 18:10:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	913	99¢	$908	0x4c2332…
05-29 17:48:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xc1527d…
05-29 10:06:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xafeb31…
05-28 09:08:18	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x8c0b01…
05-28 08:44:08	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	178	45¢	$80	0x0e39d2…
05-28 07:31:21	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x9f2be1…
05-28 07:31:21	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x4c09d4…
05-24 12:19:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x65f89b…
05-20 15:27:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x9a11eb…
05-13 15:52:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	177	79¢	$140	0xe3910a…
05-13 15:44:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	645	77¢	$495	0x2a3d75…
05-13 15:42:35	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0x614ac2…
05-13 15:38:02	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0x6679bd…
05-13 15:36:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	284	60¢	$170	0x9a46c4…
05-13 15:35:49	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x649250…
05-12 14:06:03	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0xaa6fc2…
05-11 18:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$0	0xfa1638…
05-10 16:09:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeb47f4…
05-10 15:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	384	1¢	$2	0x330952…
05-10 15:44:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	376	1¢	$2	0x5c9f90…
05-10 15:20:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$1	0x7e8adc…
05-09 16:36:06	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	976	1¢	$10	0x0ed2c0…
05-09 16:36:04	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xb7fe9c…
05-08 21:12:07	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x11ee39…
05-05 14:41:02	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x6b4edd…
05-05 14:36:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0xdf44bb…
05-05 12:09:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0xf5699d…
05-05 12:08:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x7e5e50…
05-05 10:13:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x882f55…
05-03 14:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x27f04b…
05-03 07:22:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x385c50…
05-03 07:08:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x46b7f5…
05-03 06:56:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x1cfb31…
05-02 18:04:38	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x1fd731…
05-02 17:43:02	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0e939d…
05-02 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbbe4e2…
05-02 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x246de2…
05-02 16:09:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x7a457c…
05-02 16:05:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x996b5e…
05-02 15:01:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xaeff11…
05-02 14:53:02	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	36	85¢	$30	0x445a0b…
04-27 16:06:26	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4b41e2…
04-27 16:04:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x48813f…
04-27 16:02:02	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x1ba0af…
04-26 16:29:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbf1112…
04-26 16:27:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xe7fac1…