Cloudy-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

3,041

Trades

4,740

lifetime

Volume

$9.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 72% -$98

Other

3% 70% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	3	$58	31	31	+0	No	-$2	03-26 07:00
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 7c	3	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	03-20 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	11	$37	80	0	+80	Down	-$37	10-21 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 14:00 UTC	5	$30	21	11	+10	Up	+$1	07-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	4	$26	16	11	+5	Down	+$0	07-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$26	27	15	+13	Down	-$14	05-12 12:29
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 8c	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	03-20 16:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	8	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	03-25 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:40 UTC	5	$22	22	6	+16	Up	$0	04-17 07:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	3	$22	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	03-23 03:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 11:15 UTC	4	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	07-17 11:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 11:15 UTC	4	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-09 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 03:00 UTC	3	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	07-10 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 11:30 UTC	6	$20	54	2	+52	Down	+$1	02-19 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 03:45 UTC	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	07-15 03:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	5	$20	23	0	+23	Up	-$2	07-10 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	07-16 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 11:45 UTC	4	$20	13	11	+2	Down	-$2	07-16 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	6	$19	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-10 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	11	$19	33	0	+33	Up	+$15	10-21 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	9	$19	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-07 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$18	27	0	+27	Down	-$2	05-07 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:25 UTC	4	$18	33	33	+0	Down	-$4	03-13 14:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	3	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$3	03-23 04:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 14:30 UTC	4	$17	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	02-19 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$17	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 10:45 UTC	4	$17	22	0	+22	Down	$0	07-21 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	11	$17	32	0	+32	Down	-$2	04-25 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 04:45 UTC	6	$16	16	9	+7	Up	-$8	07-16 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	6	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	07-09 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa9c72c…
10-27 12:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x797c5c…
10-27 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x97160b…
10-27 12:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x44fc07…
10-27 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x922477…
10-27 12:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4f28e1…
10-27 11:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1b964c…
10-27 11:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d8aa1…
10-27 11:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x805fde…
10-27 10:59:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x31ac35…
10-27 10:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7da11e…
10-27 08:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2dde85…
10-27 08:15:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9dd39c…
10-27 07:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbb16cd…
10-27 07:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x74180f…
10-27 06:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0adeb5…
10-27 05:19:26	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdd38ae…
10-27 04:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x782907…
10-27 04:14:39	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4f6378…
10-27 03:44:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1c0e45…
10-27 03:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4ebc0d…
10-27 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf908ae…
10-27 02:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe9e089…
10-27 02:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2c4b69…
10-27 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x37487c…
10-27 02:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb6d60a…
10-27 00:59:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b6ee5…
10-27 00:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x869fd3…
10-27 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x064a3d…
10-27 00:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xa9df3e…
10-27 00:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x696711…
10-27 00:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0b854…
10-26 23:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf053e8…
10-26 23:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xeed927…
10-26 23:14:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x81146a…
10-26 22:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9b4f2…
10-26 22:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9060ac…
10-26 22:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1867c3…
10-26 22:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7dcdfd…
10-26 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xdf9991…
10-26 21:14:20	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b31cf…
10-26 21:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb8cb9b…
10-26 20:44:30	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9a1f0…
10-26 20:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe29f18…
10-26 20:19:17	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x156022…
10-26 20:19:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08ba77…
10-26 19:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd7a85a…
10-26 19:59:06	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b2640…
10-26 19:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xaf763f…
10-26 19:29:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24cb50…
10-26 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0171f5…
10-26 17:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x17ac89…
10-26 16:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb76cf5…
10-26 16:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a2e77…
10-26 16:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4fa405…
10-26 16:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x44100d…
10-26 16:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21759f…
10-26 16:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9205c…
10-26 15:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66642b…
10-26 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd38cd8…
10-26 15:34:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc732f2…
10-26 15:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x4d6c29…
10-26 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe31893…
10-26 14:49:05	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffe977…
10-26 14:24:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa84620…
10-26 13:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b107d…
10-26 13:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe8e2ae…
10-26 13:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xf66069…
10-26 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0c1947…
10-26 13:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x568368…
10-26 12:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x368c58…
10-26 12:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbfdeab…
10-26 12:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x496f9f…
10-26 12:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x406f1f…
10-26 11:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99aef6…
10-26 11:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e37d8…
10-26 11:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2036f…
10-26 11:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x450252…
10-26 10:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xdcc103…
10-26 09:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7dccd…
10-26 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2090ad…
10-26 09:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fa530…
10-26 07:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52ecc2…
10-26 07:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xe071dc…
10-26 07:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa0fb42…
10-26 07:14:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd25075…
10-26 07:14:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa42915…
10-26 06:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4de684…
10-26 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1468cc…
10-26 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x47cb1a…
10-26 05:59:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc87616…
10-26 05:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a15ca…
10-26 05:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd6dd3f…
10-26 05:29:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2bb1b9…
10-26 05:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc9412a…
10-26 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c24fb…
10-26 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa2dd01…
10-26 04:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xff6900…
10-26 03:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x9c0a1a…
10-26 03:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xae6f13…