Cloudy-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

139

Trades

2,076

lifetime

Volume

$5.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-05 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 67% $-13

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	3	$58	31	31	+0	open	—	03-26 07:00
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 7c	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-20 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$26	27	15	+13	Down	$-14	05-12 12:29
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 8c	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-20 16:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	8	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	03-25 07:37
btc updown 5m 1776411600	5	$22	22	6	+16	open	—	04-17 07:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	3	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	03-23 03:46
btc updown 15m 1771500600	6	$20	54	2	+52	open	—	02-19 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	9	$19	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-07 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$18	27	0	+27	Down	$-2	05-07 11:44
btc updown 5m 1773411900	4	$18	33	33	+0	open	—	03-13 14:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 15c	3	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 04:32
btc updown 15m 1771511400	4	$17	30	0	+30	open	—	02-19 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$17	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	11	$17	32	0	+32	open	—	04-25 10:44
btc updown 15m 1771418700	6	$16	27	0	+27	open	—	02-18 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	05-04 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$15	12	7	+5	open	—	04-26 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$15	11	6	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$15	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	05-07 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 14:09
btc updown 5m 1773318300	6	$15	15	6	+9	open	—	03-12 12:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 12c	3	$14	17	7	+10	open	—	03-17 12:55
btc updown 15m 1771419600	3	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	02-18 13:11
btc updown 5m 1773300900	3	$14	13	6	+7	open	—	03-12 07:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	2	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	03-17 12:35
btc updown 5m 1773647400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-16 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$13	12	7	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$13	49	6	+44	open	—	04-26 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 04:52:55	btc updown 5m 1780635000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc86fd7…
06-05 04:52:42	btc updown 5m 1780635000	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71ed4b…
06-05 04:31:55	btc updown 5m 1780633800	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31ec47…
06-05 04:31:52	btc updown 5m 1780633800	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcf2bc9…
06-03 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x418095…
06-03 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5dbdeb…
05-16 14:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xab02c4…
05-16 14:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4a3953…
05-16 07:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa8d9a9…
05-16 07:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfac5f5…
05-16 04:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x2f0700…
05-16 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xde083d…
05-16 04:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cfc23…
05-16 04:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff6d89…
05-16 04:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xf006d9…
05-16 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbc7bb3…
05-16 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xc16c4a…
05-16 04:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaacc2b…
05-16 04:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x3549ea…
05-16 04:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf30307…
05-16 03:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f4606…
05-16 03:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdb8702…
05-16 03:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x86b0b0…
05-16 03:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf7c9ca…
05-15 07:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc5127d…
05-13 16:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd2b337…
05-13 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x69c9a7…
05-13 16:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc79908…
05-13 16:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc803e…
05-13 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x949bc3…
05-13 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x118c37…
05-13 16:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf16c57…
05-13 16:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x616a05…
05-13 16:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xba0903…
05-13 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x25a07e…
05-13 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfd09eb…
05-13 15:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6c20ad…
05-13 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd3d57e…
05-13 15:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d99ea…
05-13 15:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0b40f5…
05-13 15:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd7083e…
05-13 15:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x61bb40…
05-13 15:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x95e5b6…
05-13 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x62a8d9…
05-13 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x85d232…
05-13 14:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xebb985…
05-13 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x64ea59…
05-13 14:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0cd4ab…
05-13 14:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd402a3…
05-13 14:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x692db0…
05-13 14:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4d8a5a…
05-13 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x64015f…
05-13 14:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x181f31…
05-13 14:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd3e0d…
05-13 14:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7f0916…
05-13 14:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x271228…
05-13 13:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6d9652…
05-13 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0358f5…
05-13 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46bf0a…
05-13 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2371ca…
05-13 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9452b6…
05-13 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x06387e…
05-13 13:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa5beca…
05-13 13:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd42ac2…
05-13 13:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc0c246…
05-13 12:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd4223c…
05-13 12:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2f7ca8…
05-13 12:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1d550c…
05-13 12:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad7227…
05-13 12:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x84c1a8…
05-13 12:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbe49f9…
05-13 11:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3bb61f…
05-13 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x04896c…
05-13 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6c9982…
05-13 11:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8bd628…
05-13 11:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd6b431…
05-13 10:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x937f4f…
05-13 10:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf18522…
05-13 10:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x03b013…
05-13 10:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf762b6…
05-13 10:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x31661f…
05-13 10:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x68cdf5…
05-13 09:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x2c7b84…
05-13 09:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe98512…
05-13 09:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2e1f92…
05-13 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd6192e…
05-13 09:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xb7faa9…
05-13 09:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xed7aa8…
05-13 08:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8adec8…
05-13 08:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x925a78…
05-13 08:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x08ac31…
05-13 08:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x3ed03f…
05-13 08:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x19eaf4…
05-13 08:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d8bbe…
05-13 08:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xef0e2b…
05-13 08:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9391a4…
05-13 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf824b4…
05-13 07:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x04eb2e…
05-13 07:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7c04a0…
05-13 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x60a940…