Realized P&L
+$4.73K
Unrealized P&L
-$737
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved
89
Trades
1,108
lifetime
Volume
$154.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$1.59K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-20 07:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
72% 90% +$2,152
Crypto
28% 80% +$2,575
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -1,000 -$212 72¢ $-715 -$503 05-16 19:26
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -420 -$214 86¢ $-359 -$145 05-12 16:04
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -270 -$192 93¢ $-251 -$60 05-12 16:04
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -788 -$96 15¢ $-118 -$22 05-30 16:08
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -100 -$94 98¢ $-98 -$4 05-02 13:43
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -50 -$45 97¢ $-49 -$4 05-12 16:03
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -29 -$3 9¢ $-3 +$0 05-21 21:26