Realized P&L
-$269
Unrealized P&L
+$361
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,358
lifetime
Volume
$133.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$2.41K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$49
Politics
39% 50% $-318
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,529 $1,029 78¢ $1.2K +$156 07-04 20:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +665 $303 66¢ $442 +$140 07-22 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $114 99¢ $199 +$85 06-24 13:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 92¢ $183 +$9 06-30 05:18
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,510 $170 $113 $-57 07-15 11:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +201 $103 54¢ $108 +$5 06-15 14:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -120 $-100 73¢ $-88 +$13 07-01 09:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -68 $-49 74¢ $-50 $-1 06-11 19:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -43 $-46 89¢ $-38 +$7 06-16 20:24
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $-5 $-2 +$4 06-20 12:14