Realized P&L
-$269
Unrealized P&L
+$114
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,233
lifetime
Volume
$109.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$1.29K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 09:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
55% 100% +$49
Politics
45% 50% $-318
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +455 $181 52¢ $239 +$58 06-30 12:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +329 $165 72¢ $235 +$70 06-20 14:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $179 +$5 06-30 05:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $114 80¢ $159 +$45 06-24 13:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -143 $-49 100¢ $-142 $-93 06-23 22:48
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +201 $103 68¢ $136 +$32 06-15 14:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -120 $-100 87¢ $-104 $-4 07-01 09:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -68 $-49 82¢ $-55 $-6 06-11 19:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -43 $-46 93¢ $-40 +$5 06-16 20:24
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $-5 $-4 +$2 06-20 12:14