(anonymous) 0x8490e2…50ac46
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Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
24
Trades
1,792
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$29
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-01 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
60% 64% $-7
Sports
25% 43% $-72
Politics
9% 100% +$6
Crypto
4% 100% +$4
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 335 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 86¢ $29 $-1 06-26 07:23
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +0 $-7 100¢ $0 +$7 06-24 10:07
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 06-24 10:07
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +0 $-3 100¢ $0 +$3 06-24 10:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 $-0 84¢ $0 +$1 06-24 10:07
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-24 10:07
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +0 $7 8¢ $0 $-7 06-09 19:03