Realized P&L (30d)
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
29.5%
Resolved (30d)
33
Trades (30d)
103
1,229 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$175
$1.14K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-29 23:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
63% 12% -$81
Politics
21% 15% +$57
Sports
12% 18% +$75
Crypto
3% 50% +$2
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +41 $4 12¢ $5 +$1 10-25 21:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +5 $0 72¢ $4 +$3 07-07 20:56
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +24 $1 14¢ $3 +$2 10-08 15:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +42 $3 7¢ $3 $0 09-19 20:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes +34 $2 7¢ $2 +$1 10-04 09:22
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +16 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 07-09 07:43
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +17 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 07-29 03:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +80 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 08-12 11:25
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +13 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-04 17:37
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-03 00:21
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-03 08:21