Realized P&L
+$90
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
230
Trades
1,232
lifetime
Volume
$1.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-30 12:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
63% 13% -$41
Politics
21% 15% +$57
Sports
12% 18% +$75
Crypto
3% 50% +$2
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +41 $4 12¢ $5 +$1 10-25 21:32
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +24 $1 16¢ $4 +$3 10-08 15:51
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +5 $0 72¢ $4 +$3 07-07 20:56
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes +34 $2 8¢ $3 +$1 10-04 09:22
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +42 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 09-19 20:30
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +16 $1 7¢ $1 +$1 07-09 07:43
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +17 $2 7¢ $1 $0 07-29 03:29
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 08-22 03:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +80 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 08-12 11:25
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +13 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-04 17:37
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-03 00:21
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-03 08:21